The Weather Thread 2022

[leath02]

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Edited June 21, 2022 by leath02

[steviewevie]

Driving down to some place called The South now. Have a great festival if I'm not on here again (although I probably will be).

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Just now, steviewevie said:

Driving down to some place called The South now. Have a great festival if I'm not on here again (although I probably will be).

Great work this year, you did the hard yards.

Have a great weekend whatever the weather. 

[fightoffyour]

GFS! GFS!

Back the fuck over Ireland you Baltic Ballbag

[SpencerF]

4 minutes ago, briddj said:

NOW, IT'S OVER TO THE 06Z FOR THE LATEST.

talk dirty to me

[leath02]

2 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Driving down to some place called The South now. Have a great festival if I'm not on here again (although I probably will be).

803 posts not out

[briddj]

WEDNESDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

Safe as houses.

 

 

 

[chazwwe]

Wednesday is locked. 

[Euphoricape]

Keep back Arctic ballbag 

[Skoo]

13 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Driving down to some place called The South now. Have a great festival if I'm not on here again (although I probably will be).

end of an era

[kemosabe]

The BBC, you sexy bastards 😍

[briddj]

THURSDAY

Not what we wanted to see, the GFS getting into bed with other models at this stage.

Chance of a very small amount of rain later afternoon / early evening. Highs of 26.

But maybe something a little more annoying at 9pm - midnight, then clears, but still nothing scary. This is all again very much on the cust of Pilton, though.

What we know for certain. The low is coming to town. 

[Billy Corgans hair]

Come on high pressure 

[leath02]

HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH 

[Billy Corgans hair]

1 minute ago, leath02 said:

HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH 

Me tomorrow night 

[PolygonWindow]

I’m going with BBC. 

See you all on the farm

[nban2010]

This run ain't looking as good, low is pushing on and hard, couple of hours ahead. 

[dulcificum]

22 hours ago, dulcificum said:

Which model do we think is most accurate for the location?

I mainly use ECMWF in the south east with different models depending on when I need higher resolution or forecasts at altitude.

Is there any thought that GFS, ICON or AROME might be better suited to Pilton?

Anybody got thoughts on this? Bemusing so many are relying on BBC and MeteoGroup without considering the other models.

[briddj]

FRIDAY

This might look scary, but it's similar to recent runs. Rain around from midday - but highs of 20.

It's not much, and is hit and miss around the site. It's going to be a case of how lucky, or unlucky, we might get.

This is how the rain maps compare. Latest on the left.

3pm

6pm

9pm

Pressure is again very similar on Friday.

IT'S CRUNCH TIME.

 

Edited June 21, 2022 by briddj

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

2 minutes ago, dulcificum said:

Anybody got thoughts on this? Bemusing so many are relying on BBC and MeteoGroup without considering the other models.

They're the best ones currently 😂

Not GFS. I'd say UKMO at short range. 

Edited June 21, 2022 by Glasto Weatherwatch

[Familiar2billions]

[Drinky]

45 minutes ago, RaphPH said:

With the latest forecast the taps surely have to be aff

 

[Euphoricape]

What's ukmo looking like today?

[HyperTechnoHorse]

Heading off to the farm now. Not sure why I'm bothering though as recent GFS clearly shows it's going to be carnage. Game over. 

[briddj]

SATURDAY

Dry overnight, but light rain begins around midday, with slightly heavier stuff by 3pm. High of just 16. Rain is shown as hanging around in the form of showers through the evening, with some more light stuff in the early hours.

This is because it's a bad run as far as low pressure goes, I'm afraid. Rather than the low being pushed out to the west, it comes over the UK by Saturday afternoon.