Weather

[The Nal]

So there going to be no rain, some rain or lots of rain.

[Mr Splodge]

So there going to be no rain, some rain or lots of rain.

Yep.

Basically they have not got a clue.

[fur_q]

At this stage it's all about the ensembles, for the next week to 10 days there looks to not be too much deviation in their outputs, meaning we can assume with reasonable confidence that pressure will increase in the south west from. This Wednesday and remain stable until about 17th. After this pion there is quite a wide range of deviation the ensembles meaning that confidence in any forecast from this point on is not particularly high. It's worth pointing out that the +ve outlook currently being forecast for the festival period is based on the operational output which shows air pressure to be in the upper range of the ensembles output an much above the mean.

[Wooderson]

At this stage it's all about the ensembles

[windy_miller]

Here is some science for you:

Monday 23 June—Sunday 6 July An uncertain outlook with two competing scenarios

Northwesterly winds are most likely to persist with temperatures near normal.

There remains a lot of uncertainty about the overall pressure pattern over the UK, however there are two main competing scenarios;

Firstly, high pressure persists with mostly dry weather and a few showers in the northwest.

Alternatively a slow moving area of low pressure could form over the UK bringing heavy downpours of rain and a wet end to the month.

In summary... It might be dry or it might rain. Basically we don't have a clue.

I was on holiday in the Lake District a few weeks ago, and they couldn't get the weather right one day in advance (they predicted non stop rain on one day and in the end it hardly rained at all).

[Morse Code]

In summary... It might be dry or it might rain. Basically we don't have a clue.

I was on holiday in the Lake District a few weeks ago, and they couldn't get the weather right one day in advance (they predicted non stop rain on one day and in the end it hardly rained at all).

Had exactly this, this weekend. All week forecasters were predicting biblical rain and storms for the whole weekend, in the end we had a lovely morning on Saturday, followed by a crap afternoon of heavy rain and a beautiful evening with yesterday being mostly warm and dry with the exception of one brief heavy shower at lunch time. I know this as I was cycling from Whitehaven to Newcastle so can say with great authority, I was very happy that yesterday's forecast was so far off the mark!

Anyway, I'll believe the Glastonbury weather forecast when I unzip my tent and peer out bleary eyed each morning!

[A Guy Called Matt]

In summary... It might be dry or it might rain. Basically we don't have a clue.

I was on holiday in the Lake District a few weeks ago, and they couldn't get the weather right one day in advance (they predicted non stop rain on one day and in the end it hardly rained at all).

Yesterday in Bristol it hurled it down, twice and we got very wet despite waterproofs.

The forecast was for maybe an isolated very light shower!!

[The Nal]

The forecast was for maybe an isolated very light shower!!

Was on a stag in Dublin on Saturday. Forecast that morning was for showers all day. Sun was splitting the stones! Clear skies. One downpour at midnight for 15 mins is all we got.

[A Guy Called Matt]

I am sure the more technology they use the less accurate the forecasts seem to get!!

[stuartbert two hats]

I am sure the more technology they use the less accurate the forecasts seem to get!!

You're not really sure, though are you? Because that's not true.

[A Guy Called Matt]

You're not really sure, though are you? Because that's not true.

I'm about as sure as they are LOL

[JoeyT]

Charts not as good now. Strap yourselves in folks this will be a rollercoaster of emotions between now and 24th June...

[FuzzyDunlop]

Charts not as good now. Strap yourselves in folks this will be a rollercoaster of emotions between now and 24th June...

Thought it was "first positive for a while"?

[JoeyT]

It was but latest ones showing a downgrade from then.

Watching the weather from this far out really can see predictions change 2 / 3 times in a day!

[Midnight Man]

Charts not as good now. Strap yourselves in folks this will be a rollercoaster of emotions between now and 24th June...

It always is.

[frostypaw]

It was but latest ones showing a downgrade from then.

Watching the weather from this far out really can see predictions change 2 / 3 times in a day!

And that is why doing what you're doing causes the rollercoaster ride - you gotta average out what it says at that range, just look at trends

across the full 21 runs there's very little agreement at the end, most predict some little lows at some point, could fall at varying dates. don't get hung up on one run

[matt_berr]

More jackone, not amazing but nothing indicates a washout

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/80198-glastonbury-wed-25-to-sun-29-june-2014/page-2

[Swine_Glasto2014]

From today until Sunday, amazing weather for the South West....it's too bloody early!

[AbsolutelyNo]

I predict that there will be at least some weather.

[Aragorn]

that is what concerns me - this high will stick around until probably the middle of next week, how often in this country do we get sustained high pressue over a number of weeks ! Not often I can tell you !

[Glastonlocal]

[nickharley]

From today until Sunday, amazing weather for the South West....it's too bloody early!

This is my fear. haha

[SeanF]

The Accuweather sun is still hanging there however!

[phillyfaddle]

The flash flooding in 2005 wasn't forecast. Go prepared for the apocalypse and you'll be dancing with joy in light showers.

[nickharley]

This weeks weather would be perfect I was thinking this morning

Don't say that!!