The Weather Thread 2022

[AlexOvd]

16 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

...and met office website, as I think someone has mentioned, has dry but cloudy on friday and some showers on saturday afternoon...

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcn5n88mb#?nearestTo=Pilton (Somerset)&date=2022-06-25

The precipitation I think was showing peaks of 50/60% on Saturday and now 30%.

[Euphoricape]

I'm liking the positivity this morning

Edited June 19, 2022 by Euphoricape

[AlexOvd]

And the lads of AccuWeather didn't update including rain on their prediction. Still holding. 

[steviewevie]

netweather's forecast still has quite a lot of rain...

[turricandan]

Won't need wellies.

 

 

 

[AlexOvd]

2 hours ago, briddj said:

Ok then, I've no idea what happened with the 18Z so this is going to be a surprise to me as we go through!

WEDNESDAY MORNING - GATES OPEN

Dry right through to now, when it's warm with temps of 19.

PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT

Still an extremely consistent picture. Latest on the left.

Onto the first two days of the festival.

WEDNESDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

Still very good consistency on Wednesday.

THURSDAY

Totally dry, highs of 26.

Unfortunately we are starting to see consistency for the low pushing down on Thursday.

FRIDAY

An improvement! Now a dry day with highs of 23! None of the rain hits the site.

But hang on a minute.... The bad news for the 00Z is that the low is worse. It's coming in deeper and more pronounced.

SATURDAY

Chance of light rain, highs of 20.

A big trough of low pressure capturing the UK.

SUNDAY

A small amount of rain hitting the site. Highs of 19.

Even though the low is fully here!

MONDAY MORNING

SUMMARY

Strange. A good and bad update.

While the low is very much winning, the temperatures are decent with nothing more than showers.

Think it's starting to look pretty certain now the low will win - the question being what exactly it will mean.

Bad update for the low, good update for the outcome!

This is the update from the morning or last night? Your work is absolutely awesome, thank you for keeping us informed! 

[steviewevie]

4 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

This is the update from the morning or last night? Your work is absolutely awesome, thank you for keeping us informed! 

it's this morning's...00Z.

[steviewevie]

still a fair amount of rain on YR too, which I'm sure The Nal will be along to point out at some time...

[squirrelarmy]

MetCheck has it cold and dry. Saturday and Sunday are going to feel very chilly. 
 

Few extra layers needed for those nights and still very changeable conditions with a stiff breeze.  
 

[AlexOvd]

1 minute ago, squirrelarmy said:

MetCheck has it cold and dry. Saturday and Sunday are going to feel very chilly. 
 

Few extra layers needed for those nights and still very changeable conditions with a stiff breeze.  
 

But generally looks like the rain is moving more into Saturday overall and in that predictions not that heavy. Hopefully as Friday is the busiest day for bands (at least for me). 

Anyway this is constantly changing. 

[FuzzyDunlop]

2 hours ago, briddj said:

Ok then, I've no idea what happened with the 18Z so this is going to be a surprise to me as we go through!

WEDNESDAY MORNING - GATES OPEN

Dry right through to now, when it's warm with temps of 19.

PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT

Still an extremely consistent picture. Latest on the left.

Onto the first two days of the festival.

WEDNESDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

Still very good consistency on Wednesday.

THURSDAY

Totally dry, highs of 26.

Unfortunately we are starting to see consistency for the low pushing down on Thursday.

FRIDAY

An improvement! Now a dry day with highs of 23! None of the rain hits the site.

But hang on a minute.... The bad news for the 00Z is that the low is worse. It's coming in deeper and more pronounced.

SATURDAY

Chance of light rain, highs of 20.

A big trough of low pressure capturing the UK.

SUNDAY

A small amount of rain hitting the site. Highs of 19.

Even though the low is fully here!

MONDAY MORNING

SUMMARY

Strange. A good and bad update.

While the low is very much winning, the temperatures are decent with nothing more than showers.

Think it's starting to look pretty certain now the low will win - the question being what exactly it will mean.

Bad update for the low, good update for the outcome!

Not liking Wednesday & Thursday at all. 26 and sunny, before a low pressure means muggy on top. Those 2 days are going to be hell.

Dragging stuff in the queue. 

If the low can drop the temps and keep it dry, I'd be greatful. Danke weather gods.

[waynewdk]

What do 00z mean

[Sheffield Steve]

34 minutes ago, PolygonWindow said:

This is a game changer right ?

Yes, a total game changer!  The UKMO gets rid of the low completely, very different from the other models.  And with it being one of the more reliable models, there is very much fresh hope.  
it would bring the odd shower on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, but no persistent rain and temperature would be good too, not too hot, not too cold.

It’s all coming together folks!   (Maybe)

[Sheffield Steve]

4 minutes ago, waynewdk said:

What do 00z mean

It means that the computer model started doing its calculations at midnight GMT, I.e. 1am British Summer Time.   So 12z would mean midday GMT or 1pm BST.

[CaledonianGonzo]

I'd take that for sure.

[KidneyTerra]

On 6/7/2022 at 12:46 PM, PabloCoke said:

So 242 pages of speculation, guesses and entertainment, and we are still in limbo.  We’ll look back and laugh about this thread when we start it all again next year.  Fuck the weather!  Bring it on!

 

Mine too.  

[Euphoricape]

#TeamUKMO

[March Hare]

I leave for the festival today. Based on this thread I’m leaving the raincoat at home but packing an extra hoodie. Might be a bit cool at the weekend. 

Thanks for the updates and analysis 

[AlexOvd]

😞

[CantWaitForGlasto22]

I can’t believe other nations think us Brits are obsessed with the weather … 242 pages later. It might rain, it might not 😂. LOVE this!

[Glastonlocal]

2 minutes ago, March Hare said:

I leave for the festival today. Based on this thread I’m leaving the raincoat at home but packing an extra hoodie. Might be a bit cool at the weekend. 

Thanks for the updates and analysis 

Ummm no raincoat at all? 

[jimmillen]

5 minutes ago, March Hare said:

Based on this thread I’m leaving the raincoat at home

Arrrggh that’s the definition of tempting fate. Pack that coat! 😄

[March Hare]

5 minutes ago, Glastonlocal said:

Ummm no raincoat at all? 

 

2 minutes ago, jimmillen said:

Arrrggh that’s the definition of tempting fate. Pack that coat! 😄

Ok ok, I’ll pack it as an offering to the weather gods

[March Hare]

But also, this thread had been great fun. I love it.

[Euphoricape]

7 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

😞

I'm sure accuweather are about 2 days behind everyone else.