The Weather Thread 2023

[Ayrshire Chris]

Took to the hills again early this morning , long shadows and freezing conditions but great walking conditions. No snow here yet!

[Sheffield Steve]

OK, it’s time for a real chart.  This is the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts prediction for upper air heights for summer 2023 (June, July and August) compared to the long term average.  
The orange blob over the U.K. is predicting a much warmer and drier summer than usual.   Obviously covers the whole summer but bodes well for Glasto….

[CaledonianGonzo]

Liking the look of that big orange blob.

[FrancisH]

All hail the B.O.B.

[The Nal]

[Avalon_Fields]

39 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

OK, it’s time for a real chart.  This is the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts prediction for upper air heights for summer 2023 (June, July and August) compared to the long term average.  
The orange blob over the U.K. is predicting a much warmer and drier summer than usual.   Obviously covers the whole summer but bodes well for Glasto….

Pretty scary for climate change, much of the earth above-average figures.

[CaledonianGonzo]

Small price to pay for a warm, dry Glastonbury

Edited March 11, 2023 by CaledonianGonzo
Autocorrect

[fred quimby]

1 hour ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Small price to pay for a warm, dry Glastonbury

I wonder how many years till @The Nal starts posting pictures of deserts a people hiding from heat

[Ayrshire Chris]

Chances of a warm drier spring are higher than normal according  to the met office. Good news for the build🤞😊

Edited March 16, 2023 by Ayrshire Chris

[Franky]

2010 all over again 💪

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

On 3/11/2023 at 10:14 AM, Sheffield Steve said:

OK, it’s time for a real chart.  This is the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts prediction for upper air heights for summer 2023 (June, July and August) compared to the long term average.  
The orange blob over the U.K. is predicting a much warmer and drier summer than usual.   Obviously covers the whole summer but bodes well for Glasto….

How did I miss this at the weekend? What a great start. Looking forward to more charts! 🌞🌞

[The Nal]

4 hours ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

Chances of a warm drier spring are higher than normal according  to the met office. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Glastonbury season has truly begun.

[Ayrshire Chris]

2 hours ago, The Nal said:

But but but Michael Fish worked for the met office and was 100% accurate😉😊hurricane? What hurricane??

almost as accurate as your glastonbury predictions😉

 

Edited March 16, 2023 by Ayrshire Chris

[Crazyfool01]

local weather forecast talking about the lack of rain and low reservoirs in the south west already 

Edited March 16, 2023 by Crazyfool01

[Ayrshire Chris]

14 minutes ago, Crazyfool01 said:

local weather forecast talking about the lack of rain and low reservoirs in the south west already 

Yes, saw that, a drier than normal February hasn’t helped. A nice dry spring to keep the ground firm for the build. Doesn’t seem that long ago we were in a panic about the state of the Somerset levels! 

[Crazyfool01]

5 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

Yes, saw that, a drier than normal February hasn’t helped. A nice dry spring to keep the ground firm for the build. Doesn’t seem that long ago we were in a panic about the state of the Somerset levels! 

Do you watch the local Somerset weather too ? 😂

[Ayrshire Chris]

8 minutes ago, Crazyfool01 said:

Do you watch the local Somerset weather too ? 😂

BBCSouth West, sky channel 967😊 got it as one of my favourites 

Edited March 16, 2023 by Ayrshire Chris

[Crazyfool01]

21 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

BBCSouth West, sky channel 967😊 got it as one of my favourites 

why did I expect any different 🙂 

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

49 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

BBCSouth West, sky channel 967😊 got it as one of my favourites 

Love the dedication, keep us updated then 👍🏼

[Sheffield Steve]

So, a couple more charts from ECMWF. These charts are using the same set of data as the chart I posted above, but are for June only, and this time show the expected temperature when compared to the long term average. As June is still a way off, we’re really only looking for trends here, so I’ve shown the computer run from February and from March. Both agree that much of Western Europe (including Glasto) will be between 0.5 and 1 centigrade warmer than average. This may not sound like much, but in climatological terms is a significant difference. If April’s run shows the same result in a couple of weeks, we can start to be confident that we’re in for a warm/hot June.

February computer run:

March computer run:

[Alcatraz]

Good work Steve, ultimately it’s these charts that get me more hyped than lineup posters

[Crazyfool01]

Poor fuzzy 

[Ayrshire Chris]

To be honest, I much prefer the ground conditions thread and comments. Much more down to earth. 

[CaledonianGonzo]

15 hours ago, Crazyfool01 said:

local weather forecast talking about the lack of rain and low reservoirs in the south west already 

 

14 hours ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

Yes, saw that, a drier than normal February hasn’t helped. A nice dry spring to keep the ground firm for the build. Doesn’t seem that long ago we were in a panic about the state of the Somerset levels! 

Hell yeah. Joyous news.