The Weather Thread 2022

[steviewevie]

Latest GFS not complete...but still looking like hot the end of next week, and then weekend of 18th/19th onwards looks pretty unsettled and wet...before and during festival. So, bit shit really. But maybe these GFS precipitation pics on that netweather site are a bit misleading...because BBC is having none of it and has sun/cloud with small chance of rain up until the 23rd. Infact BBC looks so perfect I might just look at that one from now on.

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2640282

[steviewevie]

5 minutes ago, Suprefan said:

It needs to rain for 12 hours straight and steady, during the daytime for that to be a thing nowadays. As stated before it needs to be really wet beforehand to get to mudpocalypse now.

how come? (sorry if been discussed before). It is because has been a dry spring? Or have they somehow changed something so less likely to be a mudfest?!

[stopwn1981]

00z is a car crash. But as I said before it’s all low pressure at the no and rain was predicted this week. It’s turned out really rather ok actually. 

[steviewevie]

15 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Latest GFS not complete...but still looking like hot the end of next week, and then weekend of 18th/19th onwards looks pretty unsettled and wet...before and during festival. So, bit shit really. But maybe these GFS precipitation pics on that netweather site are a bit misleading...because BBC is having none of it and has sun/cloud with small chance of rain up until the 23rd. Infact BBC looks so perfect I might just look at that one from now on.

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2640282

BBC one doesn't have it getting that hot end of next week either. Is BBC one any good?

Edited June 10, 2022 by steviewevie

[JoeyT]

1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

how come? (sorry if been discussed before). It is because has been a dry spring? Or have they somehow changed something so less likely to be a mudfest?!

Everything you see on the webcam is artificial grass now. Just made more sense…

[squirrelarmy]

1 minute ago, JoeyT said:

Everything you see on the webcam is artificial grass now. Just made more sense…

That explains why Worthy Farm milk is exported to the USA so they can make their plastic cheese. 

[steviewevie]

11 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

Everything you see on the webcam is artificial grass now. Just made more sense…

They just need a dome now.

And a Selfridges.

[JoeyT]

So Download and Isle of Wight look set to have decent weather and Glastonbury could be a wet one?

The weather gods have no taste.

[t0paz]

23 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

BBC one doesn't have it getting that hot end of next week either. Is BBC one any good?

The good one is the one which says no rain. So currently the BBC is very good.

[AlexOvd]

39 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

So Download and Isle of Wight look set to have decent weather and Glastonbury could be a wet one?

The weather gods have no taste.

Not all festivals are living a good weekend. Novarock, a festival in Austria I used to attend in the past, had an absolute carnage yesterday on arrival (Glasto 16 style) and the weather the first two days is basically a shitshow. Even they needed to open a stage later and cancel some acts because of the rain. And they usually have very good weather. Their Instagram is basically a sea of people complaining. You never know!

Anyway, I AM SCARED.

Edited June 10, 2022 by AlexOvd

[JayBalls]

14 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

 I AM SCARED.

It's ok we all are, it's the human condition.

[Havors]

Well the accuweathet changed last night from dry up to the 23rd to now showers here and there from 20th to 24th. That's as far as it goes for now on the app.

If it can change instantly over night it can change again.  We need to High pressure to go balls out and hang around longer than expected.  

[AlexOvd]

12 minutes ago, Havors said:

Well the accuweathet changed last night from dry up to the 23rd to now showers here and there from 20th to 24th. That's as far as it goes for now on the app.

If it can change instantly over night it can change again.  We need to High pressure to go balls out and hang around longer than expected.  

There is very good weather straight after and before, we just need that to be moved a bit to match with the festival. If it needs to rain, on Sunday please!

[4AssedMonkey]

I think the site is likely to be more resilient this year purely because it's been so dry recently.  The fields round here have been rock solid ground with cracks in for most of the spring.  We had a few major downpours recently and it's soaked in and made virtually no difference - other than give the plants and crops a growth spurt.  Walking the dog yesterday and the ground is still rock hard.

[FuzzyDunlop]

The weather at Knebworth was perfect. People had t-shirts on. Dry, could sit down - not too hot.

[squirrelarmy]

The torrential rain seen on MetCheck yesterday has now vanished.
 

Temperatures aren’t looking great though, will need to pack extra hoodies. 

[stopwn1981]

0.5mm over Weds-Sunday - stick! 

[chazwwe]

1 hour ago, steviewevie said:

how come? (sorry if been discussed before). It is because has been a dry spring? Or have they somehow changed something so less likely to be a mudfest?!

The 2016 mud fest was due to weeks worth of rain on the 2 weeks leading up to the festival. Pretty much non stop. To the point that the site was already ruined before people had stepped on. The amount of rain that the site got in the lead up was also a very unusual amount. 

If it rains during the festival, yes there will be mud, but if its only 1.5mm over a day or two (or even the whole weekend) it won't be awful. 

For it to be bad, it needs to really chuck it down either from now(with no dry spells, sun in-between) or during the festival. Which most predictions aren't showing.

Getting worried over 1.5mm of rain over 5 days is silly. 

[FuzzyDunlop]

4 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

The torrential rain seen on MetCheck yesterday has now vanished.
 

Temperatures aren’t looking great though, will need to pack extra hoodies. 

That would be absolutely perfect. 

Wont happen. 

[bennyboi]

22 minutes ago, 4AssedMonkey said:

I think the site is likely to be more resilient this year purely because it's been so dry recently.  The fields round here have been rock solid ground with cracks in for most of the spring.  We had a few major downpours recently and it's soaked in and made virtually no difference - other than give the plants and crops a growth spurt.  Walking the dog yesterday and the ground is still rock hard.

Went for a spin a long street hill last night, in the rain. Considering the rain we have had the last week it was not half as bad as I thought it would be. 
Looks lovely today & most of this week. Ground could take a good raining neh bother. 

[LinvoyPrimus]

6 minutes ago, chazwwe said:

The 2016 mud fest was due to weeks worth of rain on the 2 weeks leading up to the festival. Pretty much non stop. To the point that the site was already ruined before people had stepped on. The amount of rain that the site got in the lead up was also a very unusual amount. 

If it rains during the festival, yes there will be mud, but if its only 1.5mm over a day or two (or even the whole weekend) it won't be awful. 

For it to be bad, it needs to really chuck it down either from now(with no dry spells, sun in-between) or during the festival. Which most predictions aren't showing.

Getting worried over 1.5mm of rain over 5 days is silly. 

Yep. I think people underestimate how difficult it is to completely saturate 900 acres of land. 

[steviewevie]

16 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

The torrential rain seen on MetCheck yesterday has now vanished.
 

Temperatures aren’t looking great though, will need to pack extra hoodies. 

some sexy temperatures there.

[CaledonianGonzo]

11 minutes ago, LinvoyPrimus said:

Yep. I think people underestimate how difficult it is to completely saturate 900 acres of land. 

Yet - we've also all seen it happen fairly frequently.

[chazwwe]

1 minute ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Yet - we've also all seen it happen fairly frequently.

How many times in the last 10 festivals has it been a genuine mud bath. 

[doogie]

2 hours ago, stopwn1981 said:

00z is a car crash.

It is. But for a crumb of comfort check out the previous (18z) run. It was glorious!