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WEATHER 2009 !


Guest sdaveak47

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Guys, I think the rain on Friday night forecasts were based on the 00:00 model run, which is indeed very wet. Look at the green line, it's clearly all on it's own with regards to the friday night rain (spike over the 27th) with most runs going for much less.

prcpsomerset.png

But the most recent run, the 06:00 is very dry. It literally goes for a tiny bit of rain on Saturday (about 4mm) and thats it ;)

It might be a dry outlier but the rain is certainly not a sure thing!

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Guys, I think the rain on Friday night forecasts were based on the 00:00 model run, which is indeed very wet. Look at the green line, it's clearly all on it's own with regards to the friday night rain (spike over the 27th) with most runs going for much less.

prcpsomerset.png

But the most recent run, the 06:00 is very dry. It literally goes for a tiny bit of rain on Saturday (about 4mm) and thats it ;)

It might be a dry outlier but the rain is certainly not a sure thing!

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Guys, I think the rain on Friday night forecasts were based on the 00:00 model run, which is indeed very wet. Look at the green line, it's clearly all on it's own with regards to the friday night rain (spike over the 27th) with most runs going for much less.

prcpsomerset.png

But the most recent run, the 06:00 is very dry. It literally goes for a tiny bit of rain on Saturday (about 4mm) and thats it ;)

It might be a dry outlier but the rain is certainly not a sure thing!

Edited by kohoutec
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Also, check out this, the total rainfall predicted by the 06z run between now and 6am on Monday.

rmgfs144sum.gif

It's about 4mm over Glasto, for the whole week. Almost nothing! (The UK is in the top left in case you find it hard to see it)

We just have to hope that nasty looking 40mm wet patch doesn't move up from France over the weekend, as some other forecasts have shown.

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Ohh we all know it's going to be an amazing Glastonbury so quit the weather misery!

Just cos some of the forecasts predict some rain it doesn't mean it's going to rain ALL day. It could just be a couple of quick sudden downpours (which is what most 'tropical' rain is like) and then the rest of the days will be sunny. We're NOT going to get constant rain like 2007. Even if it ends up like 2004 it won't be the end of the world - that was a happy mud year.

Now let's all get off this thread ffs and go have the best few days of the year.

See you down there... in the gorgeous sunshine ;)

P.S. Liking the new runs :P

Edited by Zanna
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Following on from my post on the last page, these are the updates ensembles for the amazingly dry 06z run:

prcpsomerset.png

As you can see the operational run (green bold line) is the driest. So it probably won't be quite that dry.

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Following on from my post on the last page, these are the updates ensembles for the amazingly dry 06z run:

prcpsomerset.png

As you can see the operational run (green bold line) is the driest. So it probably won't be quite that dry.

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well metcheck do it again, we go from heavy rain on friday when i last checked this morning to not even 1mm of rain on friday now ! the metcheck forecast looks much better, dont know if id trust em like !
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