Weather

[waynewdk]

2008 had rain but not massive down pours I seem to remember,more like drizzle, most mud was near choke points between feilds. Could be wrong.

[jeffie]

2008 had rain but not massive down pours I seem to remember,more like drizzle, most mud was near choke points between feilds. Could be wrong.

You are soooo wrong

[Dr Glasto]

2008 had rain but not massive down pours I seem to remember,more like drizzle, most mud was near choke points between feilds. Could be wrong.

Yeah it wasn't too bad - fair bit of rain on the Thurs night (got some pics of me looking like a drowned rat in a poncho from that night) but then it was lovely and sunny. You could sit down by Friday afternoon and Saturday was all blue skies. I'd take 2008 weather again no problem (though of course no rain at all would be preferable!!)

[Keithy]

Science bump.

There will be weather.

[H.M.V]

Science bump.

There will be weather.

Oh Keithy! Me and you will fall out, You know theres only one true path! Find redemption brother!

[Keithy]

Oh Keithy! Me and you will fall out, You know theres only one true path! Find redemption brother!

hahahaha i was wondering how long it'd take you to notice :-p

[H.M.V]

hahahaha i was wondering how long it'd take you to notice :-p

I've been watching from afar hoping you would find the true path to enlightenment but feel like you've lost your way Brother Keith so had to intervene.

[Woffy]

Come to us Keithy.

Repent.

NFR NFC

[A Guy Called Matt]

Follow the true path

NFR NFC

[majormajormajor]

without sounding like a prat, is there even a remote chance of having a thread for people who are interested in reading the actual weather outlook without any of the religious nutters?

[stuartbert two hats]

without sounding like a prat, is there even a remote chance of having a thread for people who are interested in reading the actual weather outlook without any of the religious nutters?

Quite. I'd rather talk about the monorail.

[JoeyT]

I'm in for actual weather chat.

[frostypaw]

without sounding like a prat, is there even a remote chance of having a thread for people who are interested in reading the actual weather outlook without any of the religious nutters?

Totally agreed

These are mostly relatively new members and total newbies getting over excited. They're just not getting the hint yet

[Dog Burger]

without sounding like a prat, is there even a remote chance of having a thread for people who are interested in reading the actual weather outlook without any of the religious nutters?

Well said.

[stuartbert two hats]

Totally agreed

These are mostly relatively new members and total newbies getting over excited. They're just not getting the hint yet

Not just newbies though!

Anyway, I've been mainly ignoring J1's forecasts because they're SO far out, but I'm going to be actually looking at the charts this Sunday. As I've understood it, it can be perfectly possible to have locally unpredictable weather over the space of a couple of days. It can also be possible to have very clear data that gives a large degree of confidence as to the conditions. Like 2007, for instance. You could see that there was no chance we were going to go unscathed, the rain didn't stop for another month, it was clearly going to be a wet one that year!

What I'm trying to say is that with 3 1/2 weeks to go (on Sunday), we're started to get into the range where some real tenuous indications will be possible. I'd say fingers crossed, but that's a bit NFR NFC!

[Woffy]

Totally agreed

These are mostly relatively new members and total newbies getting over excited. They're just not getting the hint yet

Total newbies?

[Keithy]

As I've understood it, it can be perfectly possible to have locally unpredictable weather over the space of a couple of days. It can also be possible to have very clear data that gives a large degree of confidence as to the conditions. Like 2007, for instance. You could see that there was no chance we were going to go unscathed, the rain didn't stop for another month, it was clearly going to be a wet one that year!

Indeed. I think one of Glastonbury's 'problems' is it's location that leaves it vulnerable to unpredictable 'micro climate' effects.

My main concern for Glastonbury is just how high is the water table in Somerset after the winter. That flooding was insane, particularly the depth. Having taken the train to Bristol several times in the last few months, the rainwater doesn't appear to be draining particularly well after a prolonged rainfall.

[nickharley]

Not just newbies though!

Anyway, I've been mainly ignoring J1's forecasts because they're SO far out, but I'm going to be actually looking at the charts this Sunday. As I've understood it, it can be perfectly possible to have locally unpredictable weather over the space of a couple of days. It can also be possible to have very clear data that gives a large degree of confidence as to the conditions. Like 2007, for instance. You could see that there was no chance we were going to go unscathed, the rain didn't stop for another month, it was clearly going to be a wet one that year!

What I'm trying to say is that with 3 1/2 weeks to go (on Sunday), we're started to get into the range where some real tenuous indications will be possible. I'd say fingers crossed, but that's a bit NFR NFC!

I was previously unaware but , from what you're saying, was the 2007 weather for the festival forecast set in stone yonks before the fest?

[**claire**]

Indeed. I think one of Glastonbury's 'problems' is it's location that leaves it vulnerable to unpredictable 'micro climate' effects.

My main concern for Glastonbury is just how high is the water table in Somerset after the winter. That flooding was insane, particularly the depth. Having taken the train to Bristol several times in the last few months, the rainwater doesn't appear to be draining particularly well after a prolonged rainfall.

This is what troubles me too - I'm in Herts & there's still a couple of fields near me where the water from the beginning of the year still hasn't drained away... and still the rain keeps coming!

[Keithy]

Come to us Keithy.

Repent.

NFR NFC

I've been watching from afar hoping you would find the true path to enlightenment but feel like you've lost your way Brother Keith so had to intervene.

Follow the true path

NFR NFC

Don't worry, I'm very much for praying to the weather gods and definitely not in the camp of 'a shower is good to keep the dust down' - NFR NFC.

That said, the geek in me bloody loves looking at weather charts, trends, air pressures and talking about El Nino and gulf streams.

[JoeyT]

Sunday 8th June will be when the festival dates first start appearing on the weather charts but even at that point as we all know much can change from chart to chart during a day.

[Aby]

Indeed. I think one of Glastonbury's 'problems' is it's location that leaves it vulnerable to unpredictable 'micro climate' effects.

My main concern for Glastonbury is just how high is the water table in Somerset after the winter. That flooding was insane, particularly the depth. Having taken the train to Bristol several times in the last few months, the rainwater doesn't appear to be draining particularly well after a prolonged rainfall.

I read somewhere during the winter floods that other areas in the area were flooded because of how good the drainage is in Glastonbury, so it just ran off to other areas of the site? I could have misunderstood completely but am clinging onto hope that it will mean lack of squishy ground on worthy farm!

[stuartbert two hats]

I was previously unaware but , from what you're saying, was the 2007 weather for the festival forecast set in stone yonks before the fest?

Well, nothing like 3 weeks off. But it was looking bad the week before, got worse on the Sunday on Countryfile and the forecasts never really changed. I think the rain was actually heavier than forecast on the Sunday and not quite as bad as feared in the evenings before, but it has been 7 years, I may be off.

There were certainly no surprises. Similarly in 2010, you could tell by the start of the week it was going to be great. Other years, like 2008 were less certain - I think that year *appeared* like it was going to be quite a bit damper than it was. Can't remember 2009 and didn't go to the last couple of festivals.

[stuartbert two hats]

Anyone else remember previous forecasts?

[sparkythetortoise]

My main concern for Glastonbury is just how high is the water table in Somerset after the winter.

It's unbelievable that we can find ourselves agreeing that the "water table" is a primary concern, but yesterday wandering round my paddy field of a garden in usually bone dry East Anglia, those very words formed in my mind. We must all be a bit mad. Anyhow, the key point with water table is that any rain, should it come, will punish the ground disproportionately, as it will have no where to go.

I still cling to the probably unscientific idea that there is only so much water in the sky, so if it comes down now, then we are done with it