The Weather Thread 2023

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

25 minutes ago, DYRTFT said:

Latest ECM run looking a bit more unsettled. Rain on and off. 

Stop it, get that dirty R word in the bin

[Superscally]

LOUD NOISES

[Alvoram]

18 minutes ago, DYRTFT said:

 

Yes, significant amounts of rain in the UK, but more concentrated on North Western areas according to the latest ECMWF

Total accumulated rainfall between now and Wednesday 8mm

Total accumulated rainfall between now and Saturday 24th - 16mm (the other 8mm falling on the Friday)

 

As TWO said though, there is significant rainfall around, but at the moment it's further NW, fingers crossed that it doesn't shift for the worse. 🤞

[Radicles]

It’s all f*cking ruined now, isn’t it?!

What a shambles this is.

[PocketTim]

34 minutes ago, dotdash79 said:

The new one is powered by dark skys which Apple bought. It’s a lot better than the old one. 

It uses the Met Office for its UK data. So anything Met Office says should be a match in the app.

[Duggyfresh44]

9 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

Yes, significant amounts of rain in the UK, but more concentrated on North Western areas according to the latest ECMWF

Total accumulated rainfall between now and Wednesday 8mm

Total accumulated rainfall between now and Saturday 24th - 16mm (the other 8mm falling on the Friday)

 

As TWO said though, there is significant rainfall around, but at the moment it's further NW, fingers crossed that it doesn't shift for the worse. 🤞

Isn’t that referring to that awful 12z? 

[Alvoram]

It's referring to today's ECM 12z, which is the latest one available (and the same one TWO were using in their Twitter post.) I don't see today's 18z anywhere, still on yesterdays...

The GFS 18z is updating now though. 👍

[briddj]

An improved start to the 18Z.

Stop panicking, people!

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

Just now, briddj said:

An improved start to the 18Z.

Stop panicking, people!

I was going to bed but please save the night from these other lunatics first

[briddj]

2 minutes ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

I was going to bed but please save the night from these other lunatics first

Will probably take another 20 minutes for the run to go through.

[Camden Leisure Pirate]

1 hour ago, danbailey80 said:

I think the humour was lost a bit in my rant. I was joking (mostly 😉)

Out of upvotes was defo funny👌👌👌

[briddj]

Ok, let's see where the 18Z takes us....

GATES OPEN

Still some heavy-ish rain around on Sunday. This continues to be consistent.

On Tuesday, there is GOOD NEWS! Most of the heavy rain that had been appearing on recent runs now tracks the east of the site, as seen on this chart.

There is a small amount of rain on Tuesday afternoon/evening, but nothing like what we had seen.

When the gates open on Wednesday morning, it's more good news.

The are of low pressure we had seen in the last two runs no longer materialises. Most recent run is on the right.

At 9am, it's completely dry for gates open.

Through the day on Wednesday, it's completely dry with highs of 21.

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 24. Is that a finger?

Yep, the latest run (right) shows clear signs of a fingering.

FRIDAY

After some light rain overnight (midnight to 6am) the day starts dry, and it's completely dry the rest of the day, highs of 23.

Not certain at this stage the finger really is going to build in.

SATURDAY

Another completely dry day, highs of 22. No finger, but high pressure in command.

 

SUNDAY

Completely dry, and highs of 21.

SUMMARY

This is very similar to the previous run.

The only changes are less rain on the Tuesday of the festival, and slightly more overnight Thursday into Friday - but the difference is negligible.

Another great run, with warm temperatures. Let's hope this continues!

 

 

Edited June 14, 2023 by briddj

[Isaact]

For f**k sake, it's all ruined.

I'm going to tear up my ticket.

[Sasperella2]

1 hour ago, Duggyfresh44 said:

I wouldn’t say that. There’s some rain. Not a lot.

Sorry, i mean just in comparison to the postive sunshine vibes here. Plus where did the 27 sunday come from?? 

[fightoffyour]

4 minutes ago, Isaact said:

For f**k sake, it's all ruined.

I'm going to tear up my ticket.

Twist it Bop it flick it 

[Sasperella2]

12 minutes ago, briddj said:

Ok, let's see where the 18Z takes us....

GATES OPEN

Still some heavy-ish rain around on Sunday. This continues to be consistent.

On Tuesday, there is GOOD NEWS! Most of the heavy rain that had been appearing on recent runs now tracks the east of the site, as seen on this chart.

There is a small amount of rain on Tuesday afternoon/evening, but nothing like what we had seen.

When the gates open on Wednesday morning, it's more good news.

The are of low pressure we had seen in the last two runs no longer materialises. Most recent run is on the right.

At 9am, it's completely dry for gates open.

Through the day on Wednesday, it's completely dry with highs of 21.

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 24. Is that a finger?

Yep, the latest run (right) shows clear signs of a fingering.

FRIDAY

After some light rain overnight (midnight to 6am) the day starts dry, and it's completely dry the rest of the day, highs of 23.

Not certain at this stage the finger really is going to build in.

SATURDAY

Another completely dry day, highs of 22. No finger, but high pressure in command.

 

SUNDAY

Completely dry, and highs of 21.

SUMMARY

This is very similar to the previous run.

The only changes are less rain on the Tuesday of the festival, and slightly more overnight Thursday into Friday - but the difference is negligible.

Another great run, with warm temperatures. Let's hope this continues!

 

 

I'm about to go to sleep and may have understood wrong.... But its perfect, no?? Guess i will find out in the morning 

[briddj]

9 minutes ago, Sasperella2 said:

Sorry, i mean just in comparison to the postive sunshine vibes here. Plus where did the 27 sunday come from?? 

That was a few runs ago. 

[briddj]

7 minutes ago, Sasperella2 said:

I'm about to go to sleep and may have understood wrong.... But its perfect, no?? Guess i will find out in the morning 

As close to as we might have hoped for tonight. 

[Alvoram]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

Ok, let's see where the 18Z takes us....

GATES OPEN

Still some heavy-ish rain around on Sunday. This continues to be consistent.

On Tuesday, there is GOOD NEWS! Most of the heavy rain that had been appearing on recent runs now tracks the east of the site, as seen on this chart.

There is a small amount of rain on Tuesday afternoon/evening, but nothing like what we had seen.

When the gates open on Wednesday morning, it's more good news.

The are of low pressure we had seen in the last two runs no longer materialises. Most recent run is on the right.

At 9am, it's completely dry for gates open.

Through the day on Wednesday, it's completely dry with highs of 21.

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 24. Is that a finger?

Yep, the latest run (right) shows clear signs of a fingering.

FRIDAY

After some light rain overnight (midnight to 6am) the day starts dry, and it's completely dry the rest of the day, highs of 23.

Not certain at this stage the finger really is going to build in.

SATURDAY

Another completely dry day, highs of 22. No finger, but high pressure in command.

 

SUNDAY

Completely dry, and highs of 21.

SUMMARY

This is very similar to the previous run.

The only changes are less rain on the Tuesday of the festival, and slightly more overnight Thursday into Friday - but the difference is negligible.

Another great run, with warm temperatures. Let's hope this continues!

 

 

Also very similar to the recent ECM 12z, we're starting to see agreement now and persisting patterns. This is good news because these forecasts aren't bad by any stretch of the imagination. 

Still a bit of a knife edge though, that horrendous amount of rain hitting Northern Ireland and Western Scotland could easily shift in the next week. 😕 BUT the trend has been that it's moving further Northwest over the past few days' runs, so it's looking good. 🙂

 

Also, the ensembles look great... Out of 30 permutations, only a couple are predicting anything more than 10mm... Which is brilliant. And nothing significant at all after Tuesday just light showers. (5/6mm Tuesday is fairly light to be fair.) 

 

Edited June 15, 2023 by Alvoram

[richy24]

Will let those more qualified give the full update, however the 00z looking good.
 

Less run in build up

light showers Wednesday.

Then the rain, as if by magic, completely disappears from the radar Thurs - Sunday! Proper heat coming back in for the weekend too!

[PolygonWindow]

it’s back on

[Isaact]

Sticking my ticket back together as we speak.

[Drinky]

We’ve been through it a bit the last 24 hours

[chazwwe]

Is it safe to come out of hiding now?

[Aragorn]

No :D