Weather 2016

[Spindles]

I reckon you can be pretty accurate over about 3-5 days, so at least the day before you'll be able to see if there's any big fronts coming that require either extra wet weather gear or extra suncream.  In 2010 I ditched every item of wet weather gear from the pack the day before, giving me extra beer space.

In the weeks running up to the festival I look at the met office visual satellite imagery regularly, they do time lapse of the recent shots, so you get a good feel for how weather systems are moving and get a rough idea whether anything is coming our way and if so how big and how long they are likely to last.

[Stretlow]

3 hours ago, Michaels denim shorts said:

 

Absolutely no way for me, if that's the Thursday morning, ill back in Manchester tucked up in bed for midnight

[grumpyhack]

But afterwards the clouds disappeared and the weather was glorious.  

My friend who works for Festival Medical Services reckons that they can tell the conditions on site from the conditions that people come in with for treatment. In 2005 after the floods the biggest problem was 'welly rash' where people who were wearing wellies because of the mud, but shorts because of the sun, had chafing just below their knees where the tops of their wellies rubbed against their bare legs.  If you do resort to wellies make sure you wear really long socks to prevent chafing.

[balti-pie]

2005 was magnificent fun  my first year, I fact my very first night at Glastonbury was that ridiculous, pounding, biblical rain for three or four hours where I learnt the important lesson that £12 tents from tesco aren't particularly waterproof! 

Bless it, it tried. But a 3-man tent for two people isn't big enough. I had to send out the missus to get me some wellies, while I lay under the porch looking at the little river which had formed a good twelve feet away. I wondered what the fuck I was doing with myself! 

I soon manned up (with excellent welly assistance) and just after breakfast, with a pint in my hand, strolling around looking at mud two feet deep, I was quite happy 

[Keithy]

6 hours ago, filmguy said:

There will be NO accuracy to the forecast until at least the day before and even then they aren't always right. If anyone could forecast accurately 8 weeks in advance they would be richer than Bill Gates

 

3 hours ago, mjfromthelane said:

This x1000.

Some laughable posts here.

I think you've misunderstood the weather thread and what a forecast is. Forecasts in themselves are just an estimate or prediction on a future event. The nearer to that event, the more confident you can be in the prediction. It can be 'accurate' easily in advance. If there's a massive high pressure sat over SW England a week out that shows no sign of moving based on weather events in the surrounding areas and weak low pressures, you can be increasingly confident that it'll be dry. That is at a simple level what JackOne's forecasts are....looking at weather patterns and making increasingly confident guesses. It also depends on what you are basing your accuracy on. Saying it's likely to be mainly dry over the 5 days is very different to saying it's going to rain on the Friday.

This thread is all about that guess work, optimism (apart from we're all doomed Nal), speculation and a fairly geeky interest in how weather patterns develop. Nobody is predicting a bone dry 5 days at the moment but long range forecasts such as this http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess= can leave us optimistically say 'looking promising' when air pressure and temperature are currently suggested to be higher than average this summer. 

Edited April 27, 2016 by Keithy

[Bonedaddy]

6 hours ago, Michaels denim shorts said:

 

Aaa, the novelty joy of the flood.  We used to camp in what is now The Park back then, which as you may imagine has a natural centre to it.  There was quite a bit of airbed surfing going on, i only have one (dodgy, from an old Nokia) pic of that mornings impromptu competition tho'...

 

[Bonedaddy]

7 hours ago, The Nal said:

The place is going to look like this by Friday

 

This was nothing to do with the weather.  There was a special offer on at the cider bus.

[Brave Sir Robin]

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/music/news/glastonbury-festival-2016-weather---will-there-be-a-heatwave/

Yes. Yes there will.

(Entirely pointless article by the way, don't bother reading it).

[shuttlep]

On 4/27/2016 at 4:48 PM, Michaels denim shorts said:

 

I remember Sunday afternoon, walking around the camp site you could follow where the rivers of mud had been . tent poles sticking out of the mud, it was glorious after the rain. I came back with a belting tan.

 

my mum rang me up asking if I was coming home, after what she had seen on the news

[parsonjack]

Just opened this thread for first time this year....

...now wishing I hadn't 

 

[nban2010]

STICK STICK STICK. (this is is rediculous)

 

[Brave Sir Robin]

2 minutes ago, nban2010 said:

STICK STICK STICK. (this is is rediculous)

3 thunderstorms and 2 showers? No thanks.

[The Nal]

4 thunderstorms (Tuesday too) and rain every day. The worst weather forecast in the 46 years of the festival. 

Stick!

This is great stuff.

Edited April 29, 2016 by The Nal

[Brave Sir Robin]

If we do get that weather, I'm holding you personally responsible @nban2010.

[richroet]

3 hours ago, Brave Sir Robin said:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/music/news/glastonbury-festival-2016-weather---will-there-be-a-heatwave/

Yes. Yes there will.

(Entirely pointless article by the way, don't bother reading it).

Entirely pointless does not do that article justice (or maybe that should be injustice). The kind of filler that shows what crap there is on supposedly "news" sites

[richroet]

On 4/27/2016 at 10:16 PM, Keithy said:

Nobody is predicting a bone dry 5 days at the moment but long range forecasts such as this http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess= can leave us optimistically say 'looking promising' when air pressure and temperature are currently suggested to be higher than average this summer. 

Stick

[nban2010]

1 hour ago, The Nal said:

4 thunderstorms (Tuesday too) and rain every day. The worst weather forecast in the 46 years of the festival. 

Stick!

This is great stuff.

I am glad you got my absurdity 

[shuttlep]

it's going to be the hottest on record

[parsonjack]

1 hour ago, shuttlep said:

it's going to be the hottest on record

Probably not...it's rained to some degree every year I have been for a full weekend.....2010 was the only year we only went on Sunday and there was a drought.

Sorry peeps. 

[bigfurbdogg]

8 minutes ago, parsonjack said:

Probably not...it's rained to some degree every year I have been for a full weekend.....2010 was the only year we only went on Sunday and there was a drought.

Sorry peeps. 

I dunno, call me mental, but I reckon that the weather has no direct correlation with your attendance at the festival, and the rain that you experienced was merely a coincidence.

[4AssedMonkey]

Think he's drawing attention to the fact that he's only been to one, totally rain free festival. In fact I think there's only been 3/4 or do completely dry ones ever. 2010 was utterly scorching too. Whilst I'd take it, it was a bit too hot for comfort at times.

[bigfurbdogg]

3 minutes ago, 4AssedMonkey said:

Think he's drawing attention to the fact that he's only been to one, totally rain free festival. In fact I think there's only been 3/4 or do completely dry ones ever. 2010 was utterly scorching too. Whilst I'd take it, it was a bit too hot for comfort at times.

Ye I was at 2010, as you say, I'd definitely take it again but it was hard work at times! Got sunburnt on the Wednesday watching the football, so was struggling with that for rest of the weekend, had to buy a hat which I looked a complete dick wearing. Think we had to bail out watching the Stranglers as it was just too hot. The tent turned into an oven past 7am. 

But having said all that I'd still snap your hand off if you offered me that again.

[balti-pie]

If we get 2010 again then I'm gonna make sure I take a metric fuckton of sun cream, and operate a 'no alcohol til 2pm' rule cos I baked my poor little brain dry last time and I don't want to do that! 

[4AssedMonkey]

22 minutes ago, balti-pie said:

If we get 2010 again then I'm gonna make sure I take a metric fuckton of sun cream, and operate a 'no alcohol til 2pm' rule cos I baked my poor little brain dry last time and I don't want to do that! 

Same. Friday. Got burnt watching Snoop then by about 7pm started to feel wobbly and I'll. Swear it was a touch of sun stroke and not just all the booze.

[balti-pie]

The little lemonade dude by the cider bus and the fresh elderflower geezers up by acoustic got ragged by me in 2010. 2 pints of each, every day, before midday. I figured that if I'm sweating, I'm not dehydrated, and shouldn't panic! (Yet) 

Edited April 29, 2016 by balti-pie