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On 6/11/2023 at 7:39 PM, Ozanne said:

https://electionreview.labourtogether.uk/chapters/the-scale-of-the-challenge#:~:text=over recent elections.-,To win a parliamentary majority of one at the next,123 seats across the UK
 

‘Labour faces a substantial challenge at the next election. To be the largest Party we would need a swing to Labour of 1997 proportions. To win a majority of 1 we would need to increase our number of MPs by 60 per-cent up by 123 seats, something no major Party has ever done.’

It not as simple as just putting a cross in a box, if you need a large swing to win then it means you have to convince many more people to change how they voted last time round which can be hard and it’s partly why swings of the scale needed aren’t common. 


Or maybe a swing even larger than 1997, maybe a swing of say 2017 proportions.

Or maybe a swing like the SNP achieved in 2015 in Scotland.

Democracy and the climate have a lot in common suffering from decades and decades of unrelenting consumer capitalism, the patterns, as with the weather so too in voting, are bound to become less predictable as the system comes under more stress.

The Labour right eternally LARPing some weird battlefield reenactment of the 90s and therefore being completely unable to engage with voters in 2023 is what will cost them their majority.

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32 minutes ago, mattiloy said:


Or maybe a swing even larger than 1997, maybe a swing of say 2017 proportions.

Or maybe a swing like the SNP achieved in 2015 in Scotland.

Democracy and the climate have a lot in common suffering from decades and decades of unrelenting consumer capitalism, the patterns, as with the weather so too in voting, are bound to become less predictable as the system comes under more stress.

The Labour right eternally LARPing some weird battlefield reenactment of the 90s and therefore being completely unable to engage with voters in 2023 is what will cost them their majority.

IMG_0200.jpeg

Yeah and May still beat him. No idea what point you're trying to make? Lot's of people voted for Corbyn- is that it? If that's evidence of him being amazing, then what does that make Theresa May who got more votes and seats. You know, the actual thing that decides elections..

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On 6/12/2023 at 9:44 PM, Rufus Gwertigan said:

Should that not be "Story by @pippacrerar and I"?

f**king sloppy journalism.

You are wrong. "Story by @pippacrerar and me" is grammatically correct.

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9 hours ago, mattiloy said:


Or maybe a swing even larger than 1997, maybe a swing of say 2017 proportions.

Or maybe a swing like the SNP achieved in 2015 in Scotland.

Democracy and the climate have a lot in common suffering from decades and decades of unrelenting consumer capitalism, the patterns, as with the weather so too in voting, are bound to become less predictable as the system comes under more stress.

The Labour right eternally LARPing some weird battlefield reenactment of the 90s and therefore being completely unable to engage with voters in 2023 is what will cost them their majority.

IMG_0200.jpeg

yes, Labour won an enormous victory in 2017.

Actually...no one really talks much about that result. There was a lot in it, May's disastrous election campaign and her dementia tax (actually a wealth tax to pay for social care), the whole brexit thing where no side was talking about stopping it back then, the fact that no one thought labour had a chance of winning...but also that maybe a lot of people actually liked Labour's manifesto?

And we can argue about it to the end of time...whether Labour's lead would have kept increasing, whether another leader would have done better or worse, if less labour infighting,  if no Maybot and dementia tax uturn...but all hypothetical, we'll never know..

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2 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

yes, Labour won an enormous victory in 2017.

Actually...no one really talks much about that result. There was a lot in it, May's disastrous election campaign and her dementia tax (actually a wealth tax to pay for social care), the whole brexit thing where no side was talking about stopping it back, the fact that no one thought labour had a chance of winning...but also that maybe a lot of people actually liked Labour's manifesto?

And we can argue about it to the end of time...whether Labour's lead would have kept increasing, whether another leader would have done better or worse, less labour infighting,  no Maybot and dementia tax uturn...but all hypothetical, we'll never know..

After all that Corbyn still couldn’t win the election. Labour lost in 2017, it’s that simple. 

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