The Weather Thread 2023

[DYRTFT]

3 minutes ago, JoeyT said:

Latest run 🔥

@FuzzyDunlop in the mud 

The extremely dry mud 😂

[DYRTFT]

We’re still TOO EARLY. But when the outlier is trending in the right direction, you know it’s gonna be ok. 

[stopwn1981]

[Sasperella2]

39 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Well it’s all change with the midnight run of the GFS.   It has completely flipped and now gives us a completely dry festival.  But it gives with one hand and takes with the other.   It puts the High pressure over Scandinavia and the North Sea giving us a warm continental feed so temperatures rise by the day:

Wednesday: 24

Thursday: 25

Friday: 28

Saturday: 30

Sunday: 31

 

Low pressure still lurks nearby to our south, so this is bound to change again over the next 10 days. Let the rollercoaster continue!

Don't let Fuzzy see this sh*t

[FuzzyDunlop]

40 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Well it’s all change with the midnight run of the GFS.   It has completely flipped and now gives us a completely dry festival.  But it gives with one hand and takes with the other.   It puts the High pressure over Scandinavia and the North Sea giving us a warm continental feed so temperatures rise by the day:

Wednesday: 24

Thursday: 25

Friday: 28

Saturday: 30

Sunday: 31

 

Low pressure still lurks nearby to our south, so this is bound to change again over the next 10 days. Let the rollercoaster continue!

Sod that.

My festival. Acts seen 0

Hospitals visited 1.

[briddj]

All hail the 00Z!

Completely dry festival, a massive fingering!

Temps 23, 25, 27, 29, 30!

[FuzzyDunlop]

The only good thing about that weather report is how cheap my festival will be.

Not gunna take any booze in if its that hot. 

I'll not drink all week, so it'll be cheaper.

See - I can look on the positive if it's that hot.

[Padgey]

It's turning!!!

BBC and AccuWeather now showing rain.

TIme to dig out the boots/wellies!

☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️

[CaledonianGonzo]

5 minutes ago, briddj said:

All hail the 00Z!

Completely dry festival, a massive fingering!

Temps 23, 25, 27, 29, 30!

This calls for a Maebe

 

 

[BBC7BBCHEAVEN]

5 minutes ago, briddj said:

All hail the 00Z!

Completely dry festival, a massive fingering!

Temps 23, 25, 27, 29, 30!

This would be my idea of hell. Anyone excited about it really needs to think about how much trekking is involved in Glastonbury

Bringing a young child as well so these temperatures would just mean I miss most acts during the day

[Sasperella2]

12 minutes ago, Padgey said:

It's turning!!!

BBC and AccuWeather now showing rain.

TIme to dig out the boots/wellies!

☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️

I dont understand. Is it turning to rain or heat??? So much conflicting info about what the completely made up weather reports are showing 

[Sasperella2]

My accuweather is currently pretty middling. Around 20 degrees, some rain light rain on saturday morning, mix of cloud and sun. Nowt to write home about.

These predictive runs on the other hand are like weather on steroids. 

[Jacko45]

Accuweather looking glorious for me, MetCheck showing it hammering down for first 3 days :/

[CaledonianGonzo]

Apps like Accuweather and Metcheck just use the models that folk like briddj are posting. Which one and when they update I dunno.

 

[DYRTFT]

😂😂 

Met check - tiny possibility of rain the Wednesday then complete sunshine with highs of 17/18/19.

Accu weather - Wed thu 25 and 26. Remaining sunny all festival apart from Saturday with a small amount of drizzle. Weekend temps 18/19/20

GFS - el scorchio all festival. 24/25/26/27/28

Great fun.

 

[FuzzyDunlop]

On a serious note. Ive not been outside this year in the hot weather for longer than about 10 mins.

The issue I have with trying to acclimatise is, I work in an office. I dont really have a way of doing it. Even if its for 2 hours a day.  

I do specifically try ti avoid this kind of weather & stay in as much as possible. 

I dont want to spend 5 days sat at my tent, but it's not looking good.

Edited June 10, 2023 by FuzzyDunlop

[Lucy92]

1 minute ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

On a serious note. Ive not been outside for long in the hot weather for longer than about 10 mins.

The issue I have with trying to acclimatise is, I work in an office. I dont really have a way of doing it. Even if its for 2 hours a day.  

I do specifically try ti avoid this kind of weather & stay in as much as possible. 

I dont want to spend 5 days sat at my tent, but it's not looking good.

Sounds boujee but cooling face mist cans are pretty bliss on hot weather (currently heavily pregnant and they’re so refreshing) 

[Littlechef87]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

All hail the 00Z!

Completely dry festival, a massive fingering!

Temps 23, 25, 27, 29, 30!

DON'T TEASE ME LIKE THIS 😍

[richy24]

28 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Apps like Accuweather and Metcheck just use the models that folk like briddj are posting. Which one and when they update I dunno.

 

Metcheck uses GFS, as posted above but is very slow to update. It’s still showing data from the 18z run.

 

When it does update its gonna be glorious!

 

 

[tigger123]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

All hail the 00Z!

Completely dry festival, a massive fingering!

Temps 23, 25, 27, 29, 30!

I love the heat on holiday but for Glastonbury where this is virtually no shade, this is too much on the Friday-Sunday. In 2019, I saw far less music as a result on the scorching days as standing in direct sun for long periods of time zaps the energy

[Sheffield Steve]

The models are really struggling with this setup. There is no agreement at this stage, so any reliance on them is fairly pointless. Many of the major models are out to festival Tuesday and they all have differing solutions. 

The European ECMWF has a low to our SW but a ridge of high pressure over the country:

 

The American GFS says sod that, where you’ve put your high pressure, I’m gonna stick a low pressure:

 

…and the Canadian GEM also has the low but dispenses with high pressure altogether and brings the low in closer:

So it’s all to play for and could go in any direction from here. Best to pack wellies and flip-flops, sun hats and rain hats, vests and kagoules, and check back in a weeks time…!

[DYRTFT]

28 minutes ago, FuzzyDunlop said:

On a serious note. Ive not been outside this year in the hot weather for longer than about 10 mins.

The issue I have with trying to acclimatise is, I work in an office. I dont really have a way of doing it. Even if its for 2 hours a day.  

I do specifically try ti avoid this kind of weather & stay in as much as possible. 

I dont want to spend 5 days sat at my tent, but it's not looking good.

I’m gonna suggest perhaps booking a festival at the end of June might not be the wisest idea if you struggle with moderate heat so much. 

[BBC7BBCHEAVEN]

1 minute ago, DYRTFT said:

I’m gonna suggest perhaps booking a festival at the end of June might not be the wisest idea if you struggle with moderate heat so much. 

28-30 "moderate heat"

 

It's about the highest temperature you will get in the UK, by a significant margin, hardly moderate heat.

I honestly think people on here struggle with the realtive concept of high temperature. 17°+ is very pleasant t-shirt weather.

23+ you will be sweating bullets wandering round a festival

28+ you're absolutely kidding yourself if you think you're going to have a good time at a festival in the UK

[FuzzyDunlop]

3 minutes ago, DYRTFT said:

I’m gonna suggest perhaps booking a festival at the end of June might not be the wisest idea if you struggle with moderate heat so much. 

Nearly didnt this time.

Of the festivals Ive been to, Only 2010 & 2019 were rancid weather wise. I survived them both.

I guarantee if I dont go next year, it'll be my kind of weather

[Nick Sneddon]

if people are able, it may be worth spending a while in the sun this weekend to try and prepare - for some reason the past few years Ive caught sunstroke the first day Ive spent out in the sun, after that Ive been golden. if it does turn out to be sunny at the festival just try and not let it be your first in the sun for a while