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WEATHER 2009 !

Guest sdaveak47

By Guest sdaveak47
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Gladstone Newbie

Gladstone

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It seems far too early at the moment to tell. Even that netweather forecast changes dramatically, from a complete washout predicted on the 17th down to light patches of rain on the 22nd. The weather reports before the glade last year were terrible up until we left, and then it was pretty much sunny all weekend.

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just-spence Newbie

just-spence

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utter guess work . its what , just under 5 weeks to the festival ? wouldnt take any notice of weather forcast till 5 days before

last year the forecasts were the wrong way round with the rain forecast sunday , bright and sunny to start the festival but it chucked it down thrs night and we know the rest of the story .

so pray to the sun gods , sacrifice your first borne , if you havnt got a child try a pet . :O

peace and belive brothers and sisters

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gizmoman Proficient

gizmoman

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noooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!! I'm not having that! Cant remember what Jackone was predicting this time last year. Anyone know? I know it can and will change but that's really depressing! No Rain No Comprimise!
Edited by gizmoman
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evansonuk Newbie

evansonuk

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Listen...

(or rather read)

i know a thing or 2 about weather...it's kind of my thing.

it is worth pointing out to you that it is impossible to predict weather for any location from a month in advance...i think the most accurate and longest time from the event we can predict is 8 days - even then...it is likely to change.

It may or may not rain - there really is nothing we can do about it.

However...based on typical readings from the past, when we have had really cold winters...(such as 2008/09) they are more than often followed by a hot summer.

So a glimmer of hope for you all.

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mouth Newbie

mouth

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but its good fun to wildly speculate..

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mario man Community Regular

mario man

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The problem with a good build up is that its guarenteed to break the day before the fest - it happened in 04 bigtime, cracking couple of weeks leading up to the fest & then Bang! Heavy showers & crazy wind whilst putting up your tent! If we do get a dry build up then its real brown trousers time hoping the weather holds for just a while longer :rolleyes:

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HastingsBoy Rookie

HastingsBoy

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This time last year the forecast was similar with a generally pessimistic outlook, but i've got to say we were VERY LUCKY last year to get away it, the rest of the summer was diabolical. This is Jackones summary from May 25 LAST YEAR

Summary

The recent trend for improving weather for June has been reversed somewhat with the High Pressure becoming less dominant and more restricted to Scandinavia, with this week seeing more rainfall expected and temperatures lower than last time. However the general pattern in the weather has been consistent to some extent.

The forecast for July has taken a big downturn this week, with much lower temperatures, and unsettled conditions now likely, the synoptic pattern previously mentioned is very undesirable for summer in the UK, and is very reminiscent of last summer. Indeed the forecast for July is now worse than that of June.

Looking at the forecast for June, there will be times when the High pressure to the NE gives warm sunny conditions, with also at times, low pressure pushing in from the west giving some rain possibly stalling at its meets the high Pressure, with the chance of some thundery outbreaks as it does so.

The worsening conditions for July suggest that the end of the June is looking rather more unsettled than the beginning which is not good news for the Glastonbury festival.

So on a sliding scale of 1-5, with 1 being a washout and 5 a warm sunny festival, this rates a 2, with a definite indication of a wet festival being more likely than a dry one. However, there will still be some dry spells in June and hopefully we will be lucky.

However remember this is a very early estimation and the forecast is likely to change from run to run.

As an comparison,

Last week's published forecast (May 9) rated a 3, with slight indication of a dry festival.

The third published forecast (May 9) rated a 3, with slight indication of a dry festival.

The second published forecast (May 2) rated a 3, with slight indication of a wet festival.

The first published forecast (April 25) rated a 4

The previous week's look at the charts (April 18) rated a 3

We are now about 4 weeks away from the festival and moving into GFS timeframes and in future weeks, we will try to give a more specific weekend forecast for Glastonbury.

There is still time to change but the chances of a totally dry festival are starting to look slim.

Just to make it clear the above was LAST YEARS forecast in May.

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emmmmma Newbie

emmmmma

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When I was sitting in the sun this weekend I was actually thinking 'I hope it isn't this hot at Glastonbury', it would be a nightmare. It was literally too hot to move, never mind waking up in a tent in that heat I think I would be partially cooked. I hope that it is warm with the occasional cloudy section to cool us all off.

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sdaveak47 Newbie

sdaveak47

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When I was sitting in the sun this weekend I was actually thinking 'I hope it isn't this hot at Glastonbury', it would be a nightmare. It was literally too hot to move, never mind waking up in a tent in that heat I think I would be partially cooked. I hope that it is warm with the occasional cloudy section to cool us all off.
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