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Weather 2016


Keithy

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1 minute ago, sedra said:

Hopefully the wet weather this week won't make the ground conditions too heavy going during set up. It looks like it might brighten up nicely for the festival! We need Big Dog to send back reports of underfoot conditions!! I'm predicting the going will be "good"!

I think it'll rain most days in the run up but nothing too heavy, it'll stop it from being a dust bowl at least and make the ground a litle softer for tent pegs.

I imagine weather will be fine on the whole with a few showers

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I'm still sticking with my prediction that there would be no more than 5 days of rain over the 15 days before the festival.  At present we've had a couple, I think 2 or 3 more in this spell at the most, with even those being not as heavy as forecasts suggest.

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2 minutes ago, Spindles said:

I'm still sticking with my prediction that there would be no more than 5 days of rain over the 15 days before the festival.  At present we've had a couple, I think 2 or 3 more in this spell at the most, with even those being not as heavy as forecasts suggest.

I concur, much like last year wasn't it? I'm about 20mins from site and it's just been gimpy drissle last few days, shagged it down for a bit early evening yesterday but nothing really. 

Im prediction is a repeat of last year. 

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Yeah, as long as it sticks to the traditional bit on Thursday evening and Sunday night pattern that the best years have enjoyed I'll be perfectly happy.

There's not been nearly enough rain to hamper the sites ability to cope during setup, nor is there time for any to come now and have a serious impact.  As I see it all that matters is that it doesn't rain Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.  Nothing significant to fear.

Edited by Spindles
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8 minutes ago, Finding leto14 said:

The wetness records will show it has been more or less average. Some places have had heaps but others have had none.

Just the media trying to worry us.

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Run down of the main forecasts that I look at:

Summary

There's low pressure to the North and high to the South. We're on the edge, so it could go either way. Not many models predicting a wash out although ECM not looking good. Not many models predicting perfect weather although TWO looks very good. If I was to bet on it, I'd say similar to last year, but ground might be worse condition due to rain this week.

GFS

Dry on Thu-Sun of festival, but could be pretty muddy underfoot as there's rain this week, followed by rain on Mon-Wed of festival week.

GFS Ensemble

Rain this Wed-Fri and next Tuesday is consistent with pretty much every run, but after that it's all to play for.

TWO

Heavy rain this Wednesday, some rain next Tuesday and then showers at worst.

Meteox

Not yet in range

WeatherCast

Rain on Tue-Thu this week. Rain on Monday, Tuesday, Friday, Saturday next week.

Met Office

"From Sunday and into next week the latest indications are that unsettled and often windy conditions will return from the west, although there is a fair chance that much of southern and eastern England will be dry and bright this Sunday. In general bands of cloud and rain are expected to move eastwards across the British Isles, interspersed with brighter, showery conditions. The most frequent spells of rain are likely across the northwest, whilst the southeast should see more in the way of drier weather."

ECM

Only goes out to Wednesday of festival week. Persistent rain.

YR.NO

Only goes to Thursday morning of festival week. Rain this week, dry from Sat-Wed and rain on Thu morning.

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This build up isn't the same without Jackone, Pedmills AND Bigdog.  The loss of one I could come to terms with, but all three?

Anyway, at least the Norwegians are looking better today.  We just need the rain threat to keep moving along the long-range forecast & we're golden.

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3 minutes ago, **claire** said:

This build up isn't the same without Jackone, Pedmills AND Bigdog.  The loss of one I could come to terms with, but all three?

Anyway, at least the Norwegians are looking better today.  We just need the rain threat to keep moving along the long-range forecast & we're golden.

Gotta love those Norwegians.

I want five dry days, but I'll take a bit of wet on Thursday morning for a fully dry pitch and set up on the Wednesday...

Ben

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