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Corona Virus - Should we be worried?

Jimbojam

By Jimbojam
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mcshed Proficient

mcshed

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

I would say calculating death rate by calculating deaths against total number of cases (which is where they get the 2.2% rate from) is meaningless, as we dont know the outcome for the vast majority of those cases. That’s meaningless.

Yeah that's why most experts reckon it's more likely to be about 1% as lots of cases will go totally unreported.

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Minilla
Minilla

Good morning all. Don’t post much, more of a reader than a writer.  Thought I’d share my personal experience of the outbreak. I’m based in China, in one of the provinces worst hit by COVID o

Sawdusty surfer
Sawdusty surfer

Update. I coincidentally saw them again today. Turns out they could source the hand sanitiser from China after all and actually ordered double the amount!  It will keep for years so no problems there.

waynewdk
waynewdk

All the containment in the country, and all it takes is for an infected illegal immigrant to come by boat and the whole process restarts

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Quark Grand Master

Quark

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If you were planning I'd agree with you. But you're not really, you're taking the absolute worst case position and presenting it as what is going to happen. And then conflating that worst case in China, with worse air quality, higher smoking rates and a greater incidence of lung and respiratory issues, with the UK. Describing it as uncontainable. 

That's not planning, it's panic.

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stopwn1981 Community Regular

stopwn1981

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3 minutes ago, eFestivals said:

so you've stocked up with 3 months of food and bog roll...? :P 

6 weeks. True story.

 

5 minutes ago, Quark said:

If you were planning I'd agree with you. But you're not really, you're taking the absolute worst case position and presenting it as what is going to happen. And then conflating that worst case in China, with worse air quality, higher smoking rates and a greater incidence of lung and respiratory issues, with the UK. Describing it as uncontainable. 

That's not planning, it's panic.

That’s my hope too. Doesn’t help the Chinese though.

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mcshed Proficient

mcshed

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8 minutes ago, Quark said:

If you were planning I'd agree with you. But you're not really, you're taking the absolute worst case position and presenting it as what is going to happen. And then conflating that worst case in China, with worse air quality, higher smoking rates and a greater incidence of lung and respiratory issues, with the UK. Describing it as uncontainable. 

That's not planning, it's panic.

It's not even the worst case scenario in China its a misunderstanding of the numbers to create a number many times higher than worst case estimates of the position in China.

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Quark Grand Master

Quark

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5 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

You’re right. It’ll be ok. It’s just the flu. You’ve convinced me.

That's not what we're saying though is it? There is stuff between the extremes of "nothing to worry about" and "fucking armageddon out of here"

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