The Weather Thread 2022

[briddj]

7 minutes ago, jparx said:

Surely we're at the point now where we can just about rule out a truly muddy, 2016 type festival? We'd need biblical storms over the next week to cock up the ground, and that's nowhere to be seen. It absolutely wellied it down here on Saturday for about an hour, bouncing off the ground, and everything was bone dry within 30 minutes. The ground will be dry, it's just a question of what the actual weather is over the 5 days!

Now look what you've done.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Hopefully the ground can still cope with one day of rancid weather

[JoeyT]

1 minute ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Hopefully the ground can still cope with one day of rancid weather

Hopefully, Sunday is the day the traders will be arriving on site and setting up so lots of vehicle movement.

[Henrik]

GFS 06Z has SCORCHING heat for IOW festival this weekend unitl Sunday when it turns freezing cold with torrential rain.  

[briddj]

I'm doing the London to Brighton bike ride at 9am on Sunday. 😆

[Alvoram]

There is a huge and increasing amount of confidence in significant rainfall on Sunday, the question is just how much and where? Will the Pilton forcefield hold out, if it doesn't, will it be enough to soften the ground after a fairly lengthy stretch of warm dry weather... 

Of course, confidence 6 days out doesn't mean it's set in stone... Could all still change, especially if that high does build before it as forecast. 

[Havors]

4 minutes ago, briddj said:

Very bad Sunday in the 06Z....

 

Met office disagrees... but they probably just not updated yet. They got it cracking the flags no clouds on sunday in Pilton. 

[Ed90]

I'm giving it another 3-4 days before I start to become optimistic/pessimistic.  Which begs the question, how often is it healthy to check this thread?

[The Nal]

14 minutes ago, jparx said:

Surely we're at the point now where we can just about rule out a truly muddy, 2016 type festival? 

For reference - June 13th 2016

Weather looking laaaarvely apparently.

  

2 minutes ago, Ed90 said:

I'm giving it another 3-4 days before I start to become optimistic/pessimistic.  Which begs the question, how often is it healthy to check this thread?

Completely disregard it until this weekend at the earliest. Its all a load of bollocks.

Edited June 13, 2022 by The Nal

[squirrelarmy]

2 minutes ago, Ed90 said:

Which begs the question, how often is it healthy to check this thread?

The healthy option is only checking it on the day you set off. 

[jparx]

1 minute ago, The Nal said:

For reference - June 13th 2016

Weather looking laaaarvely apparently.

 

We'd had a fuck tonne of rain building up to that though. We'd already lost the battle by this point in 2016! We're already 3-0 up here, and thankfully the festival isn't in Istanbul.

[AlexOvd]

3 minutes ago, The Nal said:

For reference - June 13th 2016

Weather looking laaaarvely apparently.

 

Wasn't raining in 2016 the weeks before the festival A LOT? Because this time we barely have a drop.

[gazzared]

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=52.40;-4.16;6&l=rain-3h&t=20220619/1200

cant see rain on sunday ?

6 minutes ago, Havors said:

Met office disagrees... but they probably just not updated yet. They got it cracking the flags no clouds on sunday in Pilton. 

yeah i cant see rain either

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

16 minutes ago, jparx said:

Surely we're at the point now where we can just about rule out a truly muddy, 2016 type festival? We'd need biblical storms over the next week to cock up the ground, and that's nowhere to be seen. It absolutely wellied it down here on Saturday for about an hour, bouncing off the ground, and everything was bone dry within 30 minutes. The ground will be dry, it's just a question of what the actual weather is over the 5 days!

2005 - it was the Sunday before the festival when the prospect of one band on heavy rain started to appear. Then on Friday morning a month's worth of rain fell in an hour.

 

[briddj]

WEDNESDAY - GATES OPEN

It's been totally dry since the weekend rain, enabling the site to recover with temperatures of 20.

Dry for gates open and 18.

 

The good news is the high has built through the days.

[jparx]

Just now, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

2005 - it was the Sunday before the festival when the prospect of one band on heavy rain started to appear. Then on Friday morning a month's worth of rain fell in an hour.

 

Haven't they significantly worked on the drainage since then though?

[glimmers_of_hope]

4 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

2005 - it was the Sunday before the festival when the prospect of one band on heavy rain started to appear. Then on Friday morning a month's worth of rain fell in an hour.

 

It was biblical. 

[LinvoyPrimus]

12 minutes ago, Sack truck said:

The best situation would be be a little bit of rain at some point - ideally each night overnight from 4am until 5am just to keep the dust down! 

My hay fever is currently off-the-charts grim so I wouldn't be averse to this... 

Or even just a tiny bit of rain on the few days before to dampen things down would be a dream.

[Alvoram]

5 minutes ago, briddj said:

WEDNESDAY - GATES OPEN

It's been totally dry since the weekend rain, enabling the site to recover with temperatures of 20.

Dry for gates open and 18.

 

The good news is the high has built through the days.

This run is looking like it could develop into the perfect run for many... 🙂 

[briddj]

First two days of the festival.

WEDNESDAY

Dry with temperatures of 23.

THURSDAY

Dry with temperatures of 25. Warming up!

 

Hugh pressure continues to take control.

 

Edited June 13, 2022 by briddj

[Peroni]

no wishes for rain, or cloud cover, or anything to keep the dust down....

 

[HyperTechnoHorse]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

Hugh pressure continues to take control.

Think I went to school with him. Glad to see him doing well.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

10 minutes ago, jparx said:

Haven't they significantly worked on the drainage since then though?

Yes, but that sorts flooding, not mud. They'd worked on drainage by 2011, 2014, 2016 and it didn't stop it becoming a shit tip. 

BUT - the dry run up increases the chance of it drying out quicker. 

[waterfalls21234]

Thing a lot of people forget is it matters just as much if its a dry or wet runup......as its when the ground is already saturated and then it rains again that it cant soak in and then the site turns into a mudbath pretty quick aka 2016.....im in the south a couple countys over and its predicted bone dry here all week at the mo....so heres hoping that part of things stays the same

[jparx]

2 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Yes, but that sorts flooding, not mud. They'd worked on drainage by 2011, 2014, 2016 and it didn't stop it becoming a shit tip. 

BUT - the dry run up increases the chance of it drying out quicker. 

Yeah that's what I mean, the dry build up is key!