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Rolling Chance of Glastonbury 2022 Thread


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8 hours ago, parsonjack said:

70%

Assuming GFL need to make a go/no-go decision before end-Feb 2022 that gives little over 10 months to go from 6 people mixing in a distanced fashion, to having full confidence in 200,000 mixing closely for a few months later.

Considering restrictions are currently not much different to what they were 12 months ago we're putting a shit-load of faith in pretty much nothing but the vaccine turning this around.

Hence my cautiousness....

Pretty much nothing but a drug that makes people immune to the virus.

Vaccines really are that magic bullet.

97.9%

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On 4/15/2021 at 1:11 PM, assorted said:

48% 

46% - Boomtown cancelled, conversation has changed seamlessly from “don’t overwhelm hospitals” to “we can’t have any transmission” which seems to mean to me no lots of things until... ever? I think there’s going to have to be a lot of pressure from voters on politicians for this to change before early 2022 when Glastonbury has to decide.

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