We'll never know if another candidate would have done better or worse than Harris. Fact is though that despite Jan 6th, despite all the convictions and charges, Trump has won all over the place and with all demographics. Maybe it is partly because Harris is a woman, partly because she isn't white, but maybe people are also worried about making ends meet, worried about crime, worried about immigration, don't like all the wars they're seeing on the tv, want change and like Trump's simple promises to fix everything.
I think if Newsom had been the candidate the result would be the same. The economy isn’t doing good enough and when that is the case people generally vote for change.
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