The Weather Thread 2023

[Calum stoke]

1 hour ago, ___DGH___ said:

I actually think the Apple native app has got a lot better over time to be fair, find it more accurate than the BBC app.

They bought out Dark Sky, and integrated it into the app. I used to use Dark Sky all the time for skateboarding. Found it quite reliable. So in theory the Apple app should be much better. 

[FuzzyDunlop]

2 minutes ago, Drinky said:

The sort of depression you’d expect to see in winter? At this time of year? At this time of day? In this part of the country? Localized entirely within the Vale of Avalon?

 

 

 

Can I see it?!

[sprocketrocket]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

Right then, we want trends, trends, trends to develop now. What is the 06Z going to tell us?

GATES OPENING

Still a very wet Sunday, and Monday night into Tuesday, in store in this run. In fact the 06Z appears to put more rain on the site, especially on the Sunday.

The latest chart is on the right, previous on the left. This is Sunday.

Tuesday is an improvement on the last run, with less rain, but still some rain nonetheless.

By Wednesday at 9am, there's some very light rain around.

And unfortunately things do not improve from here.

Wednesday is showing as having showers - this is not heavy rain - but certainly a downgrade on the last run. Highs of just 18.

This is being caused by a small green area of low pressure to the north of England. You can see the difference in the runs here, latest on the right. But how will it develop?

THURSDAY

The high pressure begins to build in now, making Thursday a largely dry day with small showers around 6pm. However, highs are of just 18.

FRIDAY

The high pressure finally tries to build in today, but it doesn't prevent it being another day of light showers. High temps of 19.

SATURDAY

Unfortunately the high is pushed back by an area of lower pressure, meaning we don't get the weekend boost we've had in recent runs. Yet more rain through the day, though clearing in the evening. Highs of just 17 now.

SUNDAY

Dry, but max temps of 13. This doesn't make sense with the pressure around the UK so seems to be unreliable.

SUMMARY

Well, we're well and truly back on the rollercoaster.

The area of low pressure on the Wednesday makes the start of the festival damp, and the high never pulls in - so there's rain through the main festival too.

Temps not getting to 20 will make it a chilly festival, especially on the evenings.

However, this doesn't really seem to be a reliable run with what is shown for Sunday.

Definitely a downgrade, but it's still TOO EARLY. Huge amount of uncertainty.

See you in 6 hours.

 

 

 

This is f**king bullshit. Brought about by all you dust keeper downers. 

NFCNFRNFC 

[Phoenix Girl]

Swerve ball. Woke Nal up for sure.

Sheffield Steve being quite upbeat tho 

 

[4AssedMonkey]

3 minutes ago, sprocketrocket said:

This is f**king bullshit. Brought about by all you dust keeper downers. 

NFCNFRNFC 

I agree.  Go and sit on the stairs and think about what you've done.

[sime]

3 minutes ago, sprocketrocket said:

This is f**king bullshit. Brought about by all you dust keeper downers. 

NFCNFRNFC 

If it rains and you believe in "no compromise" will you then not go to the festival?

[sprocketrocket]

2 minutes ago, sime said:

If it rains and you believe in "no compromise" will you then not go to the festival?

You make a valid argument. One which I'll answer after the festival...

[sime]

Just now, sprocketrocket said:

You make a valid argument. One which I'll answer after the festival...

If you have a ticket, I guarantee you will go whether it rains or not.

[stuartbert two hats]

12 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

Can I see it?!

No

[woyski]

It's sad (So sad), so sad
It's a sad, sad situation

[Jacko45]

We can only pray the last run was an outlier, as it's the worst by a long way. 

[BambooShanks]

5 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

We can only pray the last run was an outlier, as it's the worst by a long way. 

It certainly appears that way so no need to panic

[___DGH___]

36 minutes ago, Calum stoke said:

They bought out Dark Sky, and integrated it into the app. I used to use Dark Sky all the time for skateboarding. Found it quite reliable. So in theory the Apple app should be much better. 

Yeah, I read that. It’s way better than the older iterations of Apple’s weather app.

[catavento]

ECM is still being more stable - some rainfall Tue-Thu but not forecasting huge amounts, and dry Friday. Shame that there seems to be agreement on Thursday afternoon/evening being wet to some degree though.

I suppose the problem is that the rain could present as heavy showers rather than being the type you can easily ignore?

[briddj]

It's amazing the effect one run can have on your mindset - even though you know in isolation it's meaningless!

[Jacko45]

8 minutes ago, briddj said:

It's amazing the effect one run can have on your mindset - even though you know in isolation it's meaningless!

Bridd we need a big comeback from you next run, save our Wednesday. 

[Henrik]

Next run feels like an important one 

[The Nal]

9 minutes ago, Henrik said:

Next run feels like an important one 

Its huge. Any rain at all in it and its locked in. The festival is going to be muddy.

Its really worrying.

[Crazyfool01]

5 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Its huge. Any rain at all in it and its locked in. The festival is going to be muddy.

Its really worrying.

are you worrying for us then ? as you don't have tickets you seem very invested on our behalf 

[The Nal]

4 minutes ago, Crazyfool01 said:

are you worrying for us then ? as you don't have tickets you seem very invested on our behalf 

Nothing worse than rain on the camera lens in the highlights.

[kalifire]

Another scorcher in Frome today. The site really needs some rain at this point. 

[Henrik]

8 minutes ago, Crazyfool01 said:

are you worrying for us then ? as you don't have tickets you seem very invested on our behalf 

Wut? He doesn't even have a ticket haha

[Duggyfresh44]

From what I can see from various sources, a mixture of sunshine, cloud and showers. Light rain at worst. Pah. That’s nothing. 
I mean it could all change but I don’t see anything suggesting a catastrophe. 

[Skip997]

Just now, Duggyfresh44 said:

From what I can see from various sources, a mixture of sunshine, cloud and showers. Light rain at worst.
 

Or in other words "ideal"!

[Gnomicide]

Rain at around 4am will be ideal. Stopped by 4:30, cloud until 10:30. Then sunshine.