The Weather Thread 2019

[tumbles]

3 minutes ago, simonizer said:

Looks pretty grim on the webcam right now

Yep but only getting the edge of it.  We’ve had some proper heavy shit in North Somerset today but really isolated. Was around my parents earlier few miles away and hammered down so much so that roads flooded. Back home and no rain had fallen!

[Duggyfresh44]

Heavy shower earlier, but apart from that one of the nicest days we've had in Worcestershire for well over a week.

[Wilfko]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

The 06Z run was VERY good for us. Rain around on the Monday and Tuesday but then essentially zero rain for the whole festival.

The unseasonably cool prediction is for next weekend and that Monday and Tuesday with 16 on Wednesday and 18 Thursday and Friday. Then high pressure starts to roll in and temps rise every day through to 21 on Saturday and up to 23, 24 on the Sunday.

We're back at the TOP of the rollercoaster! The only way is....

 

06Z GFS keeps me optimistic, the high pressure arriving from the SW Thu/Fri/Sat is exciting if it pans out. 

[bennyhana22]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

The 06Z run was VERY good for us. Rain around on the Monday and Tuesday but then essentially zero rain for the whole festival.

The unseasonably cool prediction is for next weekend and that Monday and Tuesday with 16 on Wednesday and 18 Thursday and Friday. Then high pressure starts to roll in and temps rise every day through to 21 on Saturday and up to 23, 24 on the Sunday.

We're back at the TOP of the rollercoaster! The only way is.... STICK

 

FTFY

Ben

[Guest]

No rain here so far but dark clouds are approaching. Brisk breeze.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

3 hours ago, gizmoman said:

Actually the worst was totally minging, so take your pick.

Fifteen years ago. Tell you what, my graphics haven’t aged well 

[stopwn1981]

[gizmoman]

7 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Fifteen years ago. Tell you what, my graphics haven’t aged well 

Wow, time flies, the graphics were good enough and always enjoyed your reports, nice to see you're still on here and got a ticket.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Just now, gizmoman said:

Wow, time flies, the graphics were good enough and always enjoyed your reports, nice to see you're still on here and got a ticket.

Still here mate, still worrying about the weather! 

[Duggyfresh44]

1 minute ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Still here mate, still worrying about the weather! 

I think at the time, you were the only place to go for Glasto specific weather online! 

[morph100]

15 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Fifteen years ago. Tell you what, my graphics haven’t aged well 

Have you got some updated graphics for us? Pleeeeeeease

[Euphoricape]

Is gav posting another update today?

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

1 minute ago, morph100 said:

Have you got some updated graphics for us? Pleeeeeeease

Ha! Permanently retired. With all the info online these days anything I did would be out of date by the time I posted! This thread is the best source of weather news by far. 

[briddj]

14 minutes ago, Euphoricape said:

Is gav posting another update today?

Supposed to be, was 7pm last time.

[Euphoricape]

4 minutes ago, briddj said:

Supposed to be, was 7pm last time.

5 minutes ago, briddj said:

Supposed to be, was 7pm last time.

Hopefully he will give us a bit more hope this time..

[Duggyfresh44]

16 minutes ago, Euphoricape said:

 

By the look of his video from earlier today, I think it's going to be another depressing one from him.

Edited June 16, 2019 by Duggyfresh44

[Euphoricape]

I still prefer the BBC weather forecast. I like to believe it's the most accurate..

 

[briddj]

Latest GFS.

Serious-looking rain for Monday and Tuesday, Monday 18-19 / Tuesday 17-18, but pressure really starts to build up from Thursday morning and stays in place for the whole festival.

Currently showing a completely dry festival.

Only 16 on Wednesday, and could be wet underfoot for arrival if that rain were to hold true. 18 on Thursday and Friday, then 21-22 Sat and 23-24 Sunday.

Has to be a positive Gav update based on it showing no rain for the actual festival, but need that rain on Monday / Tuesday to reduce.

[deebeedoobee]

No rain in Pilton today. Even got my windows painted. It’s warm and breezy.

[barkley87]

3 minutes ago, briddj said:

Latest GFS.

Serious-looking rain for Monday and Tuesday, Monday 18-19 / Tuesday 17-18, but pressure really starts to build up from Thursday morning and stays in place for the whole festival.

Currently showing a completely dry festival.

Only 16 on Wednesday, and could be wet underfoot for arrival if that rain were to hold true. 18 on Thursday and Friday, then 21-22 Sat and 23-24 Sunday.

Has to be a positive Gav update based on it showing no rain for the actual festival, but need that rain on Monday / Tuesday to reduce.

Temperatures of 21+ will surely dry the ground out in no time too. Back in 2011 after the rains and mud of Friday the hot temperatures meant we were sitting on the ground by Sunday. There is still hope! 

[briddj]

1 minute ago, barkley87 said:

Temperatures of 21+ will surely dry the ground out in no time too. Back in 2011 after the rains and mud of Friday the hot temperatures meant we were sitting on the ground by Sunday. There is still hope! 

Yep, mud cannot survive above 20 degrees - all the moisture is sucked out of it.

[stopwn1981]

9 minutes ago, briddj said:

Latest GFS.

Serious-looking rain for Monday and Tuesday, Monday 18-19 / Tuesday 17-18, but pressure really starts to build up from Thursday morning and stays in place for the whole festival.

Currently showing a completely dry festival.

Only 16 on Wednesday, and could be wet underfoot for arrival if that rain were to hold true. 18 on Thursday and Friday, then 21-22 Sat and 23-24 Sunday.

Has to be a positive Gav update based on it showing no rain for the actual festival, but need that rain on Monday / Tuesday to reduce.

Weds/Thurs look dicey on that run - need those two days dry for setting up and exploring!

[briddj]

10 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Weds/Thurs look dicey on that run - need those two days dry for setting up and exploring!

There is no rain whatsoever on the 26th and 27th. Two charts as an example, but Pilton has no rainfall through the days.

 

[stopwn1981]

Do we actually know what days it fucked it down pre - 2016 in the run up - with a daily mm split - just out of interest?

[jparx]

Nice positive update then as we head in to the penultimate week. Each day the forecasts get more crucial, so that's a good start for t-minus 9 days to go.

There do seem to be some consistent signs that the pressure is increasing in the second half of Glastonbury week. Let's hope that continues!