The Weather Thread 2022

[PollyPeach]

4 minutes ago, briddj said:

We've never had such a dramatic high vs. low battle!

All adds to the general excitement!

And thanks, waders it is!

[PolygonWindow]

8 minutes ago, kingmonkey1980 said:

Bit of rain Friday afternoon is hardly the end of the world. 

It is when I’m having to stand through sugababes !!

[AlexOvd]

Only positive thing. The closest and most reliable is dry and sunny (Wednesday at least) . Hopefully there is still some time for a final comeback. 

Edited June 18, 2022 by AlexOvd

[Larraht]

I'm happy for a smattering of rain to add to the aesthetic - the downpour for Mary J Blige singing No More Drama was perfect. 

Would also like a couple of decent sunsets if possible. 

 

[gigpusher]

14 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

It is when I’m having to stand through sugababes !!

They are in a tent no issues at all 😂

[Wherethewildthingsare]

Very late to this party but no one forecast the complete scorcher in 2019 did they? I seem to remember the Sunday gospel countryfile been ambiguous about the sat/sun?

[Cbrinxy]

Yes I follow this thread every year and 2019 wee thought it was going to be a shit show every day until the day before where we found out it was going to be an insane heatwave! 

[jimmillen]

17 minutes ago, kingmonkey1980 said:

You won’t need wellies based on this. Walking boots at most will be fine.

^^^^ This. 

Absolutely nothing suggests above ankle deep liquid mud / puddles - only justification for wellies IMO.

Of course, it could get worse… 

10 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

It is when I’m having to stand through sugababes !!

They’re in a tent anyway?

[Joshuwarr]

At Wilderness last year we had a lot of rain most days and despite this the mud and ground weren't even that bad. Puts into perspective just how much rain beforehand you need for a mudbath and based on the forecast for the next few days I am confident we will be fine.

I actually worry about the chilly nights more than a bit of a rain in the day!

[briddj]

4 minutes ago, Cbrinxy said:

Yes I follow this thread every year and 2019 wee thought it was going to be a shit show every day until the day before where we found out it was going to be an insane heatwave! 

I think it was a few days before that the stars aligned. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

Don’t panic. No mud a few showers and cool temperatures.  Lovely! 

[Crumbleflaps]

That low needs to f off up north.

[Alvoram]

I'm not worrying about the 6z to be honest... 

The ensembles show the operational (green) for this run to be a complete outlier, any slight change to the variables paints a very different picture. 

[steviewevie]

16 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

I'm not worrying about the 6z to be honest... 

The ensembles show the operational (green) for this run to be a complete outlier, any slight change to the variables paints a very different picture. 

So..all these different runs...what is the operational? Why does that particular one get used? Sorry if that's a dumb question.

[Alvoram]

7 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

So..all these different runs...what is the operational? Why does that particular one get used? Sorry if that's a dumb question.

The operational is the actual GFS run, the one that is posted in here, from the charts we see on Netweather.

For the other 30, they tweek a small variable and rerun it, (at a lower resolution) to see what the results would be. 🙂

That's my understanding of it at least... I'm no Michael Fish.

So, looking at those ensembles, it's HIGHLY unlikely that the current GFS run will hold true. 

Edited June 18, 2022 by Alvoram

[squirrelarmy]

@steviewevie

Stop posting in this thread or you will doom us all. 
 

[Poorside.2]

1 hour ago, PollyPeach said:

With this level of rain, anyone got any thoughts on whether the mud is going to get over ankle deep? I would love to avoid full length wellies!

Docs, and roll up your jeans,be grand.

 

[FloorFiller]

1 minute ago, Poorside.2 said:

Docs, and roll up your jeans,be grand.

 

Jeans?!

[Poorside.2]

1 minute ago, FloorFiller said:

Jeans?!

A type of pant, usually made of denim. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Check out this amateur 

[CaledonianGonzo]

4 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

@steviewevie

Stop posting in this thread or you will doom us all. 
 

Least surprising revelation of the week

[steviewevie]

Yes, at last...jeans! None of this shorts nonsense.

[steviewevie]

9 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

@steviewevie

Stop posting in this thread or you will doom us all. 
 

😈

668 now.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Further evidence that the lads who bang on about wanting cold weather are just shite at prep.

[nban2010]

Oh guys...!!