The Weather Thread 2022

[AlexOvd]

3 minutes ago, briddj said:

SATURDAY

So, how is the influence of the low starting to affect us?

Highs of 19. There is rain around, which doesn't arrive until 3pm and is present in showers through the evening - but nothing to be afraid of.

The low pressure is moving right on top of the UK again in this run.

 

It really feels the high is pushing here. 

[Euphoricape]

1 minute ago, AlexOvd said:

It really feels the high is pushing here. 

Needs to push harder

[steviewevie]

sunday also looking potentially a bit damp....but not too bad.

But...that low really has fucked things up. I blame Boris Johnson.

[WannabeGlastoVet]

24 minutes ago, Wherethewildthingsare said:

Monday! 😱

It’ll be nice to have weather that matches my mood for going home 

[Sheffield Steve]

uh-oh, it’s a French export.  The French model wants to send some of its rain over to us on Thursday.  The other models keep the rain over northern France, but the French want to send it over the channel.  
Thursday is as far as the French model goes - dieu only knows what they have in store for us after that…

This is Thursday afternoon…..

[steviewevie]

3 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

uh-oh, it’s a French export.  The French model wants to send some of its rain over to us on Thursday.  The other models keep the rain over northern France, but the French want to send it over the channel.  
Thursday is as far as the French model goes - dieu only knows what they have in store for us after that…

This is Thursday afternoon…..

get Priti on the case.

[stopwn1981]

Met office looking to bring hail and thunder to the party.

[AlexOvd]

We are close to be defeated. Such an avalanche of bad forecasts 🤔

[CaledonianGonzo]

 

[Wherethewildthingsare]

I want to, but I can’t look away…

[briddj]

SUNDAY

Again just like rain showers around in the afternoon, but a dry evening. Highs of just 17 though.

And it's a very different picture for the low pressure on Sunday, still very uncertain what will happen at the weekend.

MONDAY

A chilly and showery Monday morning for leaving.

SUMMARY

There is still a large amount of uncertainty about what this low is going to do - but I think it is now fairly clear it will be there, just not where exactly and in what form.

Would love to see a fightback from the high in the next couple of runs to get us over the line.

For the mention in the thread of this being "worse than the last run" for Friday rain, it just isn't in any meaningful way. This evening rain is light stuff, and the daytime charts are very similar.

 

 

 

[PolygonWindow]

I think we are gonna get a mixed bag.

[Wherethewildthingsare]

Can’t wait to hear Crowded House’s take on this…

[brettredmayne]

I honestly don’t think that update is bad and I would stick on that now

[Trunks1993]

I’d take Wednesday/Thursday/Friday dry with a weekend washout 

Edited June 19, 2022 by Trunks1993

[AlexOvd]

The high needs to wake up but we are running out of time a bit. Couple of next runs are decisive.

[stopwn1981]

Basically prey those UKMO and ECM 12z updates don’t follow this suit. Last two hopes. To be fair they are known to be the most accurate.

[briddj]

6 minutes ago, brettredmayne said:

I honestly don’t think that update is bad and I would stick on that now

Could be a lot worse for sure. 

[deefer6]

Weird and downbeat posts this afternoon. Have the Weather Pro forecast as a counter. 

[Radiochicken]

What was the weather for the two “fallow’ years again? Did we miss some good years?

[PolygonWindow]

3 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Basically prey those UKMO and ECM 12z updates don’t follow this suit. Last two hopes. To be fair they are known to be the most accurate.

???

it’s not a bad update in the slightest

 

Showers Fri night 9- midnight

showers sat 3pm - midnight

showers sun midday - 6pm

 

Edited June 19, 2022 by PolygonWindow

[Alvoram]

Meh 12Z always has it in for us lately... 18Z will be fine 🙂 

[HyperTechnoHorse]

So Friday through Sunday washout. 'Doom mongers'. Game over.

[RRChip]

Looking at these models and being unsure what to pack, I’m thinking it’s not gonna be a trainer only festival, walking boots required for the weekend. And a light rain jacket and hoodies kinda deal. 
 

Not too arsed though, I’ve missed the obsessive meteorological analysing as an intrinsic part of the Glasto magic 

[stopwn1981]

Just now, PolygonWindow said:

???

it’s not a bad update in the slightest

It is if you want the low pressure to do one and the high pressure to win out. Because these runs are showing the low winning out and earlier. The ECM and UKMO last runs showed this later or not at all, so hopefully they keep saying that. If they don’t bad news. Hence the point I made. Thanks