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WEATHER 2009 !


Guest sdaveak47

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Yesterday on Netweather at least one regular poster, an experienced forecaster, was predicting no more than a 10% chance of showers late next week, that Met Office update looks like an upgrade to that unfortunately.

You know what? One year, just one year, I'd like a CERTAIN warm sunny scorcher confidently and unchangingly and reliably predicted for the entire of Glastonbury week.

I know the forecast remains pretty damned good in general, especially for the start, so I shouldn't moan because we're certainly not in for a 2007. But we're OWED a unbrokenly dry sunny and good one throughout, and I'm fearful of the risk of further downgrades in later updates ...

06z might be an outlier (still looks quite like one for now) but on the other hand it might be picking up on a new trend :lol:

I have one more day, tomorrow morning (Friday) to gather updates. We're off to Glastonbury town on Saturday and onsite from Monday as early-arrival Info Crew (our tickets arrived this morning :D ).

After Saturday, I'm reliant on paolo999's gadgetsery for updates ... ;)

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good post from north sea snow on netweather regarding the 06z

The GFS always becomes progressive as it enters the lower resolution part of the model, so I wouldn't pay too much attention to the sudden changes in pattern that often occur after t180. These can be indicative of possible trends - but these are often over exaggerated and nearer the time they either dont materialise at all or they are watered down. Rarely, they will upgrade in intensity - but at this stage I wouldn't take much notice.

I think that a trend towards falling pressure eventually towards the souuth and south west is entirely possible - but that doesn't mean in any shape or form that it will go from blue skies to washout in the blink of an eye

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