The other thing about polling is that I think they ask the wrong question. They ask 'who would you vote for?' and work from there. I think in this election especially, the number of undecideds is relatively low. But the real question they should ask is 'How likely are you to actually vote?' And this is hard to quantify, because I think a lot of people actually decide on the day, and it comes down to crazy stuff like the weather, or how long the queues are.
My feeling is that loads of people who are would-be Trump voters are less motivated than would-be Harris voters to get out and vote. This is the exact opposite of 2016, when the Trump voters were fired up, and the Clinton voters were more apathetic.
Yes on the Other but I'm questioning then getting booked now. Glastonbury with have Fatboy Slim, unless it's the one off be doesn't play. I think they'll play Victorious too who have shared a headliner with Glastonbury but always. I think 17, 2022 and 24 are the only one's and Fatboy this year is always at Glastonbury. I think Fatboy getting a decent slot currently is more likely. I would say West Holts but I don't think top two Other is out of sights.
Inflation in the US now at 2.1%. Employment at an all time high. Stock markets at all time highs. Fundamentals are actually very good for the incumbent. Although I do appreciate that this has not necessarily transmitted to the everyday citizen yet who are definitely still hurting, and it is all about the messaging around it, which has been far from perfect.
As for a more moderate Republican...? Maybe.... but that's not the world we live in right now. If anyone other than Trump was on the ticket everything would be different.
That's not exactly Pyramid headliner though is it?, they have a range of between WH headliner level and Pyramid sub.
And now he's closing APE instead? Didn't say he was a loser, I'm saying it brought down the levels of what the festival were prepared to book to top it. Tell me another headliner that got that opportunity off of their own tour dates before or since.
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