Weather 2016

[SophieBee]

Metcheck now looking pretty damn amazing...

https://www.metcheck.com/UK/14days.asp?MonthOf=6&zipcode=Glastonbury&locationID=57455&lat=51.1&lon=-2.7&findtype=

I'm off to Field Day tomorrow and that looks like it's going to be awful. I'm considering it my Glastonbury sacrifice. 

[Larraht]

11 minutes ago, SophieBee said:

Metcheck now looking pretty damn amazing...

https://www.metcheck.com/UK/14days.asp?MonthOf=6&zipcode=Glastonbury&locationID=57455&lat=51.1&lon=-2.7&findtype=

I'm off to Field Day tomorrow and that looks like it's going to be awful. I'm considering it my Glastonbury sacrifice. 

Now...THAT is more like it. I'm presuming its still too early but the forecasts appear to be improving,do they not?

[Mr.Tease]

24 minutes ago, Larraht said:

Now...THAT is more like it. I'm presuming its still too early but the forecasts appear to be improving,do they not?

Don't be fooled- every year things start to look up at this point, then as you get nearer to opening time, they start to take a turn for the worse!

[stuartbert two hats]

1 minute ago, Mr.Tease said:

Don't be fooled- every year things start to look up at this point, then as you get nearer to opening time, they start to take a turn for the worse!

Apart from 2010!!!

[Larraht]

What a rollercoaster of emotions - i'm not sure I can take much more! 

[morph100]

Where's the graphs of all the graphs? The one where they gradually get more aligned, that's my fave graph

[fur_q]

38 minutes ago, Larraht said:

Now...THAT is more like it. I'm presuming its still too early but the forecasts appear to be improving,do they not?

Any of the forecasts that attempt to show exact condition at specified period more than 48 hours out will always be unreliable however what we can do this far out is look at the way what is being modeled in terms of general weather systems for the sw uk, and look for correlation between multiple model runs (which indicates a reasonable degree of confidence in what those models are predicting).

 

There's no doubt that conditions are currently on a downward trend  (the models have been pretty confident of this for at least a week) but things should start to improve from Wednesday, when we should see a high pressure system coming in that will see things improve  gradually into the early part of festival week (there is good degree of confidence for this scenario) and I'm currently reasonably confident that we should see good conditions at least for the opening of the festival, unfortunatley confidence from that point forward is not good, it's unlikely right now that things will get as bad again as they will be in the early part of the upcoming  week and as thing stand at the moment it looks to me like it could be anywhere in between great and ok. 

[stopwn1981]

Breaking news - latest GFS runs shows a full on fingering from the Azores - weather like Rio!

[stuartbert two hats]

On 10/06/2016 at 9:19 AM, stuartbert two hats said:

 

The beeb is saying it stops next Friday. The festival isn't on next week, it'll be fine y'all!

And it's still saying the rain stops and Friday and doesn't start again!

[amfy]

I've noticed a pattern over the years of the IOW festival getting opposite weather to Glastonbury. 

So many years I have watched them bathed in sunshine & then arrived on the farm a couple of weeks later to a mud bath. Then, when the sodden festival goers on the island are being hauled out of the mud by tractors, we arrive at Glastonbury a couple of weeks later and all is well with life the universe and everything.

I haven't watched any IOW this year, but here in Birmingham over this weekend, the relentless downpours have repeatedly been described in this house as 'Glastonbury rain'. That kind of rain I think I only really used to notice at Glastonbury, where a grey murk gradually appears over the hill and then it's akin to being in a cold power shower. The kind of rain that absolutely hammers on the roof of your tent so hard you worry that it will collapse under the weight of it.

well that was this weekend - so Glastonbury will be fine fine fine! 

Have fun!

[Thunderstruck]

The models this morning look quite promising. Still hard to tell for sure but certainly high pressure looks to arrive next weekend, will it strengthen it's hold into glastonbury? Many runs suggest this but there's still a long way to go.

[SwedgeAntilles]

19 minutes ago, Thunderstruck said:

The models this morning look quite promising. Still hard to tell for sure but certainly high pressure looks to arrive next weekend, will it strengthen it's hold into glastonbury? Many runs suggest this but there's still a long way to go.

Top marks for ironic username.

[jparx]

12 hours ago, SophieBee said:

Metcheck now looking pretty damn amazing...

https://www.metcheck.com/UK/14days.asp?MonthOf=6&zipcode=Glastonbury&locationID=57455&lat=51.1&lon=-2.7&findtype=

I'm off to Field Day tomorrow and that looks like it's going to be awful. I'm considering it my Glastonbury sacrifice. 

That looks so beautiful 

Enjoy Field Day! My friend was there yesterday and it was very wet but they were still having a great time 

[SophieBee]

18 minutes ago, jparx said:

That looks so beautiful 

Enjoy Field Day! My friend was there yesterday and it was very wet but they were still having a great time 

Thanks! I'm using the opportunity of mud and r**n to give my walking boots a dry (wet) run in small festival conditions. Won't be anywhere near the same of course, given the relative smallness and flatness of Victoria Park, but it's a nice way to christen them. Or something. 

Hopefully it will be an unnecessary test and they'll not see much in the way of mud and r**n at Glastonbury! 

[nban2010]

Anyone got a link to the models?

[ghostdancer1]

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

choose HGT-500-1000 from the dropdown menu

fairly unreliable for G weekend at the moment though, yesterday it had a great big patch of low pressure, today a huge patch of high pressure...

Edited June 12, 2016 by ghostdancer1

[bsolxiv]

Shame accuweather is usually wrong:

[nban2010]

8 minutes ago, ghostdancer1 said:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

choose HGT-500-1000 from the dropdown menu

fairly unreliable for G weekend at the moment though, yesterday it had a great big patch of low pressure, today a huge patch of high pressure...

Thanking you! Yeh nice high pressure coming in on the Friday.

Good things are looking ahead...

[Deaf Nobby Burton]

13 hours ago, morph100 said:

Where's the graphs of all the graphs? The one where they gradually get more aligned, that's my fave graph

Yes! Somebody last year took the time to plot all the different forecasts on a graph, fair play to them they probably cant be arsed this year but it was very handy!

[The Nal]

16 minutes ago, bsolxiv said:

Shame accuweather is usually wrong:

3 days of rain?!

[bsolxiv]

22 minutes ago, The Nal said:

3 days of rain?!

Happily take "a shower" any day, with 21-24 degrees. Guess I'm just a glass half full guy

[Dave_c]

At the end of the day as long as we don't get rainfall of biblical proportions it will be fine. I always camp near the top of a slope just in case. If you have proper waterproof gear and a tent with a porch it really isn't a big deal. Yes a weekend of sunshine would be bliss, but chances are it will rain at some point so as long as you are prepared and don't let it bum you out then all is well!

[maelzoid]

1 hour ago, bsolxiv said:

Shame accuweather is usually wrong:

Maybe it should be called... innaccuweather.  

[Kizzie]

1 hour ago, maelzoid said:

Maybe it should be called... innaccuweather.  

That's exactly what Neil calls it, he still uses it though

[Nobody Interesting]

2 hours ago, bsolxiv said:

Happily take "a shower" any day, with 21-24 degrees. Guess I'm just a glass half full guy

Like the showers at Download?