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WEATHER 2009 !


Guest sdaveak47

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it wasn't the rain as such, it was the feeling of crushed hopes and the thought of trudging though 2007 style mud for the next four days, but this time with the kids in tow. If I had been responsible for no more than myself, I think I'd have taken it better.
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I cried in my tent for about an hour in 98. After 97 I'd convinced myself that it couldn't be as bad again and I just couldn't believe it when it was.

When it rained on Thursday last year i was out and got soaked because I'd left the tent mid afternoon in glorius sunshine - I didn't cry but I just felt proper gutted.

It's about how it spoils how pretty it is - how it just turns everything brown - I hate that!

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has the netweather monthly forcast been posted for our collective weatherfix yet? here it is...

"June will be a month of two halves, a blocked first half and then a more unsettled second half, but I expect all regions to have a warm sunny month overall.

With strong high pressure to the north continuing to throw a ridge over the British Isles, the 1st to 4th of June will be dry and sunny almost everywhere, with maximum temperatures of 22 to 24C in most places, and 25-27C locally. It will be cooler on the east coast, however, and in south-east Scotland and north-east England and East Anglia some low cloud will roll in to coastal regions from the North Sea on the 2nd and 3rd. Inland parts of those regions will stay warm and sunny. In addition, there will be isolated thundery downpours over south-west England on the 1st and 2nd, and in central and northern Britain on the 3rd and 4th- but no more than 20% chance in any one location.

The 5th will be the hottest day of the week in central and eastern England with temperatures reaching 25-27C, but cloud and some light rain will spread south during the afternoon and evening. A sluggish northerly airflow on the 6th and 7th will bring dry sunny weather to the west, patchy cloud and a few light showers to the east, and highs ranging from 14-16C in eastern Scotland to 18-20C in many western areas. Some notably cold nights can be expected with a touch of frost in some inland northern areas.

The second week of June will commence with cool cloudy north-easterly winds over eastern and southern parts of England, but elsewhere it will continue dry with sunny spells. During the latter part of the week the high pressure will transfer eastwards, giving dry sunny weather everywhere and temperatures climbing back into the low to mid 20s Celsius. Towards midmonth there is a high probability of a Spanish plume setting up which will bring some thunderstorms for some parts of the country.

The third week is likely to be the most unsettled of the month with low pressure increasingly prevalent to the west of Britain, bringing bands of rain interspersed with brighter showery weather, especially later in the week. It will be a rather wet week in many western areas, and a thundery one in the south. Temperatures will reach highs of 22-25C in East Anglia and the southeast but it will be closer to average elsewhere. The last week is likely to continue in a similar vein but I envisage one or two high pressure interludes, most likely the 25th-28th, which will bring dry sunny weather.

Overview

I am going for a June CET of 15.8C. This may come as a surprise given the likelihood of northerly winds being frequent in the first half of the month, but I expect high pressure to be close by throughout, and then southerly winds are likely to be anomalously prevalent in the second half of the month. At a regional level, I expect mean maximum temperatures to range from 1.5-2.0C above the long-term mean in east-coast areas and south-west England, to 2-3C above in western Scotland and north-west England, while mean minimum temperatures will be 1 to 1.5C above.

It will be a dry month except in Wales, Ireland and south-western England where rainfall will be close to the long-term normal. Shortages of over 50% are likely in parts of south-east England and north-east Scotland.

Sunshine is likely to be well above average, except in East Anglia where sunshine totals will be close to normal. Excesses of 10 to 20% will be typical, and 30% across north-west England and the north Midlands.

Forecast issued by Ian Simpson (aka Thundery wintry showers) on 31 May 2009."

i wonder if Ian Simpson is off to pilton in 3 weeks too....? :)

3 WEEKS PEOPLE!!!

<_<:D:)

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Thanks for that redmuz

(BTW I was wearing your NO RAIN NO MUD NO COMPROMISE! shirt last Saturday at Sunrise, and it was both totally appropariate for that perfect weather fest, and much noticed and commented on! Cheers! :lol:

I've been on Netweather but missed Ian Simpson's forecast. Treat it with caution though, as it was first put up on 31st May (ie Sunday) and there'll be constant changes as the month goes on.

Except for his window of hope re 25th-28th June (not long enough mind!!), I don't at all like his references to a wetter South West and Wales, while drier everywhere else, either!

ETA : To be fair though, normal/average rainfall for June is pretty low, far less than the anomalously wet June of 2007 especially, when the UK overall had 191% or more of the total, and Somerset and other parts of the West and North even more than that.

I'm all over the plaCe aren't i? Want my HIT! Want reassurance!!! :):D

Anyway, I very much hope that the above forecast is superseded by improvements to JACKONE's updated picture next Monday and next week, and that the BBC stick to their predictions for a summery second half to June. The latter I'm fearing is now getting out of date ...

Right now I'm VERY nervous, and more than a bit pessimistic, because there's definitely a sharp downgrade to the weather coming up from tomorrow and over the weekend, with a risk of a fair bit of rain in Cambridge for Strawberry Fair this coming Saturday <_<:) -- and definitely a fair bit chillier.

Next week looks poor to at most indifferent too.

Of course there's still time to recover again, but what I'm scared about is an Atlantic dominated/Low Pressure dominated Atlantic pattern setting in and getting hard to shift. That dreaded Southerly Tracking Jet is one to hate for those who know about it, it was what we suffered last two Junes and summers.

Pray for a non repeat of that!

Sorry folks. If we get start to get a few more positive indications again I'm sure my mood will change. Netweather forum chat isn't leaving much hope for the time being though. Still, like on all forums re weather, the mood over there always changes over time as different models are released. But I'm well nervous ....

By the way AccuWeather is US based and should be treated with caution.

Edited by William of Walworth
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Except for his window of hope re 25th-28th June (not long enough mind!!), I don't at all like his references to a wetter South West and Wales, while drier everywhere else, either!

By the way AccuWeather is US based and should be treated with caution.

Edited by redmuz
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Thanks for that redmuz

(BTW I was wearing your NO RAIN NO MUD NO COMPROMISE! shirt last Saturday at Sunrise, and it was both totally appropariate for that perfect weather fest, and much noticed and commented on! Cheers! :)

I've been on Netweather but missed Ian Simpson's forecast. Treat it with caution though, as it was first put up on 31st May (ie Sunday) and there'll be constant changes as the month goes on.

Except for his window of hope re 25th-28th June (not long enough mind!!), I don't at all like his references to a wetter South West and Wales, while drier everywhere else, either!

ETA : To be fair though, normal/average rainfall for June is pretty low, far less than the anomalously wet June of 2007 especially, when the UK overall had 191% or more of the total, and Somerset and other parts of the West and North even more than that.

I'm all over the plaCe aren't i? Want my HIT! Want reassurance!!! :);)

Anyway, I very much hope that the above forecast is superseded by improvements to JACKONE's updated picture next Monday and next week, and that the BBC stick to their predictions for a summery second half to June. The latter I'm fearing is now getting out of date ...

Right now I'm VERY nervous, and more than a bit pessimistic, because there's definitely a sharp downgrade to the weather coming up from tomorrow and over the weekend, with a risk of a fair bit of rain in Cambridge for Strawberry Fair this coming Saturday :):) -- and definitely a fair bit chillier.

Next week looks poor to at most indifferent too.

Of course there's still time to recover again, but what I'm scared about is an Atlantic dominated/Low Pressure dominated Atlantic pattern setting in and getting hard to shift. That dreaded Southerly Tracking Jet is one to hate for those who know about it, it was what we suffered last two Junes and summers.

Pray for a non repeat of that!

Sorry folks. If we get start to get a few more positive indications again I'm sure my mood will change. Netweather forum chat isn't leaving much hope for the time being though. Still, like on all forums re weather, the mood over there always changes over time as different models are released. But I'm well nervous ....

By the way AccuWeather is US based and should be treated with caution.

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Yes, but the BBC have completely failed to predict my local weather 19 days out of the last 20.

...and on all of those occasions, actually failing to report the actual weather at the time.

They're hardly a reliable source. ;)

Edited by sdaveak47
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No Storm you've not quite grasped it,

Any predictions of a sunny glastonbury must be embraced without question.

Theres no way that the finest scientists the British Broadcasting Corporation has to offer would ever get it wrong.

Unless of course they were predicting rain. then i'd be with you 100% those f**kwits have no idea

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