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The Weather Thread 2022


sedra

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1 minute ago, FloorFiller said:

I have no idea how much faith we put in Accuweather, but they’re saying cloudy/sunny and mid/high teens all weekend with only a tiny amount of rain, so I’m putting all my eggs in their basket. 

Which is roughly in line with what BBC and Met Office are saying/have consistently been saying. Hard to call it a trend but there's a consistency.

Looking at these runs in isolation is just a nightmare.

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Looking at the latest GFS unfolding it seems there's a fair bit of certainty over what will happen up until Tuesday, but then there are so many different areas of pressure battling it out that I can see (even though I know nothing about this) why there's so much uncertainty/changeability in the forecasts. 

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WEDNESDAY MORNING - GATES OPEN

Rain is showing through this evening. After that, it's dry until the gates open on Wednesday morning. 

Temps on Wednesday morning at 19. Higher, so could be a positive for the run. Maybe.

image.thumb.png.b6c7e10295f409c07406685cd154f2d7.png

PRESSURE MAPS

Continues to be a very, very similar picture through to Wednesday morning.

Yet, we've know for quite a while that this pattern has had high confidence.

Latest chart is on the left.

image.thumb.png.fa110cb27c7cd5e2c901489d2173b2df.png

image.thumb.png.daa269cf6638691e8ec587279b749a2a.png

image.thumb.png.8cda0e32ddc50843adb5aa3fd321d9f0.png

image.thumb.png.e4dd131a96a1484dc58974163fa5a0e1.png

 

Edited by briddj
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