The Weather Thread 2024

[CaledonianGonzo]

Given the line up has d@bbed down we really need the weather to shoulder the burden and d@b up an equivalent amount to restore balance.

[Jacko45]

4 minutes ago, briddj said:

It's fun time again! Bring on the 12Z. Will Wednesday improve?

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Now seems set on that rain overnight Friday into Saturday, but there's not much. The loads of drying time with temps of 16-17, 20, 21-22, 24-25. Heating up!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

It's now COMPLETELY DRY for gates open, with temperatures of 17-18.

 

And Wednesday is completely dry and SCORCHIO at 25-26.

 

Overnight temperatures into Thursday of 16-17.

 

 

High pressure is in control in this run (on the right), and it's BUILDING (latest on the right).

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

Overnight temperatures into Friday of 17-18.

 

 

 

High pressure remains in command and looks to be staying strong (latest on the right).

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, ignore the wispy blue, highs of 28-30.

 

Overnight temperatures into Saturday of 18.

 

 

The low to the north is being completely repelled and heat continues to build on this run (latest on the right). However, is there a risk out off the coast of Spain?

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

 

 

But that pesky pocket seems to be moving up from Spain... will it get to us? Latest run on the right.

 

 

Luckily we as move overnight, the apocalypse misses Glasto and goes for south central instead. Overnight temperatures into Sunday of 18.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

There are showers around, with highs of 20-21, but all the heavy rain is going out to the east.

 

Highs of 18 overnight into Monday.

 

 

And here you can see that danger, with the pocket again having moved up from Spain to be off the coast of England. Latest run on the right.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A fantastic run, and one to celebrate - but not without concerns about possible rain / thunderstorms amid the heat next weekend.

 

It's all to play for, and we're BACK ON THE BUS.

 

 

 

This is what weather threaders live for, this is vintage knife edge stuff.

 

Could be tents floating around after a sharp crazy deluge or it's club tropicana all weekend.

 

It's never simple, it's never clear cut, but that's the weather thread.

Edited June 19 by Jacko45

[Spindles]

Those overnight temps are lush.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Weather thread today giving

 

 

 

[doogie]

42 minutes ago, LinvoyPrimus said:

And even then… Pilton in Somerset NOT Pilton in Devon. 

or just go with East Pennard. There's only one of them.

 

Edited June 19 by doogie

[Superscally]

Which model do we use @briddj- what is all the GFS operational, 06Z etc? Is there a summary? 😄

[briddj]

1 minute ago, Superscally said:

Which model do we use @briddj- what is all the GFS operational, 06Z etc? Is there a summary? 😄

 

It's at the bottom of the previous page. 🤬

[Suprefan]

[Superscally]

15 minutes ago, Superscally said:

Which model do we use @briddj- what is all the GFS operational, 06Z etc? Is there a summary? 😄

 

13 minutes ago, briddj said:

 

It's at the bottom of the previous page. 🤬

No, I mean what do the letters and codes mean! 😔

[Superscally]

Just now, Superscally said:

 

No, I mean what do the letters and codes mean! 😔

So I see that this is general info and have googled, but why do we choose GFS and not European model which was rated higher in the article I read? 

😄

[MagicStones]

43 minutes ago, briddj said:

It's fun time again! Bring on the 12Z. Will Wednesday improve?

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

Now seems set on that rain overnight Friday into Saturday, but there's not much. The loads of drying time with temps of 16-17, 20, 21-22, 24-25. Heating up!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

It's now COMPLETELY DRY for gates open, with temperatures of 17-18.

 

And Wednesday is completely dry and SCORCHIO at 25-26.

 

Overnight temperatures into Thursday of 16-17.

 

 

High pressure is in control in this run (on the right), and it's BUILDING (latest on the right).

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

Overnight temperatures into Friday of 17-18.

 

 

 

High pressure remains in command and looks to be staying strong (latest on the right).

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, ignore the wispy blue, highs of 28-30.

 

Overnight temperatures into Saturday of 18.

 

 

The low to the north is being completely repelled and heat continues to build on this run (latest on the right). However, is there a risk out off the coast of Spain?

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 25-26.

 

 

 

But that pesky pocket seems to be moving up from Spain... will it get to us? Latest run on the right.

 

 

Luckily we as move overnight, the apocalypse misses Glasto and goes for south central instead. Overnight temperatures into Sunday of 18.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

There are showers around, with highs of 20-21, but all the heavy rain is going out to the east.

 

 

Highs of 18 overnight into Monday.

 

 

And here you can see that danger, with the pocket again having moved up from Spain to be off the coast of England. Latest run on the right.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A fantastic run, and one to celebrate - but not without concerns about possible rain / thunderstorms amid the heat next weekend.

 

It's all to play for, and we're BACK ON THE BUS.

 

 

👌 That will do really very nicely and lovely indeed! Let me off this rollercoaster now, I really can't take anymore! 🤢

[4AssedMonkey]

3 hours ago, Beaver89 said:

No look here, I had finally erased the memory of that bloody 2011 queuing fiasco and you had to go and replant it. Thanks!

 

😉

Sorry man, I feel your pain! Took 3 of us 4 attempts to get our 1 trolley up that slope. I have the occasional Iraq war style fever dream about in this day! (You weren’t there man, you don’t know!)

[Aragorn]

28 minutes ago, Superscally said:

So I see that this is general info and have googled, but why do we choose GFS and not European model which was rated higher in the article I read? 

😄

 

The ECMWF is more accurate but doesn't go out as far as GFS in terms of range. ECMWF is currently showing out till satdee of the festival. 

 

The UKMO goes out to 120 hours and is the one I think gives the most accurate forecast. Will be in range after the weekend. Mogreps also worth a look

[Neil]

there's a rumour going around, that summer has arrived. 🙂 

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

👏🏼🌞👏🏼🌞

 

Keep up the good work with the sacrifices people!

Edited June 19 by Bike_Like_A_Mum

[dingbat2]

Anyone seen the BBC forecast tonight, it's dry and lush from now until gates open. Weather goes up to Wednesday and consistently sunny and 25c. No sign of risk in the forecast from what I saw, the weather is going to be brilliant you lucky bastards! Weather is no longer a problem in terms of mud, cold, rain or wind. It's looking brill, go and have a ball, only a week to go! 

[dingbat2]

... But pack loads of suncream, wear a hat and keep your water bottle full... Hydration will be important 

Edited June 19 by dingbat2

[PollyPeach]

This is a classic knife edge year... is the next run tomorrow morning?

[AdrianH]

ECM 12z out to 168hz (Wednesday morning) is good and similar to its morning run. Low pressure goes south and sends hot air up to the UK.

[briddj]

7 minutes ago, PollyPeach said:

This is a classic knife edge year... is the next run tomorrow morning?

 

10.30 but I don't do a full review of the late one as it doesn't finish until just before midnight.

[AdrianH]

ECM similar run to earlier and the GFS. Low pressure goes south, we get warm/hot air over us and then the low meanders its way back up to us for the weekend. Too far away to be even semi reliable but it it seems to be this evenings trend! - See where we are at in the morning.

[gherkin8r]

25 minutes ago, Bike_Like_A_Mum said:

👏🏼🌞👏🏼🌞

 

Keep up the good work with the sacrifices people!

 I nearly bought a poncho earlier for a fiver but I'm superstitious that every time I buy waterproof stuff I end up needing it. Pretending everything is going to be fine seems to work for me

[cb4747]

I have put my wellies back in the cupboard! Hurrah! 

[parsonjack]

Just now, cb4747 said:

I have put my wellies back in the cupboard! Hurrah! 

Nooooo!

 

Take them back out right now!

 

😬

[Toilet Duck]

1 hour ago, 4AssedMonkey said:

Sorry man, I feel your pain! Took 3 of us 4 attempts to get our 1 trolley up that slope. I have the occasional Iraq war style fever dream about in this day! (You weren’t there man, you don’t know!)

We arrived at PGA to find it was temporarily closed and were routed up to PGD. Rain, mud and that slippery slope you describe. But, all of us made it in one piece and in decent shape, a little damp, but pretty clean. All bar one of our particularly clumsy mates who sauntered up behind us, covered from head to toe in mud. Claimed someone with a pram tripped him, to which one of my other mates replied, yeah yeah, blame it on the buggy! That’s my overriding memory of the whole trip in on Wednesday in 2011. Laughing our asses off as we went through the gates.