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WEATHER 2009 !


Guest sdaveak47

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Guys Guys Guys...Heres the Deal.... The models past t+96 are to be used only for spotting likely trends and patterns, they are NOT Gospel.Therefore by tuesday we should all have a fair idea on what to expect. A glorious run up is pretty much nailed on and from then on in, Who knows.

It's my 10th Gladstock and having experienced the full spectrum of weather one things for sure, 180.000 people in a good mood enjoying themselves regardless is worth whatever mother nature can throw at you!!

I can't blurry wait........ I'm setting off Weds am to make the most of It!!

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Guys Guys Guys...Heres the Deal.... The models past t+96 are to be used only for spotting likely trends and patterns, they are NOT Gospel.Therefore by tuesday we should all have a fair idea on what to expect. A glorious run up is pretty much nailed on and from then on in, Who knows.

It's my 10th Gladstock and having experienced the full spectrum of weather one things for sure, 180.000 people in a good mood enjoying themselves regardless is worth whatever mother nature can throw at you!!

I can't blurry wait........ I'm setting off Weds am to make the most of It!!

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I know Jackone is doing his best, but I am getting a bit fed up with the roller coast weather predictions.

The chart I would like to see is % correct forcast against days, eg 1 day in advance you would expect a very high figure and 10 days a very low figure. The % correct figure must somehow eliminate chance, eg if you forcast rain every day then you will be 50% right overall

From my experiece the zero correct seems to come very soon after 5 days.

Sorry to be so serious but I really am fed up with flip flop weather forcasts.

How big is the met office latest lucky strike computer, I am sure I heard a football pitch mentioned the other week.

Forcast for my mood is remaing low this weekend in the east but very high levels of excitement building in the west next week. At least I know that is correct, what ever the weather.

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still reckon it'll be a scorcher

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Lock this thread please until Sunday. Kids need to be fed, work to be done, food needs to be bought, across the world. Its madness.

There is a strong midway shuffle 98z rising slowly from France towards Belgium Satuday afternoon 16.40 GMT heading towards the UK on the wrong side of the road. This means Tony in Cardiff needs to splash out on waders and suncream...

I blame Australia and ITV 2.

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The 18z GFS is looking better btw, and to be expected considering what a massive outlier the 12z was for rainfall as shown a few pages back! It shows small amounts of rain Saturday night and Sunday, but the heavy stuff shown on Sunday on the 12z has been pushed back to Monday evening.

It does show potential for convective showers (thunderstorm possibly?) on Thursday evening over SW England, but you can probably ignore that kind of detail shown at T+168 hours B)

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I know none of us on here know what the weather is going to be like and all but a fair few of us guys on here live in the south-west and watching our local news (Points west) the weather they are showing and predicting looks pretty good to be honest.

Theres two huge bulks of High presure sat out in the atlantic and even in thre early part of next week the first one hasnt even fully coverd the south-west and im no weather man i know, i know but surely the next bit of High presure shouldn't go to far ofcourse from us.

The weather is going to be great me thinks!

Edited by Conrax
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Stop panicking. It's like me opening up the bonnet of a car and screaming because I see some oil. I don't know why it's there but it doesn't look right to me :)

If you're not a weather forecaster-type, then just looking at the various 12z, 54z, 8xyz is like looking at one piece of a jigsaw puzzle. Calm down, listen to reason (when reason says its going to be sunny B)) and get your suncream out :D

If it rains, we'll deal. This is the first year in God knows how long we've even entertaining taking suncream, so enjoy it :D

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well things have changed somewhat, the gfs model is insisting on bringing in a low and giving rain over the week-end. Its persisted with this for a few runs now, hopefully as it is T180+ the GFS is being too progressive with this. There are no available ensembles that I can see so am unable to see how many other runs agree with it. Euros are out soon though

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well things have changed somewhat, the gfs model is insisting on bringing in a low and giving rain over the week-end. Its persisted with this for a few runs now, hopefully as it is T180+ the GFS is being too progressive with this. There are no available ensembles that I can see so am unable to see how many other runs agree with it. Euros are out soon though
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must admit its pissing me off. my missus first glast was 2007 and she did not come last year in the veritable dry one, all I can say is the GFS has and does tend to over egg things in the mid-long term. All eyes on the UKMO and ECMWF this week-end to see if they agree with the GFS

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