The Weather Thread 2024

[briddj]

Definite downgrade here.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

4 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Does seem genuinely encouraging if days around it are improved also.

 

High might win out?

Friday and Sat have light showers unfortunately. So not much change from 06z bar Weds getting worse and Thurs getting better. Actually Sunday dry now.  

[briddj]

4 minutes ago, CR77 said:

 

Is that Wednesday 9am BST?  Or is that a US timezone?  Only ask as the first frame for this run is for "12:00" - but that's over 5 hours ago for us!

 

BST

[ibilly99]

Does anybody know what Piers Corbyn predicts apparently in this respect he is a genius. Oh Peersss Corbyn !!

 

https://www.themaverickman.com/piers-corbyn-weatheraction-analysis

 

http://www.weatheraction.com/

Edited June 21 by ibilly99

[Sheffield Steve]

The 12z GFS very similar to ECM now for Wednesday and Thursday, with a ridge of high pressure following the rain on Wednesday… so at least we get a dry day on Thursday…
 

[Jacko45]

3 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Friday and Sat have light showers unfortunately. So not much change from 06z bar Weds getting worse and Thurs getting better. Actually Sunday dry now.  

 

Im struggling to tally up the reactions page to page we seemed happier 10 minutes ago hahaha

 

[AdrianH]

UKMO takes the 1st low south east which is what we want as it'll allow high pressure to build over the top for the weekend

 

[briddj]

We were given some hope in the 06Z. Can we take another step forward in the 12Z?

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Apocalyptic scenes for gates open as Beelzebub visits Glastonbury when the gates open. This is end-of-days stuff.

 

15-16 degrees.

 

 

Torrential rain continues all morning, with showers through the afternoon. Highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of 14-15.

 

 

 

The pressure picture is slightly better at this stage (latest run on the right), but the UK is right on the weather front.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of just 16-17.

 

Temps overnight into Friday of 12.

 

 

Very similar story to the 06Z, with an area of low pressure trying to force its way from the north. Latest on the right - with pressure slightly higher.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Chance of very, very light showers in the afternoon, highs of 19.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 11-12.

 

 

High pressure isn't being so influential in this run (on the right). Really would have been good to show it doing something here.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Another showery afternoon with pitiful highs of 16-17.

 

Temps overnight into Sunday of 10.

 

 

 

Higher pressure has failed to build in (latest on the right).

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry, laughable temperatures of 16-17.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 12-13.

 

 

On this run, high pressure only starts to build in late on Sunday.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A definite downgrade on the 06Z. If the rain shows was to hit the site on Wednesday, it would definitely ruin the site - and there are not the temperatures for it to recovery.

 

Then a couple of showery days, most notably Saturday, which would not be pleasant in the temperatures.

 

Dare I say it that this run has 2016 kind of vibes... but only if that Wednesday rain was to be correct.

 

Twist.

 

 

Edited June 21 by briddj

[CaledonianGonzo]

Friday is now in range on the Met Office and still keeping its dander up.

 

Tonight, on the other hand, has deteriorated. Hopefully the site doesn't take a reaming.

[The Red Telephone]

What has gone wrong with BBC Weather?

 

This is the headline for tomorrow where I live:

 

 

[panasonic2011]

A few miles from site and there is a feel of rain in the air.  Not sure how bad it will as it’s been a lovely day so far.  I’m sure it will be fine 

Edited June 21 by panasonic2011

[The Red Telephone]

This is the only chance of rain in the forecast

 

 

[Pinhead]

3 hours ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

Could be this though!

 

Ahhhhhhh......

[The Red Telephone]

BBC still have the best symbols though

[andymk]

on a positive note, the Operational run is a massive outlier as far as rain on Wednesday goes, with only the Control run showing a high amount of rain

[Sheffield Steve]

The 12z U.K. Met has showers around on Wednesday but reserves the worst of the rain for overnight Wednesday/ Thursday… some more lightish showers for Thursday/Friday but a definite upgrade…

 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Good comparison on where models are here: https://x.com/peacockreports/status/1804193851449422299?s=46&t=OD2g_A8MExyBtWvnPpmuEA

[Jinglebells]

Excuse my barely there weather knowledge apart from getting hopelessly into the charts ahead of glasto each year but the GEM chart (no idea if this is regarded solid or not for the UK?) is showing really nice weather in their 12z today!

 

Here for the hopeless positivity 😅

[Jacko45]

Met Office refuse to budge on their predictions.

 

[Havors]

Just now, Jacko45 said:

Met Office refuse to budge on their predictions.

 

They are never in any rush to update. Will change in the morning 

[august1]

surely the ground is in much better state than 2016, The Wednesday rain can't be that damaging

 

[panasonic2011]

"Then on Wednesday, it looks like we'll see a thundery breakdown, but in weather terms this is still a long way off, so we'll have to keep you posted on that."

 

Sky weather!!

[clasher]

Packed my gaiters today.

 

 

 

 

It's gonna be 21, overcast with a light breeze all 5 days.

[briddj]

5 minutes ago, august1 said:

surely the ground is in much better state than 2016, The Wednesday rain can't be that damaging

 

 

It would be a month's rain in a morning, so it absolutely would IF it came to pass.

[Nobody Interesting]

7 minutes ago, Havors said:

They are never in any rush to update. Will change in the morning 

 

It updated arpound 80 minutes ago - taking off any showers it had before this.