mayoral elections

[lharris92]

Boris is only 4 points ahead so far...

there's still hope...!

[Ed209]

Some dude at YouGov has just called it for Boris saying his lead is now "bomb proof"

[thesecretingredientiscrime]

Some dude at YouGov has just called it for Boris saying his lead is now "bomb proof"

[rug568]

Boris on 44%

Ken on 40%

Jenny on 5%

Siobhan and Brian tied on 4%

11/14 constituencies declared.

Edited May 4, 2012 by rug568

[Ed209]

Chief analyst at YouGov:

[boris Johnson] has a clear lead. It is currently running at about 4 percentage points. Boris was up 1 point from four years ago. Ken is up 3 points from four years ago. So the gap has closed by 2. The gap was 6. The gap is now 4. It may change very slightly with the remaining 5 seats. But not by much.

[What we are seeing with second preferences] is that Ken is slightly ahead, but there's not much in it. So if Boris is coming out 3 or 4 points ahead on the first count, as I think he wil, that's too big a lead for Ken to overturn. So my prediction is that Boris will be up at around 51 and a half, 52%, Ken 48, 48 and a half per cent. A tantalisingly narrow vote. But I think it is just wide enough, with the figures we've got, to say Boris has won.

[rug568]

Brent & Harrow, Enfield & Haringey and North East are the three remaining constituencies counting.

The London elects website says all three will go to Labour.

But what do i know. If YouGov have called it i would say it's quite likely Boris will win.

[lharris92]

well this is the bbc figures:

Boris Johnson

CON 807,065 46.73

Ken Livingstone

LAB 650,502

37.67

after 11 of 14

source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/special/vote2012/mayor/

[rug568]

Updated after 12/14

Boris Johnson

CON 861,367 44.88%

Ken Livingstone

LAB 753,436 39.25%

From the Guardian

Edited May 4, 2012 by rug568

[LondonTom]

15 Orangutans that look like Boris

[lharris92]

depends on how many votes bojo gets in the last 2 constituencies. going to be quite close though

[rug568]

As i said earlier, the london elects website has Brent and Harrow with a marginal lead for Ken, and predicts that in Enfield there will be a relatively strong victory for Ken.

[lharris92]

got to be close for no word to being said at the moment

[rug568]

BBC reporting that Brent and Harrow have had problems with the postal vote and that we'll get a 5 minute warning before full results are announced.

[thesecretingredientiscrime]

Latest I've seen is Ken is ahead by 4,000 on second preference but.............

a whole box of votes is still to be counted, because the automatic voting counter tore ballot papers and they had to be counted by hand.

Supposedly, the GLA lawyers have been told to stay behind in case there's any "disputes".....

Edit: Supposedly they've just found more votes.

The word "brewery" comes to mind.

Edited May 4, 2012 by thesecretingredientiscrime

[Ed209]

Brilliant

[lharris92]

poor bloke got egged

ally pally has had problems all day, that's what is causing the delay apparently

[rug568]

The gap is now 86 thousand votes

[lharris92]

due soon apparently. going to be extremely close. heard earlier that bojo may win by 2%

[Alcatraz]

It's not exactly the trouncing they were expecting for Ken. Shame the fucking muppet is looking safe though

[rug568]

[Ed209]

Its confirmed.

Well done London

*slow hand clap*

[rug568]

Johnson seems like he's treating it as one big joke.

[Ed209]

Chief analyst at YouGov:

[boris Johnson] has a clear lead. It is currently running at about 4 percentage points. Boris was up 1 point from four years ago. Ken is up 3 points from four years ago. So the gap has closed by 2. The gap was 6. The gap is now 4. It may change very slightly with the remaining 5 seats. But not by much.

[What we are seeing with second preferences] is that Ken is slightly ahead, but there's not much in it. So if Boris is coming out 3 or 4 points ahead on the first count, as I think he wil, that's too big a lead for Ken to overturn. So my prediction is that Boris will be up at around 51 and a half, 52%, Ken 48, 48 and a half per cent. A tantalisingly narrow vote. But I think it is just wide enough, with the figures we've got, to say Boris has won.

[lharris92]

can't help but agree with ken, probably looking at a future tory leader in bojo, also the smear campaign possibly worked a bit as well. only 58000ish votes in it at the end. ah well

[Alcatraz]

can't help but agree with ken, probably looking at a future tory leader in bojo, also the smear campaign possibly worked a bit as well. only 58000ish votes in it at the end. ah well