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Weather Watch


Guest GeordieMartin

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Last year the weather forecast on the Monday prior to the festival was pretty appalling. It turned out to be glorious for pretty much the entire weekend. The long term forecasts are subject to so much change it's not really worth worrying about them.

Having said that, I've been checking them religiously every day. Which makes me a hypocrite.

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Hurricane Irene is throwing a massive spanner in the works even for the UK.

The general outlook was fine but throwing a major hurricane in has disrupted the forecast. Until the track of this monster is confirmed stateside we simply don't know where the area of windy, unsettled weather that will be its legacy will end up.

One of the major forecasting models is predicting gales and rain for Friday through to Sunday. Another has warm sunshine until Sunday and then some rain. So it's all guess work until Irene touches down on American soil I'm afraid.

For those who do that sort of thing, pray for less than a CAT 1 hurricane over New York and a strong area of High pressure over the mid-Atlantic.

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I imagine that if they have a couple of days' notice that air travel from the east coast is still up the spout there'd be enough sympathetic British bands to fill the gaps, though even so if two of the top three Woods stage bands on Friday have to pull out that'd be something of a quandary. (There are, it should be said, a few NY/Texas artists - Josh T, Best Coast, Kurt Vile - already doing European dates, and for those Americans based further west I'd imagine there's ways round)

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Accuweather now say a couple of showers on friday, but dry for the rest of the festival.

A big improvement on what they've been saying for the last few days.

:):):):):):):):):):)

hmmm, seems there is a 10 emoticon per post limit.

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While it looks decent now, the only reliable predictions come two or three days in advance once they've worked out how fast and far the areas of pressure are moving. There's always the knowledge that, bar two hours one Friday, EOTR's always pretty much got away with it in wet weather terms.

In terms of bands being able to make it, looks like the tropical storm, as it became, has now passed New York and airports will be operational again from tomorrow afternoon: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-14702013

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I have always found the BBC Monthly Outlook Weather forecast to be as reliable as anywhere else and more so than most.

This morning's update:

Monday 29 August 2011 to Sunday 4 September 2011

Let's calm things down a bit...

After a wild end to the weekend for northern Scotland, conditions should settle down somewhat with a ridge of high pressure finally taking hold over the whole country.

While it promises to be mainly dry, sunshine is likely to be in short supply for much of the week. The best of any cloud breaks are likely to be in southeast Scotland, the southwest peninsula and along the south coast of England.

By the end of Friday though, what once was tropical cyclone Irene - now just an area of low pressure - comes to pay us a visit, bringing with it more wet and windy weather for Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Further south, by contrast, we end on a warm and bright note, setting up for a classic northwest-southeast split to begin the coming week.

So it's wellies back in the shed and get the Factor 8 in the rucksack for all!

Ben

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Good to see the weather looks alright at the moment - although from past festival experience I know assumptions aren't the best idea at this point!

I'm completely strapped for time before the festival and the Blacks I stopped by today had no wellies in my size... presumably there are plenty of places to get wellies at the festival?

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