The Weather Thread 2022

[Euphoricape]

47 minutes ago, HyperTechnoHorse said:

tl;dw - no trend yet in GFS runs, so latest run is pretty much meaningless. 

Net weather folk saying auxiliary indicators implying rapid heat breakdown this coming weekend leading to week of 'fireworks' aka carnage. 

Well this what I'm seeing the netweather nerds saying.. looking fantastic 🌞

[Aragorn]

The 12z ensembles show quite a scatter in terms of rain over the festival period. 

Operational still gunning for minimal rain. 

[Barnabybear]

1 hour ago, JoeyT said:

Seeing the latest runs and positive trends for decent weather for the festival then remembering there’s still 10 days to go…

Genius! 

[waterfalls21234]

the very fact the forecasts from these supposed `experts` are literally changing multiple times a day should show how little they actually have a clue 😛 . Ill wait till a day or 2 before when we will have accurate forecasts.....as of right now you may as well ask mystic meg.....or septic peg 😛

[The Nal]

1 hour ago, steviewevie said:

All quiet from The Nal when a good forecast from GFS...like matiloy when a good poll for Starmer/labour.

I'm a YR guy. Its not looking good. 

Gav and Jack whoever are too busy eating their grandmothers brains to be trustworthy. 

[briddj]

1 minute ago, waterfalls21234 said:

the very fact the forecasts from these supposed `experts` are literally changing multiple times a day should show how little they actually have a clue 😛 . Ill wait till a day or 2 before when we will have accurate forecasts.....as of right now you may as well ask mystic meg.....or septic peg 😛

They are models. They change every time for that very reason. 

It's not that they don't have a clue, they don't claim to know. It's a modelling of outcomes. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

1 hour ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

I really need to stop going on this thread

This thread would give Nostradamus a nervous breakdown 

[steviewevie]

8 minutes ago, waterfalls21234 said:

the very fact the forecasts from these supposed `experts` are literally changing multiple times a day should show how little they actually have a clue 😛 . Ill wait till a day or 2 before when we will have accurate forecasts.....as of right now you may as well ask mystic meg.....or septic peg 😛

The experts are computer simulations based on latest data.

[steviewevie]

What is YR?

[Ayrshire Chris]

10 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

The experts are computer simulations based on latest data.

Bastards spend all day playing minecraft then look out the window, check if it’s raining and colour in their maps. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

15 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

What is YR?

The Norwegian weather service 

yr.no

[Billy Corgans hair]

6 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

The Norwegian weather service 

yr.no

Why do we trust YR over MetOffice? Are the Norwegians better at weather than us? 😱

[JoeyT]

1 minute ago, Billy Corgans hair said:

Why do we trust YR over MetOffice? Are the Norwegians better at weather than us? 😱

Nor way are they.

[CaledonianGonzo]

They scandi models as well as anyone.

[TaylorT]

Every single year (when Glastonbury is on) this thread 😭 its amazing!! 
 

I love how someone just made up some Norwegian website is the one to go with 😭 I’ve actually never known it to be right. 

[Crazyfool01]

I’m finnished with Scandinavian models 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Oslo, they have some good expertise into the Bergen.

[Toilet Duck]

Our festival WhatsApp group is named “yr.no therapy circle”…sworn by it for years!

[steviewevie]

[CaledonianGonzo]

We can't a-fjord to ignore their input.

[briddj]

Os-losers

[Billy Corgans hair]

Would be absolute hell, sinking into all the mud

[steviewevie]

[The Nal]

The Norweigans have just updated again based on the latest run.

Consistent forecasts coming into focus now. 

Saturday is just 6 days away.

Short version -                                              Its time to fucking panic!!

 

 

Remember this?!

[waterfalls21234]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

They are models. They change every time for that very reason. 

It's not that they don't have a clue, they don't claim to know. It's a modelling of outcomes. 

then whats the point......I could model anything, people take these things as predictions thats the problem hence the doom and gloom when a dodgy model is shown