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The Weather Thread 2023


tazbang

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4 minutes ago, PocketTim said:

Got some bad news to share with you all. My wife is going for the first time. 
 

Why is this bad? Well every holiday or trip we’ve had together it’s absolutely f**ked it down with rain. 
 

Spain 3 times. Washouts. South of France for our honeymoon, washout. South of France again for a second attempt. Washout. Lake District, washout. Edinburgh, washout. Any holiday we take from work and just do a stay at home. Washout. 
 

Every time I’ve done Glasto on my own or with a mate it’s been glorious sunshine. 
 

This time it’s me and her going together. We’re all f**ked. Sorry. 

Get that ticket of hers sent back!

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21 minutes ago, PocketTim said:

Got some bad news to share with you all. My wife is going for the first time. 
 

Why is this bad? Well every holiday or trip we’ve had together it’s absolutely f**ked it down with rain. 
 

Spain 3 times. Washouts. South of France for our honeymoon, washout. South of France again for a second attempt. Washout. Lake District, washout. Edinburgh, washout. Any holiday we take from work and just do a stay at home. Washout. 
 

Every time I’ve done Glasto on my own or with a mate it’s been glorious sunshine. 
 

This time it’s me and her going together. We’re all f**ked. Sorry. 

Divorce her. 

200k people will thank you for it.

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Latest GFS run(06Z):

Wed: Light rain to start, heavier rain in afternoon(not catastrophic), clearing later in the evening. Max temp 21

Thu: Light rain on and off all day, clearing in evening. Max temp 20

Fri: Pretty much NO RAIN. Max temp 22

Sat: No rain all day apart from VERY light rain in afternoon. Max temp 22

Sun: NO RAIN. Max temp 26

 

 

(Getting closer but still TOO EARLY)

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54 minutes ago, PocketTim said:

Got some bad news to share with you all. My wife is going for the first time. 

This time it’s me and her going together. We’re all f**ked. Sorry. 

gordon-ramsay-get-out.gif

 

06z is a good run. Little smatterings of rain but nothing to be concerned about. Temps pretty decent low 20s, up to mids on SUNday.

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1 minute ago, DYRTFT said:

 

Latest GFS run(06Z):

Wed: Light rain to start, heavier rain in afternoon(not catastrophic), clearing later in the evening. Max temp 21

Thu: Light rain on and off all day, clearing in evening. Max temp 20

Fri: Pretty much NO RAIN. Max temp 22

Sat: No rain all day apart from VERY light rain in afternoon. Max temp 22

Sun: NO RAIN. Max temp 26

 

 

(Getting closer but still TOO EARLY)

Getting better than last few runs. Dry Friday to Sunday will do me

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The 6z GFS is out and is looking better for the end of the festival, but still rain for the beginning.  It’s keen on bringing some rain in from the S/SW on Wed/Thursday/Fri.    But now builds pressure quickly to our south and then over the U.K., getting rid of the low pressure and threat of rain.  And gives us a mostly dry weekend.
The GFS is flipping all over the place, so way too far away for reliability at this stage…but it’s a hopeful development…

Untitled.thumb.gif.00f0526a79536b0f5304ac78987e221c.gif

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ECMWF is up to Wednesday 00:00 now and still looking good... No rain Wednesday, (early hours for the queue squad) that low is being pushed up the west side of the British isles, and temps in the low 20s. 

image.png.ceb32d6c55411abfc130f23be9f594d5.png

image.png.26c2f0dc9e4650c318e5214cd9cc990b.png

 

Definitely a knife edge though... 

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Beeb not painting a pretty picture. Only 9 days out.

https://www.bbc.com/weather/outlook

Unsettled weather should continue

 further rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms as shallow low pressure systems move in from the south and west

These could bring some more widespread rain at times

scattered sharp showers redeveloping, a few of them thundery

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3 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Beeb not painting a pretty picture. Only 9 days out.

https://www.bbc.com/weather/outlook

Unsettled weather should continue

 further rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms as shallow low pressure systems move in from the south and west

These could bring some more widespread rain at times

scattered sharp showers redeveloping, a few of them thundery

BBC saying Pilton a bit dodgy Weds Thurs but Fri Sat are lovely.

But their forecasting of late has been shhhhhhheeeeite.

Still warm though so any raid drying up quickly if that is what happens.

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11 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

ECMWF is up to Wednesday 00:00 now and still looking good... No rain Wednesday, (early hours for the queue squad) that low is being pushed up the west side of the British isles, and temps in the low 20s. 

image.png.ceb32d6c55411abfc130f23be9f594d5.png

image.png.26c2f0dc9e4650c318e5214cd9cc990b.png

 

Definitely a knife edge though... 

Yes definitely a knife edge. That latest run has taken the high pressure further north away from us. We’ve been relying on that, and so have the MetO with their mostly dry forecast.  The Countryfile forecast later will be interesting…

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8 minutes ago, GrumpyRaver said:

What’s the point of incessantly saying “WE’RE DOOMED” on the basis of forecasts weeks before the festival?

Upsetting folk who don't know it's too early is funny to some, at least that's how it looks. Gotta get your kicks somehow.

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1 minute ago, prog seller said:

I love that this is up to 112 posts already. 

 

Looking back at Gas weather from last year, even days before, rain was predicted all day Wed- it certainly didn't rain.  I'm hoping for sans washout. Whatever happens, We're gonna have a good time 😄 

GAV"S not gas 🙄

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