The Weather Thread 2024

[The Nal]

People reading these runs

 

[Blisterpack]

5 minutes ago, Aragorn said:

The ensembles for the latest operational show that it is one of the more positive runs of the suite.  The mean is significantly lower than the operational.

 

 

 

I like the word 'positive' but less sure about the word 'lower'....  do we need to start peeling ourselves off the ceiling?

[The Nal]

BBC have updated

 

[Jacko45]

Only novice weather freaks believe the Beebs nonsense. 

[Skip997]

It’s lovely here ATM, perfect festival weather 

[The Nal]

2 minutes ago, Skip997 said:

It’s lovely here ATM, perfect festival weather 

 

The festival isn't until next week.

[kalifire]

I’ve only just realised that @The Nal is eFestival’s online sacrifice to the weather gods. By openly accepting the worst case scenario, they are trying to appease the gods into providing the best possible scenario. Don’t know why it took me this long!

[Blisterpack]

Just now, kalifire said:

I’ve only just realised that @The Nal is eFestival’s online sacrifice to the weather gods. By openly accepting the worst case scenario, they are trying to appease the gods into providing the best possible scenario. Don’t know why it took me this long!

He's basically Edward Woodward.

[bennyboi]

18 minutes ago, The Nal said:

BBC have updated

 

 

The BBC is an essential part of the demoralisation campaign. Them and Apple are always the most pessimistic. 

 

Funny that.... 

[Nobody Interesting]

12 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

Only novice weather freaks believe the Beebs nonsense. 

 

I always lick to see the full day and normally laugh when I see one or maybe two images for drizzle for part of one hour being used to describe the entire day - take Saturday on the latest forecast for an example.

[bennyboi]

Just now, Nobody Interesting said:

 

I always lick to see the full day and normally laugh when I see one or maybe two images for drizzle for part of one hour being used to describe the entire day - take Saturday on the latest forecast for an example.

 They want to keep us sad. Its not just the weather/glasto, look at the shite they pedal on the news and what's left of there programming. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

21 minutes ago, The Nal said:

BBC have updated

 

😊😊😊

they’ve just flipped it again since that was posted.  Someone at the beeb doesn’t have a ticket😉

[hurdy]

2 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

😊😊😊

they’ve just flipped it again since that was posted.  Someone at the beeb doesn’t have a ticket😉

Doesn't everyone at the BBC have a ticket?

[devonhammer]

2 minutes ago, hurdy said:

Doesn't everyone at the BBC have a ticket?

 

There's an intern in the iPlayer team who has to stay behind to make sure that the Glasonbury content is all working. They also do the weather forecasts based on old Nanny Hilda's tealeaves.

[briddj]

42 minutes ago, bennyboi said:

 

The BBC is an essential part of the demoralisation campaign. Them and Apple are always the most pessimistic. 

 

Funny that.... 

 

 

[kpins]

I reckon the BBC change it so often to make sure people keep checking it and they get more hits - same as any commercial enterprise really. And it works 

[Jacko45]

@briddj We got an evening kick-off?

 

By that I mean we got a run to get really scared about?

[ibilly99]

54 minutes ago, bennyboi said:

 

The BBC is an essential part of the demoralisation campaign. Them and Apple are always the most pessimistic. 

 

Funny that.... 

BBC put their weather out to contract a few years ago and the Met Office was supposed to win (£75 million) but the Beeb being decent coves didn't tip them off so these new guys won who are frankly rubbish. The army and air traffic control does use the Met Office so you can safely discount the Beeb's new rubbish forecasts. How do I know ? My brother worked for them until quite recently and told me.

[Aragorn]

10 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

@briddj We got an evening kick-off?

 

By that I mean we got a run to get really scared about?

 

its rolling out now - upto next Sun day at present with high pressure over the UK - sneek peek 

 

 

 

[briddj]

12 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

@briddj We got an evening kick-off?

 

By that I mean we got a run to get really scared about?

 

The fun has only just begun.

[briddj]

Got a feeling this run ain't gonna be as good......

[AdrianH]

12z GFS isnt quite as clean as the 6z with the main atlantic trough getting closer to the UK.

 

Maybe a few scattered showers for Tuesday night queuers but a good/warm run so far

[Euphoricape]

Looks like another scorcher to me..

[Friendly Banter]

Off tomorrow from the States.  I’ve sacrificed bag space with packed wellies, jackets and such.  Doing my part. 

[briddj]

Ok, we had a good run on the 06Z. Can we get it firmed up on the 12Z? Let's find out!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

We're now starting to get into the period of more certainty for the weekend, and yet again there effectively no rain in the forecast. What is there is basically very light for a short period (also a couple of patches of drizzle Monday and Tuesday). It looks like there's no danger of a churn up before the gates open. 

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry for gates open, temps of 19-20.

 

Completely dry through the day with highs of 23-24.

 

Overnight into Thursday, 15-16.

 

 

The high pressure isn't quite as in demand in this run (on the right), though it's not too much different. How will it develop?

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry on site, but there is a very small pocket of light rain out to the east in the early evening. Highs of 24-25.

 

Overnight into Friday, 15-16.

 

 

This is more danger from low pressure from the north on this run (on the right).

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry (ignore the wispy blue) with highs of 24-25.

 

Overnight into Saturday, 14-15.

 

 

Good news! The high pressure is now winning the battle. As you can see on the right, we've moved into a deeper red. But will it last?

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry (ignore the wispy blue) with highs of 21-22.

 

Overnight into Sunday, 10-12.

 

 

High pressure is in a very similar place to the last run, though temps are a few degrees down.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry with highs of 21-22.

 

Overnight into Monday, 12.

 

 

The low out in the Atlantic isn't as threatening (right), which is good to see.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

Not quite as good as the last run, but still bloody great - and many people will appreciate the slightly lower temperatures on the weekend.