Weather 2016

[ukmountie]

33 minutes ago, big__phil said:

Who told you my girlfriends nickname for my genitals?

Hey Old Greg, was wondering what happened to you.

[Thunderstruck]

Based on the latest run (don't pay too much attention to individual runs, but it's fun to do) the weather is this:

Wednesday: generally cloudy max temp 18c with some light rain forecast

Thursday: Low cloud slowly breaking during the day to give some warm sunny spells, max temp 20c

Friday: Generally cloudy but maybe some brightness later as low cloud thins. Light rain possible Max 18c

Sat-Sun: Looking ok on the 06z with some warm sunny spells and showers.

[Woffy]

15 minutes ago, waterfalls212434 said:

if people would stop posting shit that you need to be a meteorological scientist to work out and just tell us if its going to ` rain biblical` `spit a bit` or be `dry as the sahara` id be very grateful...

Did you go to the CrazyPenguin School of Literature and Punctuation?

[Thunderstruck]

Just now, Woffy said:

Did you go to the CrazyPenguin School of Literature and Punctuation?

 

[SwedgeAntilles]

19 minutes ago, ukmountie said:

Hey Old Greg, was wondering what happened to you.

He made a crumble.

[devonhammer]

10 minutes ago, Thunderstruck said:

Based on the latest run (don't pay too much attention to individual runs, but it's fun to do) the weather is this:

Wednesday: generally cloudy max temp 18c with some light rain forecast

Thursday: Low cloud slowly breaking during the day to give some warm sunny spells, max temp 20c

Friday: Generally cloudy but maybe some brightness later as low cloud thins. Light rain possible Max 18c

Sat-Sun: Looking ok on the 06z with some warm sunny spells and showers.

It's looking OK, but I can't stop myself animating the pressure map. That North Atlantic low is too close for comfort. If I had to bet on it now, then I think you're spot on, but it could still be rain free if the high just pushes up a bit.

[SwedgeAntilles]

I don't want to come over all 'The Nal' but Thunderstruck's comment there suggests rain (albeit of varying degrees) on four of the five days. Bit dodgy that, a drizzle becomes a downpour fairly easily. 

[jparx]

16 minutes ago, Woffy said:

Did you go to the CrazyPenguin School of Literature and Punctuation?

Don't...I miss the Penguin so much 

[warriormonk]

24 minutes ago, devonhammer said:

To help anyone who's unsure about ensembles, you can read this fascinating article.

Yeah the thing is that article is written for those who already know the jargon.  It would be really great if one of you weather buffs could bash out a few lines generally explaining the overall context of that jargon in everyday language.

So GFS, I assume, is Global Forecasting System.  But what is a run? What is an ensemble? What is the significance of a number followed by z?

I'm really interested in this kind of thing

[fur_q]

9 minutes ago, Scruffylovemonster said:

What is a z? I'm presuming it's a time but oif so why not say 0600h or 6 o'clock?

z = hour the model run commences in UTC (universal central time) which is GMT so British Summer Time -1

[rebus]

11 minutes ago, Scruffylovemonster said:

What is a z? I'm presuming it's a time but oif so why not say 0600h or 6 o'clock?

Zulu

[wetflame]

The z stands for Zulu time, it's a military/universal time zone thing. 

[Mezhyp1]

yr.no for Shepton Mallet 

[bigfurbdogg]

Just now, Mezhyp1 said:

yr.no for Shepton Mallet 

That's looking more like it!

[stuartbert two hats]

12 minutes ago, warriormonk said:

Yeah the thing is that article is written for those who already know the jargon.

[stuartbert two hats]

1 minute ago, Mezhyp1 said:

yr.no for Shepton Mallet 

Acceptable!

[tjfish]

I'm liking what the predictions are ... if only it stays this way!

[The Nal]

17 minutes ago, SwedgeAntilles said:

I don't want to come over all 'The Nal' 

I don't want you to come all over me either.

No issue with that sort of thing but its not my buzz. 

[devonhammer]

4 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said:

To be fair, it wasn't my best joke, but at least someone got it 

[jparx]

8 minutes ago, Mezhyp1 said:

yr.no for Shepton Mallet 

I was just looking at that too. If you search for Pilton it looks worse though. Is Shepton Mallet closest?

[SwedgeAntilles]

11 minutes ago, The Nal said:

I don't want you to come all over me either.

No issue with that sort of thing but its not my buzz. 

[big__phil]

12 minutes ago, Mezhyp1 said:

yr.no for Shepton Mallet 

Charge your phone you maniac!

[Mezhyp1]

2 minutes ago, jparx said:

I was just looking at that too. If you search for Pilton it looks worse though. Is Shepton Mallet closest?

There's a few Piltons on it 

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~7292387/long.html

this is the right one, it's fairly similar except a light shower on Thursday. I've always just checked it for Shepton Mallet

[General Lee]

They're about a mile apart unless that's a different Pilton

[Deaf Nobby Burton]

Saturday on metcheck looks pretty cataclysmic, or am I reading it wrong?

http://www.metcheck.com/UK/7days.asp?zipcode=Shepton Mallet&locationID=56888&lat=51.2&lon=-2.5&findtype

The rest looks ok though