The Weather Thread 2022

[chazwwe]

3 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

It had to be close to that on the Saturday in 2019.

Do we know what the max temps were Weds - Sun of 2019?

33 I think was the recorded on the Saturday. 

[steviewevie]

28 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

There’s talk on the netweather forums of 40c next Saturday.

The weather for the whole of next week will be lovely but Wednesday onwards see the ovens turned on.

If only this was all happening the week after 🤦‍♂️

Yeah sure.

[steviewevie]

9 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

It had to be close to that on the Saturday in 2019.

Do we know what the max temps were Weds - Sun of 2019?

If it was 40C and sunny then they'd probably have a health emergency on their hands.

[ErnestWorthing]

6 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

If it was 40C and sunny then they'd probably have a health emergency on their hands.

Coachella is hotter than that every year 

[4AssedMonkey]

Not having Gav’s assessment. Latest GFS much better, with the worst of it skirting past to the north. Come on. 💪

[JoBalls]

1 hour ago, JoeyT said:

There’s talk on the netweather forums of 40c next Saturday.

The weather for the whole of next week will be lovely but Wednesday onwards see the ovens turned on.

If only this was all happening the week after 🤦‍♂️

I mean I love hot weather, but I would rather it rain than have to try and cope with 40°C at the festival. 

[PolygonWindow]

GFS better, BBC still going strong.

Accuweather better but forecasting thunderstorm for Sunday.

 

aka, no one knows. But I have faith, a lot more than I did yesterday after that monstrosity of a GFS I saw. I think we gonna be ok.

[HyperTechnoHorse]

Gav knows his stuff, he's clearly seen something in the data we can't see. 

[steviewevie]

54 minutes ago, ErnestWorthing said:

Coachella is hotter than that every year 

oh ok I'm sure it will be fine then.

[Tranquility of Solitude]

I looked out the window this morning, it was cloudy and breezy. Checked the BBC weather forecast, where it said it was to be similar, cloudy and breezy, all day and that would continue all weekend.

Around midday the sun came out, and the clouds cleared. It was sunny and breezy. Rechecked the BBC, where the forecast had changed to sunny and breezy all weekend.

At 4pm there was a torrential downpour. BBC had changed to torrential rain all weekend. 
 

Skies had clear by 6pm, sun came out..... BBC forecast now changed to sunny all weekend.

Conclusion: BBC weather forecasts are produced by someone looking out of a window.

[Alvoram]

1 minute ago, Tranquility of Solitude said:

I looked out the window this morning, it was cloudy and breezy. Checked the BBC weather forecast, where it said it was to be similar, cloudy and breezy, all day and that would continue all weekend.

Around midday the sun came out, and the clouds cleared. It was sunny and breezy. Rechecked the BBC, where the forecast had changed to sunny and breezy all weekend.

At 4pm there was a torrential downpour. BBC had changed to torrential rain all weekend. 
 

Skies had clear by 6pm, sun came out..... BBC forecast now changed to sunny all weekend.

Conclusion: BBC weather forecasts are produced by someone looking out of a window.

Must be that curtain twitching neighbour you've always wondered about... 

[gigpusher]

2 minutes ago, Tranquility of Solitude said:

I looked out the window this morning, it was cloudy and breezy. Checked the BBC weather forecast, where it said it was to be similar, cloudy and breezy, all day and that would continue all weekend.

Around midday the sun came out, and the clouds cleared. It was sunny and breezy. Rechecked the BBC, where the forecast had changed to sunny and breezy all weekend.

At 4pm there was a torrential downpour. BBC had changed to torrential rain all weekend. 
 

Skies had clear by 6pm, sun came out..... BBC forecast now changed to sunny all weekend.

Conclusion: BBC weather forecasts are produced by someone looking out of a window.

It’s not always that accurate for me. Yesterday it said there was 10% chance of rain and it was pissing it down outside. 

[steviewevie]

is this where we start saying the weather forecasts are always wrong and they just make it up?

[danmarks]

The highest temperature ever recorded in the UK was registered only recently in 2019, when Cambridge Botanic Garden recorded a blistering 38.725 degrees Celsius

[danmarks]

2 minutes ago, gigpusher said:

It’s not always that accurate for me. Yesterday it said there was 10% chance of rain and it was pissing it down outside. 

Yep so the 1 in 10 came in i guess. Im quite pissed to be honest

[gigpusher]

2 minutes ago, danmarks said:

Yep so the 1 in 10 came in i guess. Im quite pissed to be honest

Yep just pointing out it clearly wasn’t someone looking out a window or the percentage might have gone up!

[plaskins]

2 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

is this where we start saying the weather forecasts are always wrong and they just make it up?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NnxjZ-aFkjs

[Dave_c]

19 minutes ago, Tranquility of Solitude said:

I looked out the window this morning, it was cloudy and breezy. Checked the BBC weather forecast, where it said it was to be similar, cloudy and breezy, all day and that would continue all weekend.

Around midday the sun came out, and the clouds cleared. It was sunny and breezy. Rechecked the BBC, where the forecast had changed to sunny and breezy all weekend.

At 4pm there was a torrential downpour. BBC had changed to torrential rain all weekend. 
 

Skies had clear by 6pm, sun came out..... BBC forecast now changed to sunny all weekend.

Conclusion: BBC weather forecasts are produced by someone looking out of a window.

Out of upvotes but that tickled me.

[gazzared]

calling bullshit on The Weather Channel saying its currently Clear 🤣

[gherkin8r]

Never liked Gaz 

[gazzared]

3 minutes ago, gherkin8r said:

Never liked Gaz 

yeah their was a occasion in 2016 when i said to my mate we better take shelter because the weather channel app was telling me its raining,  he said its not ......just look up haha

[stuartbert two hats]

5 hours ago, steviewevie said:

With you there bro. Everyone acts all w*nky when it's sunny.

It's never cold cold at Glastonbury. Stick a light jacket on (with space for cans in the pockets) and crack on.

[stuartbert two hats]

5 hours ago, Xenta101 said:

For those who have been through this before, how accurate have the calls that have been made now (ie 2 weeks out from the festival) been in previous years? Surely a lot of time for things to change (perhaps even drastically)?

Not accurate.

[stuartbert two hats]

5 hours ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Depends. Some years have shown relatively settled predictions this far out (2007 an obvious one, also 2016 I think) and haven't changed much, but for most years there's plenty of time to change. What we want to avoid is consensus developing over next few days around a low sitting for the whole week. 

But 2019 looked terrible at this point and was lovely, and 2015 looked like it was going to be pretty great the week before until we got hit by a couple of random downpours. 

Yeah, when a breakdown is predicted, it's quite easy for that to move in time and in space. I.e. the fronts might meet somewhere else, or a week or later/earlier than predicted. 

[stuartbert two hats]

5 hours ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Depends. Some years have shown relatively settled predictions this far out (2007 an obvious one, also 2016 I think) and haven't changed much, but for most years there's plenty of time to change. What we want to avoid is consensus developing over next few days around a low sitting for the whole week. 

But 2019 looked terrible at this point and was lovely, and 2015 looked like it was going to be pretty great the week before until we got hit by a couple of random downpours. 

2010 was also like that. Proper rollercoaster, until the Azores finger sorted us out good and proper.