Corona Virus - Should we be worried?

[jparx]

9 minutes ago, Zoo Music Girl said:

Yes this is what I want to know!

You didn't miss anything - just a very offensive joke which has been rightly removed.

[Zoo Music Girl]

7 minutes ago, jparx said:

You didn't miss anything - just a very offensive joke which has been rightly removed.

I know but I still want to know! 

[Old_Johno]

23 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

Do you also cancel all overseas acts? 

No Taylor, JJ or Kendrick in that case for certain. 
 

Mik Artistik could finally get his shot at the pyramid

Artists could easily be done on a case by case basis. Plus they don’t really mingle. 

 

17 minutes ago, Zoo Music Girl said:

But you wouldn't know if any of the British people had travelled to high-risk places recently, rendering it pointless. Also would feel pretty discriminatory!

A handful of people who might have travelled overseas compared to hundreds if not thousands who definitely will have isn’t pointless, it’s a significant reduction in risk. 

It’s not discriminatory to cancel tickets of people who will be travelling from high risk areas... if you tried to ban all Italians regardless of where they lived it might be? 

[jparx]

I don't see the festival banning certain people, but IF the situation is serious come June there may well be separate travel bans in place anyway. The festival won't discriminate like that though.

[Splatt]

Based on no scientific basis I’m calling it now - olympics and Glasto to be cancelled.  I’m an old git now and learnt to trust my gut and it just doesn’t look good. Very much hope to be proved wrong. 

[jyoung]

3 hours ago, Lycra said:

Steering away from the virus for a moment...

As if this is a national fucking NEWSpaper. Just look at it. Everything about it absolutely stinks. You'd think it was a spoof, wouldn't you?! Every single section of that front cover is ridiculous. Humans have a lot to answer for.

[stuie]

38 minutes ago, Zoo Music Girl said:

I know but I still want to know! 

Me too!  I guess it must have been really bad to be removed from here though.

[SouthbanKen]

11 hours ago, priest17 said:

Not a massive fan of Viruses in general, their tunes are pretty catchy though.

No way should Rabies be a headliner, they are well past. Other Headliner or Pyramid Sub at best.

[Supernintendo Chalmers]

5 minutes ago, jyoung said:

Steering away from the virus for a moment...

As if this is a national fucking NEWSpaper. Just look at it. Everything about it absolutely stinks. You'd think it was a spoof, wouldn't you?! Every single section of that front cover is ridiculous. Humans have a lot to answer for.

Some of the mass media in the UK is far more virulent than COVID-19

[babyblade41]

I'm not sure what to make of it all  TBH , It would be nice to hear what may happen so we can be prepared .. maybe a delay on re-sale tickets possibly.

 

I think the problem will be more with performers wanting to perform rather than the cancellation due to the virus.. What happens if some of the bigger names decide not to come  and cancel closer to June ?? 

[Dronx]

Switzerland have cancelled all events with more then a thousand in attendance  

[squirrelarmy]

Just now, Dronx said:

Switzerland have cancelled all events with more then a thousand in attendance  

What time scale is this in effect for? This will be crucial in determining if we have to start worrying. If it’s just short term measures we’ll be fine come June. 

[BambooShanks]

2 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

What time scale is this in effect for? This will be crucial in determining if we have to start worrying. If it’s just short term measures we’ll be fine come June.

I think it's until mid March

[squirrelarmy]

1 minute ago, Kinkyinuit said:

I think it's until mid March

The biggest UK event in the same time period is the Cheltenham Festival. The next two really large gatherings of people after that will be the London Marathon and Grand National. If all these events go ahead as planned then we have nothing to worry about. 
 

 

[marathonsteve]

10 minutes ago, Dronx said:

Switzerland have cancelled all events with more then a thousand in attendance  

 

1 minute ago, squirrelarmy said:

The biggest UK event in the same time period is the Cheltenham Festival. The next two really large gatherings of people after that will be the London Marathon and Grand National. If all these events go ahead as planned then we have nothing to worry about. 
 

 

Its a fast changing situation but we shall see

[Wellyboot]

2 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

The biggest UK event in the same time period is the Cheltenham Festival. The next two really large gatherings of people after that will be the London Marathon and Grand National. If all these events go ahead as planned then we have nothing to worry about. 
 

 

Ok, fingers, toes and eyes crossed!!!!

[AlexOvd]

14 minutes ago, Kinkyinuit said:

I think it's until mid March

The ban comes into immediate effect and will apply at least until 15 March.

[parsonjack]

20 minutes ago, Dronx said:

Switzerland have cancelled all events with more then a thousand in attendance  

Surely they'll need to quantify that further.....1000 would include airports, ski resorts etc unless the area and distribution is a factor.

[The Nal]

First case of coronavirus confirmed in Wales - and two more in England. The festival is only 16 weeks away.

[Guest]

38 minutes ago, jyoung said:

Steering away from the virus for a moment...

As if this is a national fucking NEWSpaper. Just look at it. Everything about it absolutely stinks. You'd think it was a spoof, wouldn't you?! Every single section of that front cover is ridiculous. Humans have a lot to answer for.

So true. Crazy when you actually stop and take it all in.

[Zoo Music Girl]

46 minutes ago, stuie said:

Me too!  I guess it must have been really bad to be removed from here though.

My curiosity has been sated and it was ropy.

Edited February 28, 2020 by Zoo Music Girl

[Andy0808 v5]

Where’s the latest figures post?! I’ve been checking back for it constantly 

[deebeedoobee]

I wonder how many festivals would survive to carry on another year if they do have to cancel this summer? Would be a shame to lose some favourites off the calendar. 

[Lycra]

22 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

The biggest UK event in the same time period is the Cheltenham Festival. The next two really large gatherings of people after that will be the London Marathon and Grand National. If all these events go ahead as planned then we have nothing to worry about. 
 

 

I won't be so certain as the risk as assessed today would be very low as numbers infected in the UK are extremely small and cancellations cannot be justified. However this could change at any point as we go forward. Each event would also carry it's own specific risk. As a single event festival attracting global travellers and with a population of 235,000 intermingling for 5 days in close contact with reduced hygiene would carry much greater risk than a football match with an attendance ca. 50,000

[northernringo]

Today's update: (stats checked an hour ago so may have changed)

Further spread as a result of Italy and Iran. Without those two countries, I feel the panic would have subsided massively.

In East Asia, numbers continue to fall drastically in China. Less than 400 new cases yesterday and current infections have now dropped below 40,000 (39,779). This is a drop of 3,411. No change in the Diamond Princess, hoping for more recoveries over the weekend. Also no change in Singapore, Hong Kong (2 new but 2 recoveries too), Vietnam, Cambodia and the Philippines. Thailand reported 1 new case but also 6 recoveries so down to 13 active at the minute. Japan seem to be very slow in announcing recoveries but I'm not sure why that is the case. Still only 22 recoveries from their 226 cases so they are up to 200 active cases now. I'd like to hope over the weekend they announce a significant amount of recoveries. Macau is down 1 (2) and Malaysia and Taiwan are up 1 (5 & 27).

South Korea continuing to be the big issue in East Asia, a jump of around 750 cases yesterday and no new recoveries (thankfully no deaths either). Again, I'd be optimistic for their recovery rate to improve in the coming days.

In the Middle East, I actually became cautiously optimistic when looking at the figures. I must say though that I don't trust Iran's figures (most people don't) but they have increased to 195 now. The rest of the region didn't do as bad as I expected though. Afghanistan (1), Lebanon (2), Oman (4) and Bahrain (33) showed no changes while there were small increases for Israel (3) and Iraq (7). Kuwait had a fairly significant jump to 43 cases however. As would be expected at this point, no new recoveries in these regions. UAE did have one new recovery but this was offset by 6 new cases so up to 14 now.

In Africa, the worry is that Nigeria have now a case (an Italian man). Nigeria's defence systems have supposedly improved due to the Ebola crisis so hopefully it can be contained. Algeria remains on 1 case and Egypt's only case has recovered.

Europe on the face of it looks like it could become pretty bad. Plenty of 'new' countries again but thankfully case numbers are still low in a lot of places. Newly infected Netherlands, Lithuania, Belarus and San Marino all have only one case. Georgia (1), Finland (1), Belgium (0), Norway (1), Denmark (1), Croatia (3), Macedonia (1), Estonia (1) and Romania (1)  have announced no changes. Greece increased to 3, Austria to 3, Sweden to 7 (a jump of 6) and Switzerland has doubled to 8 cases.

Spain, France and Germany though are becoming worrying for me. Spain jumped 12 (23), France 20 (25) and Germany 20 (32). Hopefully none become the next Italy though. The UK is actually misreported on the dashboard I'm using as Northern Ireland's one case is being double counted as NI and as UK. I'm going to keep them separate going forward. NI as a result has one case and the UK is up 3 to 10 cases.

Italy had their first day of recoveries yesterday (excluding their original 3 cases) with 45 announced but their case number still jumper 155 (593) and will likely to continue to do so. The hope is that they consistently have days of this amount of recoveries.

Not too much change in the rest of the world. No change in India (0), Sri Lanka (0), Nepal (0), Pakistan (2), Russia (0), Australia (12 of which 8 from ship), Brazil (1) and USA (54 of which 42 from ship). New Zealand announced it's first case (1) and Canada had a bit of an increase too, up 3 (8).

This time last week, Italy had 3 cases, Iran 5 and South Korea 156 so it can all change massively in a couple of days. On the other hand, China had 54,859 - nearly 15,000 more than it does now.

My hopes for the weekend are increased recoveries in Japan and South Korea, plus more cruise ship recoveries. No sudden jumps in Europe and Middle East are the best we can hope for on those fronts at this point (and maybe some further Italian and Iranian recoveries). Obviously incredibly important for no more Iran/Italy/South Korea style rises anywhere in the world as well.