The Weather Thread 2022

[briddj]

Those bloody Germans. 

[Henrik]

Oh fuck this is not good

[Familiar2billions]

[mjfiddy]

[Familiar2billions]

Could be wrong, but I swear previous weather threads haven't seen the models swing this dramatically day to day, especially so close to proceedings. In a weird twisted way though, I kind of love it! (I'll be eating those words if we land on it being a shit storm... But we won't!)

[Walter Sobchak]

oh fuckity fuck

[JoeyT]

To compound the latest runs misery here’s the rain radar for now:

[AlexOvd]

Just now, JoeyT said:

To compound the latest runs misery here’s the rain radar for now:

That's okay. Monday/Tuesday are dry. 

[Splatt]

Bought a new sun hat yesterday on basis of these forecasts. Still will keep the rain off.

[Sheffield Steve]

Wow, what a change overnight.  Looks like the Germans were right all along…. Both the GFS and ECM agree with ICON from yesterday and put the low right over the UK, something which GFS had done on Gav’s latest video to be fair, but has since backed away from.  So this is what the midnight run of the ECM does…

There are showers breaking out on Thursday and then more organised rain coming up from the south

 

By Friday evening the rain has well and truly set in

 

it’s still chucking it down all of Saturday 

 

 

and is still raining by Sunday, by which time the site will be sodden…

 

it is a worrying development.  Once the models start agreeing on the same trend, it’s starts to become a fairly certain outcome.   So that’s what the Europeans think,I’ll go and see what the Germans and the Canadians make of all this and report back…..

 

Edited June 18, 2022 by Sheffield Steve

[AlexOvd]

4 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Wow, what a change overnight.  Looks like the Germans were right all along…. Both the GFS and ECM agree with ICON from yesterday and put the low right over the UK, something which GFS had done on Gav’s latest video to be fair, but has since backed away from.

There are showers breaking out on Thursday and then more organised rain coming up from the south

 

By Friday evening the rain has well and truly set in

 

it’s still chucking it down all of Saturday 

 

 

and is still raining by Sunday, by which time the site will be sodden…

 

it is a worrying development.  Once the models start agreeing on the same trend, it’s starts to become a fairly certain outcome.   So that’s what the Europeans think,I’ll go and see what the Germans and the Canadians make of all this and report back…..

 

F*ck

[Sheffield Steve]

The Canadians are having none of it!  They do not subscribe to the notion of the low over the U.K., they keep it much further north.   Apart from a few showers on the Saturday, they give us a completely dry festival.  From the latest midnight run of the GEM:
 

Saturday - no low

 

Sunday - ridge of high pressure forcing its way in

 

God Bless Canada

 

 

Edited June 18, 2022 by Sheffield Steve

[JayBalls]

3 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Canadians are having none of it!  They do not subscribe to the notion of the low over the U.K., they keep it much further north.   Apart from a few showers on the Saturday, they give us a completely dry festival.  From the latest midnight run of the GEM:
 

Saturday - no low

 

Sunday - ridge of high pressure forcing its way in

 

God Bless Canada

 

 

 

[FLB]

Edited June 18, 2022 by FLB

[gigpusher]

5 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Canadians are having none of it!  They do not subscribe to the notion of the low over the U.K., they keep it much further north.   Apart from a few showers on the Saturday, they give us a completely dry festival.  From the latest midnight run of the GEM:
 

Saturday - no low

 

Sunday - ridge of high pressure forcing its way in

 

God Bless Canada

 

 

I have always liked Canadians. 

[EFC1996]

I’m just sticking with the beeb 

[Sheffield Steve]

The Germans agree with the Canadians. They do not have the low over the U.K. and have a ridge of high pressure close to or over the U.K. up to the Saturday at least, which is as far as the model goes at the moment.   So that would give us an almost completely dry festival, with temperatures rising through the week.  This is Saturday lunchtime on the ICON model…no low…

 

So America and Europe - rain rain rain

Canada and Germany - sun sun sun

Who will be right?  Answers on a postcard…

 

[gigpusher]

1 minute ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Germans agree with the Canadians. They do not have the low over the U.K. and have a ridge of high pressure close to or over the U.K. up to the Saturday at least, which is as far as the model goes at the moment.   So that would give us an almost completely dry festival, with temperatures rising through the week.  This is Saturday lunchtime on the ICON model…no low…

 

So America and Europe - rain rain rain

Canada and Germany - sun sun sun

Who will be right?  Answers on a postcard…

 

Germans are always precise as well. I think they’ve got this right! 

[Billy Corgans hair]

Be interesting to see how the forecasts react to the latest today.

That low pressure can do one tho

[Alvoram]

It's a worrying update, but let's not forget that just yesterday the ECM and GFS were in total agreement on a completely dry festival. It can and will mostly change back and forth.

[DyatlovReturns]

7 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Germans agree with the Canadians. They do not have the low over the U.K. and have a ridge of high pressure close to or over the U.K. up to the Saturday at least, which is as far as the model goes at the moment.   So that would give us an almost completely dry festival, with temperatures rising through the week.  This is Saturday lunchtime on the ICON model…no low…

 

So America and Europe - rain rain rain

Canada and Germany - sun sun sun

Who will be right?  Answers on a postcard…

 

Thanks for brining the hope we all need 

[steviewevie]

17 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Canadians are having none of it!  They do not subscribe to the notion of the low over the U.K., they keep it much further north.   Apart from a few showers on the Saturday, they give us a completely dry festival.  From the latest midnight run of the GEM:
 

Saturday - no low

 

Sunday - ridge of high pressure forcing its way in

 

God Bless Canada

 

 

[The Nal]

  

18 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

There are showers breaking out on Thursday and then more organised rain coming up from the south

 

By Friday evening the rain has well and truly set in

it’s still chucking it down all of Saturday 

and is still raining by Sunday, by which time the site will be sodden…

 

it is a worrying development.  

 

Very very worrying.

Shocking. And worrying.

Too late really now to do a complete 360 turn.

Its going to be rainy and muddy.

 

[steviewevie]

.

Edited June 18, 2022 by steviewevie

[Billy Corgans hair]

BBC just updated, no rain but cold and windy