The Weather Thread 2024

[CanWeRest]

The BBC forecast for Pilton looks lovely all the way through 🤷🏼‍♀️

Edited June 19 by CanWeRest

[CaledonianGonzo]

Yes but then I might have to put on a sunhat

[CaledonianGonzo]

We'd have d@bbed up if it was this weekend.

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

We'd have d@bbed up if it was this weekend.

 

I refuse to believe we can have weeks of shite, one week of great weather back into utter rubbish.

 

SURELLLYYYY

[albinolove]

Where’s Fuzzy Dunlop when we need him?

[gherkin8r]

2 minutes ago, albinolove said:

Where’s Fuzzy Dunlop when we need him?

Unfortunately he moved on to the next world after temps crept above 19 last year 

[sedra]

Didn’t we have this before a week out in 2019 - up and down like a yo-yo then alright in the end? Am packing the wellies, waterproofs and poncho along with the sun hat. 

[ramblingmad]

Oh no, what a nightmare:(

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, ramblingmad said:

Oh no, what a nightmare:(

 

In fairness they weren't nightmarish, just not amazing.

 

Showers and colder, would be a little less vibey but not nightmare territory.

[gigpusher]

Even the day before the festival is too early to be accurate for the whole festival. Just prepare for all eventualities and what will be will be. Keep fingers crossed for a dry one and try to make weather gods sacrifices when you can though obviously!!

[CaledonianGonzo]

2 minutes ago, sedra said:

Didn’t we have this before a week out in 2019 - up and down like a yo-yo then alright in the end? Am packing the wellies, waterproofs and poncho along with the sun hat. 

 

I say this every year, and not directed at you, but letting the weather forecast influence your packing to the degree that you're not prepared with gear for either wet weather or sun is amateur hour coded.

[gigpusher]

1 minute ago, Jacko45 said:

 

In fairness they weren't nightmarish, just not amazing.

 

Showers and colder, would be a little less vibey but not nightmare territory.

Yes I'd say we have pretty much avoided a 2016 situation already. The forecasts seem a bit more 2011-2015 territory which is mixed bag rather than total shitshow. If it's raining I would like temps to be a little warmer.

[briddj]

12 minutes ago, CanWeRest said:

The BBC forecast for Pilton looks lovely all the way through 🤷🏼‍♀️

 

The apps won't have factored in the latest information at this point.

[northernringo]

What time is the next run? I'm simply ignoring this morning's...

[HotChipWillBreakYourLegs]

15 minutes ago, CanWeRest said:

The BBC forecast for Pilton looks lovely all the way through 🤷🏼‍♀️

 

Absolutely smashing it.  If you want optimism go and look there!

[Jacko45]

Just now, northernringo said:

What time is the next run? I'm simply ignoring this morning's...

 

Isn't it usually around midday?

 

If they concur then I'm reasonably concerned it's getting too close to be wildly incorrect

[CaledonianGonzo]

Just now, Jacko45 said:

 

Isn't it usually around midday?

 

If they concur then I'm reasonably concerned it's getting too close to be wildly incorrect

7 to 10 days isn't close

[Jacko45]

4 minutes ago, gigpusher said:

Yes I'd say we have pretty much avoided a 2016 situation already. The forecasts seem a bit more 2011-2015 territory which is mixed bag rather than total shitshow. If it's raining I would like temps to be a little warmer.

 

Yeah the fields have had 7+ days of glorious sun and breeze by time of gates open, so a mud bath becomes increasingly unlikely.

[Trunks1993]

This mornings operational is a proven outlier based on the ensembles. The mean of those would be an all timer festival 

[briddj]

4 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Isn't it usually around midday?

 

If they concur then I'm reasonably concerned it's getting too close to be wildly incorrect

 

Starts at 10.30.

[Ayrshire Chris]

22 minutes ago, CanWeRest said:

The BBC forecast for Pilton looks lovely all the way through 🤷🏼‍♀️

At last a bbc forecast I believe

[gigpusher]

3 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Isn't it usually around midday?

 

If they concur then I'm reasonably concerned it's getting too close to be wildly incorrect

The problem is everything around at the moment is unsettled and changeable if we had a huge band of either high or low pressure and it had been hanging around for a while and there was no sign of it moving then maybe you could put some stock in it but every expert I have seen talk about it says that's not what we have at the moment. Currently it's highly changeable. I think even by Monday night we won't have much certainty. It's a year when you need to be prepared for what happens. Pack sunblock, walking boots/wellies/layers of clothing and waterproofs.

[Colorblindjames]

On the news this morning they are saying that the jet stream is moving north this weekend bringing better weather. Could the jet stream move back down again 3-4 days later? 

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

 

Starts at 10.30.

 

Briddj have a word with them for the next one, we don't need this fear carry on. 

[CR77]

8 minutes ago, sedra said:

Didn’t we have this before a week out in 2019 - up and down like a yo-yo then alright in the end? Am packing the wellies, waterproofs and poncho along with the sun hat. 

 

In 2022, on the first day on the festival, the predicted weather for the five days was:

SUNNY / THUNDERSTORMS / LIGHT RAIN / RAIN / RAIN

 

In the end, it was sunny all five days, no thunderstorm, with just a little drizzle on the Friday late afternoon, and early one morning while most people were asleep anyway - ground dry by the time I got up at 8am.
 

I've been going every year since 2017 and haven't ever taken wellies.  I look at the GFS pressure and precipitation charts - which are vaguely a good indication for the five days.  Plus the predicted rainfall on Accuweather.  1mm of rain predicated on Accuweather is nothing, but sometimes that warrants a rain symbol on the BBC weather page, which can be misleading!