The Weather Thread 2024

[briddj]

15 minutes ago, Aragorn said:

If anything to op run above was the more negative of all runs. So deffo improvement 

 

 

 

BRING ON THE FINGER!

[The Nal]

Do not look at YR......

 

 

[ibilly99]

3 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Changing nothing for me personally, lovely to see but one good run doth not make a summer.

The shorts were in doubt no longer and Jesus sandals are making a comeback.

[Simsy]

8 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

So who else is scrambling about reassessing what clothes to take? Apart from the footwear, take for all eventualities 

Nah, think the only thing I'd change is chucking in an extra jumper if it looks like it'll be cold all week. Other than that it's dresses or shorts/t shirts regardless of the weather, warm layers for the evening, sun hat, rain coat, got all eventualities covered.

[ibilly99]

Just now, The Nal said:

Do not look at YR......

 

 

Isn't this the weather equivalent of a bloke in the pub ?

[mrfunk]

1 minute ago, ibilly99 said:

Isn't this the weather equivalent of a bloke in the pub ?

😂😂

[Nobody Interesting]

3 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Do not look at YR......

 

 

It was the first site I looked at this morning and I said "f**k off and die"

and then came here

[NotAnInsider]

ECM Probabilistic has seen a massive upgrade over the last 24 hrs. A day ago we were looking at a load of 6 hour periods with a greater than 50% chance of rain; this morning there are none over the festival period.

 

Still a chance of rain, but its a much better picture than a day ago.

[woyski]

[The Nal]

2 minutes ago, ibilly99 said:

Isn't this the weather equivalent of a bloke in the pub ?

 

Five weather apps you can actually rely on

 

[ibilly99]

9 minutes ago, The Nal said:

 

Five weather apps you can actually rely on

 

Met Office trumps them in that ranking and gets double points for being Uk based so I would (making this up!!) say Met Office is 4 x more likely to be right than YR and that's a made up FACT !

Edited June 22 by ibilly99

[Jacko45]

Met Office really sticking to their guns.

 

[The Nal]

 

  

3 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

Met Office really sticking to their guns.

 

They've just added this

 

 

"Turning more widely warm or very warm and humid Tuesday, with sunny spells and the chance of a shower. Possibly a thundery breakdown Wednesday."

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcn4fpj2y#?date=2024-06-26

Edited June 22 by The Nal

[MichaelsBeard]

2 minutes ago, The Nal said:

We lose on penalties of course 

[ibilly99]

1 minute ago, The Nal said:

Of feck - the England's broken factor - post Brexit, Covid and the loss of the BBC contract the Met may have lost expertise and staff who made it world leading and they are now trading off past glories. Wheras Norway with it's small population and huge oil and gas revenues has a full complement of world class experts and modellers.

[donshakey]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

Right, let's hope we lose the horror Thursday on the 00Z!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Completely dry through and highs of 21-22. Result!

 

 

Very, very light showers in the afternoon, highs of 26!

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of 17-18.

 

 

 

THURSDAY

 

There is some nasty rain around, but this is better than the last run and the worst goes further north.

 

And ... woah! Highs of 23-24! Massive upgrade!

 

Temps overnight into Friday of 14-15.

 

 

So, why the higher temperatures?

 

The pocket of low pressure has not developed to the south, though we need to watch that one in Spain, which has troubled us before. Latest on the right.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry and highs of 20-21, again good for any necessary drying.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 12.

 

 

 

This is a great picture! The low in Spain doesn't develop and the high appears to be building in! Latest on the right.

 

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry and highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Sunday of 11-12.

 

 

High pressure is winning! Latest on the right.

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry and highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 11-12.

 

 

Just look at the difference in the pressure picture on the right!

 

 

SUMMARY

 

We're BACK IN THE GAME. Yes, there's the threat of some rain on the Thursday, but the worst is north of the site and these temperatures would allow drying.

 

This is a MASSIVE upgrade on the runs of the last few days. The low pressure doesn't build in, the temperatures stay nice and pleasant, and it's dry.

 

COME ON.

 

 

[Jacko45]

6 minutes ago, The Nal said:

 

  

 

They've just added this

 

 

"Turning more widely warm or very warm and humid Tuesday, with sunny spells and the chance of a shower. Possibly a thundery breakdown Wednesday."

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcn4fpj2y#?date=2024-06-26

 

Pray for FLAMSTEAD

 

 

[Nobody Interesting]

16 minutes ago, The Nal said:

 

Five weather apps you can actually rely on

 

 

6 minutes ago, ibilly99 said:

Met Office trumps them in that ranking and gets double points for being Uk based so I would (making this up!!) say Met Office is 4 x more likely to be right than YR and that's a made up FACT !

 

Before Bearded Theory there was huge doubt about a low pressure that would appear over France and move north in a NW direction.

YR had heavy heavy rain forecast a week out. The Met Office had dry.
YR flipped between heavy rain and dry. The Met office forecast dry.

Until 36 hours before..................

The Met Office changed and the actual weather was a months rain in under 24 hours breaking the previous rainfall record by more than double.

I had never seen weather charts like it for that low and historical data had little to compare to hence the doubts.

I have never seen such levels of doubt as we have now about whether or now low pressures will even form.

The weather knows climate change exists

[Ayrshire Chris]

So, I’m out walking this morning and spoke to the coxswain of our local lifeboat and casually asked him about what forecasts they use.  They use the U.K. met office forecast, he doesn’t trust any other one and they stopped using bbc about four years ago.  By the way I know him and we were talking about the new slipway they have, not as if I just randomly accosted a stranger😉

[ibilly99]

14 minutes ago, Nobody Interesting said:

 

 

Before Bearded Theory there was huge doubt about a low pressure that would appear over France and move north in a NW direction.

YR had heavy heavy rain forecast a week out. The Met Office had dry.
YR flipped between heavy rain and dry. The Met office forecast dry.

Until 36 hours before..................

The Met Office changed and the actual weather was a months rain in under 24 hours breaking the previous rainfall record by more than double.

I had never seen weather charts like it for that low and historical data had little to compare to hence the doubts.

I have never seen such levels of doubt as we have now about whether or now low pressures will even form.

The weather knows climate change exists

Oh f**k evidence based opinions you are scaring me now !!!

[Nobody Interesting]

1 minute ago, ibilly99 said:

Oh f**k evidence based opinions you are scaring me now !!!

 

Sorry - it will all be fine and we will dance lots and smile even more.

There will be some rain, there will be some mud.

I was there in 2016, it was hard work but oh SO MUCH FUN

[ibilly99]

Just now, Ayrshire Chris said:

So, I’m out walking this morning and spoke to the coxswain of our local lifeboat and casually asked him about what forecasts they use.  They use the U.K. met office forecast, he doesn’t trust any other one and they stopped using bbc about four years ago.  By the way I know him and we were talking about the new slipway they have, not as if I just randomly accosted a stranger😉

I'm sure he's a nice fella he's is a lifeboat man after all but our very own Cassandra @Nobody Interesting has wielded a hammer of doom. Anyway I'm going on site tomoorow and that's in the bag.

[ibilly99]

1 minute ago, Nobody Interesting said:

 

Sorry - it will all be fine and we will dance lots and smile even more.

There will be some rain, there will be some mud.

I was there in 2016, it was hard work but oh SO MUCH FUN

Aye the curse of Coldplay has come back to haunt us.

 

[Franky]

It’s pissing it down in Bucks, ergo next weekend will be sunny 👍

 

Also, I blame Chris f**king Martin for all of this. 

[Jacko45]

Just now, Franky said:

It’s pissing it down in Bucks, ergo next weekend will be sunny 👍

 

Also, I blame Chris f**king Martin for all of this. 

 

Unbelievably it's nice in West Yorkshire.

 

Got a 60th in a huge marquee tonight - might bring pre-festival vibes, but I'm facing a late fitness test.