The Weather Thread 2024

[mulletatron]

The jet is still all over the shop and we lose run to run consistency by Tuesday. In the 00z the jet has split but in the latest run it holds on longer. 
 

Anything after Tuesday morning is pretty unreliable at the moment. 

[Northtim]

5 minutes ago, kalifire said:

Biggest question for me currently is what the weather’s doing during gate opening. Will it rain on the overnight queue crew? If so, I’ll arrive Wednesday pm when it’ll hopefully be drier. I may well make the call overnight Wednesday morning! Knife. Edge. 

 

Makes me feel better about my coach getting on site late afternoon.  I don't wish rain on the queues but it will help my FOMO as I tuck into a full english still hours from the site 

[briddj]

Full update is on the bottom of the previous page again. 🤣

[devonhammer]

From the Netweather forecasters:

 

• 
• Site forecast team
• 
• •  14k

Posted 12 hours ago (edited)

Synoptic Overview

Certainly turning more unsettled around the middle of next week. But a quick look at the ensemble charts show detail a long way off.

ECM ensemble average has lower pressure for the Friday, perhaps getting better over the weekend.

A quick look at the GFS Meteogram and this suggests rain on many days next week but not large amounts.

There are sizeable differences though between runs and still a lot of uncertainty but that is the norm in forecasting Glastonbury festival weather.

[Physical_graffiti]

so the current forecast is good! well done everyone, stand down. See you at the fest.

[jfaragher]

1 hour ago, devonhammer said:

I'd be interested if there's a good source for the UK Met Office high-res data. Best I can find is this out to Wednesday am

 

UKV (The MO high-res) goes out to 54 hours on most runs, and 120 hours on a couple a day.  That's why you can only see information out to Wednesday next week.

[Respectfatfrog]

this thread is an emotional roller-coaster  

[DCIFF23]

So what we saying - still too far out?

 

[RaphPH]

I’d cash out at this #3

[The Nal]

21 minutes ago, devonhammer said:

From the Netweather forecasters:

 

Last known pic of them

 

[CaledonianGonzo]

4 minutes ago, DCIFF23 said:

So what we saying - still too far out?

 

Pretty much

[NotAnInsider]

Tuesday onwards seems problematic for the models with real uncertainty on what the jet stream will do; we see big variations run to run and between models.

 

Until we get consistency for that morning onwards anything after that is borderline guess work. I think there is some confidence in saying there will be some sort of breakdown into Wednesday, but the extent and severity of that is really up in the air.

[Pinhead]

3 hours ago, The Nal said:

Wednesday morning gates open then

 

 

😆 - you bugger! Yeah that looks pretty much like it tbh, and for me at least after 8 hours in the dark snake with rain to ensure all my gear is properly  soaked through!

[andymk]

This is the GFS 6hz sea level pressure ensembles leading up to Sunday, all over the place from Tuesday so it'll be a few days before we actually know what it's going to be like in reality

[Alison C]

I'm going to buried a packet of sausages and pray to the weather gods 

[nikkic]

27 minutes ago, RaphPH said:

I’d cash out at this #3

I won't accept ANY rain

[The Nal]

1 minute ago, nikkic said:

I won't accept ANY rain

 

Not your choice unfortunately

 

[nikkic]

1 minute ago, The Nal said:

 

Not your choice unfortunately

 

I think you're forgetting it's 2024 and we, as humans, can manifest ANYTHING we want in life.

NFRNFC

[Chip Batch]

33 minutes ago, DCIFF23 said:

So what we saying - still too far out?

 

If it says rain, then yes. 

[4AssedMonkey]

37 minutes ago, DCIFF23 said:

So what we saying - still too far out?

 

 

Definitely.  Jet Stream is f**king with us which makes the models completely unpredictable.  If it was stable, then we could place more stock by the longer (5-7 day) forecasting to at least be fairly close, but as it is, I'd even take the forecasts in the next 48 hours with pinch of salt.

[DCIFF23]

15 minutes ago, The Nal said:

 

Not your choice unfortunately

 

You must be so fun at parties, and glasto for that matter. Aware that this an 'act' or 'character' you play each year into the build up but f**k me that must be boring and sad. People's first time on here; bit weird you sitting here all day and pissing on their parade.

 

[chuckles07]

9 minutes ago, DCIFF23 said:

You must be so fun at parties, and glasto for that matter. Aware that this an 'act' or 'character' you play each year into the build up but f**k me that must be boring and sad. People's first time on here; bit weird you sitting here all day and pissing on their parade.

 

 

 

😂 ……and breathe

[behindthebunhouse]

11 minutes ago, DCIFF23 said:

You must be so fun at parties, and glasto for that matter. Aware that this an 'act' or 'character' you play each year into the build up but f**k me that must be boring and sad. People's first time on here; bit weird you sitting here all day and pissing on their parade.

 

you shouldn't let him wind you up

[Crazyfool01]

The block button is available if needed 

[DCIFF23]

1 minute ago, chuckles07 said:

 

 

😂 ……and breathe

 

1 minute ago, behindthebunhouse said:

you shouldn't let him wind you up

Ahaha believe it or not i'm not wound up. Just thought it needed to be said, as i've not seen anyone else say it.