U.S. Presidential Election

[Kurosagi]

1 minute ago, Ozanne said:

Trump's performance in Florida looks like it's due to the Cuban vote, which won't be available in other parts of the country.

 

Can't link to the blog post so cut and paste job:

 

Charlie Mahtesian
Senior politics editor

2:32 a.m.

Looking at the limited returns we’ve seen so far, here are a few of my takeaways. –The president’s socialism arguments seemed to gain traction in South Florida –Biden is running well in the college counties that have reported, suggesting he’s running well with younger voters in those places –Trump’s struggle in fast-growing Sun Belt suburbs is very real

 

This would help explain my earlier confusion about Biden's under performance in Miami compared to Clinton. Although it still makes me chuckle that anyone could believe Biden to be a socialist!

[Punksnotdead]

12 minutes ago, Gregfc15 said:

Trump is behind in NC and Ohio. Good win in Florida, but i wouldn't be listening to the bookies yet

I'd put money on Trump winning both those states. I think the orange skinned bastard is gonna win 😞

[Guest]

1 minute ago, Kurosagi said:

 

Can't link to the blog post so cut and paste job:

 

Charlie Mahtesian
Senior politics editor

2:32 a.m.

Looking at the limited returns we’ve seen so far, here are a few of my takeaways. –The president’s socialism arguments seemed to gain traction in South Florida –Biden is running well in the college counties that have reported, suggesting he’s running well with younger voters in those places –Trump’s struggle in fast-growing Sun Belt suburbs is very real

 

This would help explain my earlier confusion about Biden's under performance in Miami compared to Clinton. Although it still makes me chuckle that anyone could believe Biden to be a socialist!

I'm amazed that anyone would want to vote for Trump after everything that's happened. 

Biden is up in PA and OH. Its so close in Texas too. The swing back to Dems is huge here.

[Matt42]

Trump back in the lead in Texas.

Its beginning to look dodgy for Biden.

[Gingerfish79]

Trump leading in Ohio now after 70% and virtually level in NC. Back in front in Texas. 

[MBoT]

OH Trump now showing up

[Matt42]

Ready for the conversations we’re going to have after I was absolutely slaughtered for disbelieving every poll that trump would lose

Edited November 4, 2020 by Matt42

[Fuzzy Afro]

I’m never drinking a bottle of 2020 anything 

[Fuzzy Afro]

Looks like the old adage “vote early, vote often”  was in play in Florida 😬

[Zacko]

My hype of an hour ago is quickly fading...

[Guest]

7 minutes ago, Matt42 said:

Trump back in the lead in Texas.

Its beginning to look dodgy for Biden.

You've gone back and forth twice in 2 pages. 

[Matt42]

2 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

You've gone back and forth twice in 2 pages. 

Yes but what was my most consistent view? Despite how many blue waves you put before me?

[Kurosagi]

4 minutes ago, Zacko said:

My hype of an hour ago is quickly fading...

Would be deeply ironic if Trump calls the election early on the basis of being ahead in the current count of the popular vote.

Not seeing much panic on the face of our CNN god yet, so all good.

[Guest]

1 minute ago, Matt42 said:

Yes but what was my most consistent view? Despite how many blue waves you put before me?

That you had feelings.

[Reckoner]

Ohio not an early counting state with lots of votes still to come in from Cleveland. Still all to play for.

Not enough votes left in Texas though I think

[Guest]

Just now, Gregfc15 said:

Ohio not an early counting state with lots of votes still to come in from Cleveland. Still all to play for.

Not enough votes left in Texas though I think

Look at the swing of the vote, to he fact that a Dem is so close in Texas is ridiculous. 

[Matt42]

I’m predicting trump will get Ohio, Texas, Nevada, Arizona and get the presidency. 

[incident]

Maybe I'm just trying to convince myself, I don't know.

But even if you take FL, NC, GA, and OH off the table - I still can't see any likelihood that Trump takes PA given that most of the outstanding votes are in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh which should be solidly going to Biden - and I can't see much of a realistic way that he wins without PA.

If Biden takes PA, Trump would need a huge shock elsewhere, and those swing states don't qualify.

[Reckoner]

2 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

Look at the swing of the vote, to he fact that a Dem is so close in Texas is ridiculous. 

If Beto couldn't beat Cruz then Biden was going to struggle but its a massive effort and it's going to be a swing state moving forward

[Kurosagi]

1 minute ago, incident said:

Maybe I'm just trying to convince myself, I don't know.

But even if you take FL, NC, GA, and OH off the table - I still can't see any likelihood that Trump takes PA given that most of the outstanding votes are in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh which should be solidly going to Biden - and I can't see much of a realistic way that he wins without PA.

If Biden takes PA, Trump would need a huge shock elsewhere, and those swing states don't qualify.

Biden won't be taking PA tonight though as the counters have clocked off:

Holly Otterbein
National political reporter

2:51 a.m.

New: Philadelphia officials say they will not be reporting any more mail ballot results tonight. About 76,000 have been tallied so far — out of 350,000-some received. And remember, Biden supporters are disproportionately voting by mail.

[jparx]

It’s worth remembering here that they always said Trump would look good early on, and Biden would come back over time. 

Arizona looking good!

[FloorFiller]

Just now, jparx said:

It’s worth remembering here that they always said Trump would look good early on, and Biden would come back over time. 

Arizona looking good!

Aye that’s the exact reason why Trump was talking about calling it early - because it was always gonna favour him before mail in ballots were largely counted.

Still though, this is gonna be too close for comfort and it’s gonna be rough going whilst Trump is looking up. 

[Guest]

 

 

[Kurosagi]

1 minute ago, jparx said:

It’s worth remembering here that they always said Trump would look good early on, and Biden would come back over time. 

Arizona looking good!

Might be game over for Biden in NC though:

Anita Kumar
White House Correspondent & Associate Editor

3:06 a.m.

A Trump campaign official says the only remaining NC counties are the ones he won in 2016 and they predict a win

Natasha Korecki
National Political Correspondent

3:08 a.m.

Dem involved in NC say they’re not feeling good, models show bad news. They’re pointing to rural votes.

[Fuzzy Afro]

Trump is absolutely clear in Florida now, he won’t be caught