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The Weather Thread 2023


tazbang

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A pattern “seems” to be emerging over the last few runs with rain at the beginning of next week (some heavy), then high pressure building from the Wednesday onwards.

Not too worried about any rain before gates open, I think the ground can take it and would soon dry out with relatively little footfall. 

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3 minutes ago, mazola said:

That Friday mud is the worst, sticks to your boots and makes everything such a chore

Yup. Makes everything that much heavier and slower. People getting stuck and injuring ankles. Very difficult to dance/ jump to.

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2 minutes ago, mazola said:

That Friday mud is the worst, sticks to your boots and makes everything such a chore

Definitely. The Thursday and Saturday mud is pretty easy to navigate provided it's not too deep. The sticky stuff is intolerable.

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Onto the 06Z. Are we going to continue with the positive theme?

GATES OPEN

Well, fair to say this run brings the most apocalyptic rain for Monday, and would absolutely do serious damage to site. 20-25 mm in the morning, followed by another 10mm, would definitely not be a good thing!

image.thumb.png.7623ab0f79945f189ef834366f8d9f5a.png

Lighter rain through the rest on Monday, and then dry through Tuesday. Highs of 20 degrees, which is excellent for drying for site recovery.

When the gates open on Wednesday it's dry and 17 degrees. 

image.thumb.png.7c1b01cb1a21e7bd254a1a1e5cf64b11.png

The position of the low at this stage of the run is more threatening, looks at big old Grotbags on the left.

But the high pressure still looks to be on the winning side as the chart is developing.

Wednesday stays completely dry with highs of 20. Again, great drying conditions.

image.thumb.png.474fb8c311a4805c292f99b687e4c538.png

THURSDAY

High pressure doesn't build in today, but it holds its position against the doom of the low.

A dry day with highs of 21.

image.thumb.png.cdf9390704d43b9240a64b3bad2ce85c.png

FRIDAY

The high is still in a strong position, without any finger presence. But it's building.

Completely dry with highs of 22.

image.thumb.png.ce47d754e6f438b071819d10970264d9.png

 

SATURDAY

Here comes the finger! Completely dry with highs of 23.

image.thumb.png.21c873e2441dc1376d8a651957496fb1.png

SUNDAY

Completely dry, max temps of 21.

image.thumb.png.101e3c50ec7d729dad0e71722277cce2.png

SUMMARY

The level of rain on Monday has the potential to cause real issues ... but the festival itself is pretty much spot on and the temperatures would mean the site would dry up very quickly.

Ideally we definitely need less rain a couple of days before the gates open, but this is another excellent run for the festival.

But the trend for a fingering is continuing now through several runs.

 

 

 

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Spoke to a work colleague also going to Glasto last night and the weather came up. My eyes went totally black when they said they just wanted it to rain for a bit now so it'll be sunny next week. I wanted to grab and shake them. That fool knew NOTHING of the GFS! They didn't know the meaning of the 06Z! I wanted to ask if they'd studied the latest meteograms or consulted with the elders on the Netweather forums but I had to leave as I knew the latest ECMWF was coming out in a few hours and I had to prepare to totally flip my sh*t if I saw the colour blue.

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Just now, fightoffyour said:

This run is showing almost no rain at all after gates opening and a massive fingering bringing temps up to mid 20s into the weekend proper.

I'm on pocket Kings, do I stick or twist?

Two old geezers before the flop is as good as you could ask for, no need to be greedy…

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1 minute ago, chazwwe said:

Yup. Makes everything that much heavier and slower. People getting stuck and injuring ankles. Very difficult to dance/ jump to.

The mudzone that developed on the RHS of the pyramid field in the aftermath of 05 remains one of my favourite things.

It was large cos the downpour had pooled but drying rapidly to that Stage 3 sticky mud, most everyone was avoiding it.
Until one ambitious chap loaded up with his pints of cider in both hands ran around from the Mandela bar and, having taken a look at the crowd, decided the right thing to do was sprint across the empty muddy patch.

Few steps in he sank halfway up to his knees and did the second hardest faceplant I've ever seen - straight down stiff as a rod like an actor knowing there's a crash mat, with the pints still up in the air. Made it back up laughing and retreated with nary a drop spilt to a huge round of applause.

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Just now, BambooShanks said:

tbf by  tuesday night the rain has pretty much cleared so the tuesday queue crew should be dry

I'm going down on Monday morning in the Wife's Peagout 107.

Biblical rain is not what that little go kart wants for driving on fields.

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6 minutes ago, briddj said:

The level of rain on Monday has the potential to cause real issues ... but the festival itself is pretty much spot on and the temperatures would mean the site would dry up very quickly.

Ideally we definitely need less rain a couple of days before the gates open, but this is another excellent run for the festival.

But the trend for a fingering is continuing now through several runs.

The Ops run is a massive outlier for rain on the Monday with 45.1mm vs the next highest at 12.7mm, 18 of the runs show no rain at all so it is all still to play for

image.thumb.png.df09ec850d8190a64f5d0c4bf3dbd925.png

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3 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

I'm going down on Monday morning in the Wife's Peagout 107.

Biblical rain is not what that little go kart wants for driving on fields.

I'd recommend attaching an outboard motor and some flotation tanks if the monday rain doesn't turn out to be a massive outlier.

 

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