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WEATHER 2009 !


Guest sdaveak47

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Remember last year, 2008, the best one in years etc? Well Jackone had this report on the 19th June last year (scale was 1-5 then):

Summary

There really is a major difference between the control run and the ensembles,

The control shows unsettled conditions, I'll stick with a 2 forecast for the festival, indicting a higher than average chance of a wet festival.

However the ensembles make this very uncertain, with the best ensembles runs seen since Monday.

As you can see, plenty of room for change and on Glasto Tuesday last year we had this

The score is therefore reverting to a 2, with more chance of a unsettled festival than a heat wave, however it all depends on the rain late Thursday into Friday, if this rain misses Glastonbury, then the conditions should be generally not that bad.

He got it BANG on, rain Thurs into Friday - that was a 2 or a 4 on the 1-10 scale. I make a 6 good at the moment.

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models are still playing around with this low on friday and into the week-end, none of them are sure quite how the high will regress....east or north east

there will deffo be no surety until tuesday I reckon

what we can be sure of is a fab opening to the festival I think

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For the Wednesday to the Friday, it is set to be mainly dry, very warm with only the outside chance of a shower, into the weekend, and the GFS is quite progressive in bringing in unsettled and potentially wet weather. The ECM is slightly less keen on this although it is slowly set to turn less settled with increasing chance of a shower. The ensembles keep the pressure higher over the UK than either of ECM and GFS, restricting further the chance of wet weather.
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I'm fairly happy with JackOne's forecast at this stage ;)

You know how they've built a retractable roof to go over Centre Court at Wimbledon this year, in case it rains? Do you reckon it would cost much to do the same thing over Glastonbury?

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Oh no first ever post showed myself up! Memories gone, 2005 was that major thunder storm-had a baby in 2007 was a little glad it rained cos I couldnt go-sorry but I hate to miss a party,

but it is gonne be hot this year-I bought new wellies,

last year was cool in all senses but looks warmer this year-so the dog walkers of somerset say......

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Oh no first ever post showed myself up! Memories gone, 2005 was that major thunder storm-had a baby in 2007 was a little glad it rained cos I couldnt go-sorry but I hate to miss a party,

but it is gonne be hot this year-I bought new wellies,

last year was cool in all senses but looks warmer this year-so the dog walkers of somerset say......

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2003 - dry Wednesday.

2004 - rained on Wednesday.

2007 - very soggy ground Wednesday after crazy Tuesday weather, and rained on queueing.

2008 - rained on queueing on Wednesday.

That's what I was talking about - the absence of insecurity about the first few days is a luxury this year.

Do try and be less abrasive without cause dear.

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Been on site today at another festival with somebody who's been working on the build in Pilton and he was saying how great it had been both for the site and the workers to have such great weather in the run up and how it means the build is very advanced.

Also, I got bought some gorgeous purple Hunters for my birthday after years of having rubbish wellies. I am dying to wear them. This almost certainly means it will be an absolute scorcher and they will stay unworn in my tent ;)

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