The Weather Thread 2023

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

2 minutes ago, EFC1996 said:

Ask believe receive 🌞 

Absolutely...it always works

[Neil]

Anyone have a forecast for end of June get?

[William Mann]

I’ve been to a few festivals and it’s always been glorious weather… hope to bring that luck to glasto

[2019]

1 hour ago, Neil said:

Anyone have a forecast for end of June get?

Mine only goes out to mid-May. But it looks wet-ish for the next couple of weeks.

[Franky]

1 hour ago, Neil said:

Anyone have a forecast for end of June get?

Fucking hot. 

[Jcatley]

Anecdotal, but after the ground being boggy last week, it’s near enough bone dry now after a week of little rain up here in Essex. Having faith that the same is happening down in Pilton 

[Glasto96]

If only it would stay this way 🙏🏼

[Euphoricape]

[Ayrshire Chris]

14 minutes ago, Euphoricape said:

A surging Bermuda anticyclone!  That’s a new one, we’re used to looking for Spanish plumes, El Niño  Azores fingers and Saharan winds but this is different ! 

[Sheffield Steve]

The reliable ECMWF 6 week charts are now up to the week of the festival.  This one predicts there will be above average rainfall in the 7 days up to the Monday of festival week:

…and this one predicts average temperatures for the same week but plenty of warmer air floating around:

 

and finally, the seasonal forecast for the month of June as a whole has also just updated.  A warm or very warm month for the whole of Europe continues to be forecast, in line with previous forecasts:

 

All in all, a reasonably optimistic outlook.

[Alvoram]

Fields should be green and hopefully not too dusty with the amount of rain forecast over the next few weeks... 

 

[squirrelarmy]

Anyone else starting to worry? Ground water levels must be high, we need some significant dry weather to allow levels to drop. I don't mind the odd shower at the festival but the main thing is that the water has somewhere to drain to.

[Sasperella2]

22 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

Anyone else starting to worry? Ground water levels must be high, we need some significant dry weather to allow levels to drop. I don't mind the odd shower at the festival but the main thing is that the water has somewhere to drain to.

Yes!! Very worried. But then, that is quite standard. 

A very sunny train ride this morning is tricking me into thinking its all going to be fine 

[Alvoram]

Flood warnings for Somerset and surrounding areas at the moment (worse lower down) so yes, I think it’s looking like a walking boots / wellies year. 

Not worried though, will be great whatever happens. We’ll have to wait for @deebeedoobee and the 1st June to see what the situation is like on the ground. And a lot can change in June alone. 

[Henrik]

33 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

Anyone else starting to worry? 

Yes! It just doesn't stop raining. 

Wettest April in 40 years and May is looking like it will go the same way. 

Running out of time to dry out now. 

[Supernintendo Chalmers]

32 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

Anyone else starting to worry? Ground water levels must be high, we need some significant dry weather to allow levels to drop. I don't mind the odd shower at the festival but the main thing is that the water has somewhere to drain to.

Yep. There's just no sign of a spell of warm, dry weather on the horizon. Better not to peak too soon of course, and there's plenty of time to go...

[___DGH___]

Question is, how much warm and dry weather do the fields need to dry up, surely a couple of weeks is plenty and if that’s the case then there is plenty time. It will be magic regardless so no need to panic. Hopefully some good weather from the end of this month.

[BambooShanks]

57 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

Not worried though, will be great whatever happens. We’ll have to wait for @deebeedoobee and the 1st June to see what the situation is like on the ground. And a lot can change in June alone. 

As much as I love looking at charts and forecasts, the most important one is @deebeedoobee's stick and jam jar.

17 minutes ago, ___DGH___ said:

Question is, how much warm and dry weather do the fields need to dry up, surely a couple of weeks is plenty and if that’s the case then there is plenty time. It will be magic regardless so no need to panic. Hopefully some good weather from the end of this month.

A few weeks of dry weather will definitely do it.  Fortunately. the next two weeks look ok, a few showers and drizzly days but nothing concerning.

June looks promising though there's very little reliability in those forecasts at this stage, but it is reassuring that they are looking good.

Either way, it is still far too early to get worried or excited.  The weather rollercoaster doesn't properly begin until it's in range of the GFS charts in June.

 

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

2 hours ago, squirrelarmy said:

Anyone else starting to worry? Ground water levels must be high, we need some significant dry weather to allow levels to drop. I don't mind the odd shower at the festival but the main thing is that the water has somewhere to drain to.

You're worrying me!! 

[Crazyfool01]

Those that have been a few times know how quickly the site can dry out . No need to panic quite yet 

[squirrelarmy]

Just preparing my packing list. I've done muddy ones so want to make sure I'm prepared for the worst if it happens.

[Quark]

11 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

Just preparing my packing list. I've done muddy ones so want to make sure I'm prepared for the worst if it happens.

Stop trying to steal Nal's crown

[a6l6e6x]

Bunch of negative nancies in this thread

My verdict, it'll be areet 

[BambooShanks]

38 minutes ago, a6l6e6x said:

My verdict, it'll be areet 

Yup, worst case scenario is that I'll finally get to use my SeelSkinz waterproof socks.

But I'd still rather be in a wet, muddy glastonbury than anywhere else in the world that weekend.

[Joshuwarr]

The idea that anyone should be worrying now is so silly. Even in 2011 when it was pretty chaotic I remember a lovely dry ground on the Sunday after a few hours of sunshine. Keep the faith!