The Weather Thread 2024

[briddj]

Please just give us a little hope.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

10 minutes ago, Wurzelcat said:

Ive just been reading from this time last year (ie the Friday before) and it looked far worse, but turned out alright in the end.

That's not entirely true - equivalent day last year (Friday before) was 16th June, and while there was some disagreement the GFS and ECM were showing nothing more than occasional showers and high pressure building Fri-Sun. Generally more rain in the mix this year and more divergence in the models. 

 

 

[Spindles]

1 hour ago, ibilly99 said:

What is a realistic best case scenario - there will be some rain , it won't be biblical and the site will shake it off ? Is there a 50/50 for that ?

Realistic best case scenario is that over the next few days we see the volume and frequency of predicted rain diminish on the forecasts, until there's just a couple of narrow periods where we get brief light showers on maybe Wednesday and Friday, with an average peak temp of 22c and overnight temps in the low teens.

[Superscally]

1 hour ago, eatingglitter said:

Tbh I know this, literally inside and out the evils of wellies. I've seen the welly burns of my colleagues back in 2007... but I still panic about whether I need them. LOL

Absolutely. Still debate getting a pair. 😄😄😄

[gherkin8r]

2 minutes ago, Spindles said:

Realistic best case scenario is that over the next few days we see the volume and frequency of predicted rain diminish on the forecasts, until there's just a couple of narrow periods where we get brief light showers on maybe Wednesday and Friday, with an average peak temp of 22c and overnight temps in the low teens.

Spindles knows something, I can tell!

[1986]

2 hours ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Gossip actually attracting a crowd bigger than a couple of dozen people because it's snowing outside

I'd rather have trench foot.

[Spindles]

1 minute ago, gherkin8r said:

Spindles knows something, I can tell!

 

One part wishful thinking, one part experience.  I reckon we're fine.

[Ayrshire Chris]

2 minutes ago, Superscally said:

Absolutely. Still debate getting a pair. 😄😄😄

We bought memory foam insoles for our wellies. Adds a bit of comfort to them. Always thought to put a strip of that adhesive draught insulation that used to be put on  door frames round the welly tops to prevent rubbing on legs. Might be a bit extreme😉😊

[AdrianH]

GFS 6z with another version of the wet Wednesday. Better though as the heavier stuff is on an improved track

[briddj]

WEDNESDAY UPGRADE

[Northtim]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

WEDNESDAY UPGRADE

 

F**ks sake - why can't I just stop looking until next week.

 

Ok - I'm back in again, what we got  

[Respectfatfrog]

2 minutes ago, Northtim said:

 

F**ks sake - why can't I just stop looking until next week.

 

Ok - I'm back in again, what we got  

 

A mix between trench foot and wind burn 

[Euphoricape]

Thursday downgrade..

[The Nal]

Friday morning downgrade and afternoon the same.

[AdrianH]

Nasty looking low towards the weekend. Just showers from it on this run but we dont want that any further south (like the ECM)

[briddj]

Oh sh*t

[briddj]

FIGHTBACK! COME ON!

[Jacko45]

Hopes of a FIGHTBACK like pissing in the wind. 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Weds and Thurs look a bit grim but not TOO extreme (fairly light if persistent rain), and weekend is fine again. The low to West is deepening though, if that were to come in any further it would be time to build an ark. 

[Jacko45]

How can anyone tell with this LOL

 

 

Within seconds 

[balti-pie]

Wellies (though obvs I prefer hiking boots in 80% of conditions) are fine if you follow a couple of rules - get some decent hiking insoles, wear two pairs of socks, and make the outer sock a pair of footy socks - fold them over the top of the wellie and you won’t have the burny rubbing problem that the thicker calved of us can suffer from. 
(personally I like Dundee United socks for my black wellies, but only cos they’re just the right shade of orange - not for any kind of footballing loyalty, I’m a Clachnacuddin man north of the border) 

 

edit; and take em off whenever you get a chance. Air those tootsies! 

Edited June 21 by balti-pie

[briddj]

Right then, let's see if ol' Grotbags stays in Greenland.

 

We now know that it's going to be glorious summer until Tuesday, so now we'll go into the festival direct.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

There is still rain around, but the worst of it pushes to the west and through poor Northern Ireland. 17-18.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of 11-12.

 

 

Showers in the morning, rain then clears in the afternoon (hits further north again) and with temps of 20-21 we'll get some good drying in.

 

 

Very similar pressure picture, maybe marginally better. Latest on the right.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

While Wednesday was an improvement, Thursday is a small downgrade.

 

There's rain showing in the afternoon, though 2mm isn't much. Highs of 18-19 is up on the last run.

 

Temps overnight into Friday of 14.

 

 

Pressure is in a similar position but hmm, Grotbags is getting bigger... Latest on the right.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry with highs of 19-20. Nice!

 

 

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 13-14.

 

Grotbags is growing but ... so far fails to build into the UK. Gulp.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 18.

 

Temps overnight into Sunday of 13.

 

 

Very different appearance in the latest run, on the right, with Grotbags moving to Greenland but the high pressure just cannot build in.

 

 

 

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Totally dry, rain missing to the north. Highs up to 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 14.

 

 

Pressure remains static, but as you can see from the rain in the north we're in danger of it pushing down.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

Signs of promise, with a much better picture for Wednesday. Thursday might have some rain, but it's not that bad.

 

Still total uncertainly about what will happen from Friday onwards, as seen by the totally different pressure pictures on Saturday - and where the rain is on Sunday.

 

Remains a bit chilly on this one Fri and Sat though.

 

You wanted hope? You got hope!!

 

 

 

 

 

[devonhammer]

The latest run does have a hint that the Azores might be getting it's eye in and thinking about pointing at us. Just a hint mind.

[AliceR]

Upgrade!

 

we’ll be back at scorching in no time right!? 

[kalifire]

Biggest question for me currently is what the weather’s doing during gate opening. Will it rain on the overnight queue crew? If so, I’ll arrive Wednesday pm when it’ll hopefully be drier. I may well make the call overnight Wednesday morning! Knife. Edge.