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The Weather Thread 2024


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Funnily enough this GFS run is almost near identical to the ECMWF GraphCast (AI) run that I shared yesterday, high pressure starting to ridge back in on the Friday and north/south split. 🤔

 

This GFS run improves on it ever so slightly I would say.

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15 minutes ago, briddj said:

Right. Strap in, let's hope the 06Z backs up the 12Z. Let's go!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Scorchio at 9am with temps of 21-22. Completely dry.

 

image.thumb.png.d458875602f25fbca8692a081fdf175e.png

 

During the day, some very light showers around and highs of 24-25.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of a barmy 16-17.

 

image.thumb.png.156504cbcec4e3d468e418c71d98eaa1.png

 

Very similar pressure picture, and it all relies on what happens with possible low which could develop in Spain. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.8c16167373d61d9b91c4ea9c9b148df8.png

 

THURSDAY

 

GET IN! UPGRADE KLAXON!

 

Dry other than showers show light they would evaporate before hitting the ground. Highs of 25-26.

 

Temps overnight into Friday up to 17-18.

 

image.thumb.png.aa39b24cde9175512e5f87224f02d4b8.png

 

Pressure not quite as good in this run, so we're just waiting on the lows north and south to be repelled. Rain is shitting northern France due to this. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.da108654b21603d6d8e19d2851b4bddb.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 15.

 

 

image.thumb.png.ef5eb1f2a3c5babd344d3380a1327e05.png

 

Possible pocket developing again in northern France, which is causing that torrential rain for them. But will it get to Glasto? Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.42972b7d7bb027720e8a383354f387d3.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.06fd760a6c5b6dd4283223445564bd67.png

 

 

Small drop in temperatures is due to the battle to hold onto the high. Yet the high does seem to be winning! This is happening! Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.d4da8a2bfe30aa0e3c317b89a90d1665.png

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 21-22.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.f9eed373d68f96b9cdf0165cf92883b2.png

 

Lovely, lovely high pressure. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.727a1ed39e4b861e3fbc48151befe89f.png

 

SUMMARY

 

Gaskajsnad!ijasnd@! Hold the frickin' phone! The Thursday rain has gone and high pressure wins again.

 

WE'RE IN THIS! IT'S LIKE WEDNESDAY IN THE PLAYOFFS in 2023!

 

Amazing scenes once again, yet there remains doubt about what truly will happen on Friday.

 

 

 

 

NOICE

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17 minutes ago, briddj said:

Right. Strap in, let's hope the 06Z backs up the 12Z. Let's go!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Scorchio at 9am with temps of 21-22. Completely dry.

 

image.thumb.png.d458875602f25fbca8692a081fdf175e.png

 

During the day, some very light showers around and highs of 24-25.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of a barmy 16-17.

 

image.thumb.png.156504cbcec4e3d468e418c71d98eaa1.png

 

Very similar pressure picture, and it all relies on what happens with possible low which could develop in Spain. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.8c16167373d61d9b91c4ea9c9b148df8.png

 

THURSDAY

 

GET IN! UPGRADE KLAXON!

 

Dry other than showers show light they would evaporate before hitting the ground. Highs of 25-26.

 

Temps overnight into Friday up to 17-18.

 

image.thumb.png.aa39b24cde9175512e5f87224f02d4b8.png

 

Pressure not quite as good in this run, so we're just waiting on the lows north and south to be repelled. Rain is shitting northern France due to this. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.da108654b21603d6d8e19d2851b4bddb.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 15.

 

 

image.thumb.png.ef5eb1f2a3c5babd344d3380a1327e05.png

 

Possible pocket developing again in northern France, which is causing that torrential rain for them. But will it get to Glasto? Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.42972b7d7bb027720e8a383354f387d3.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.06fd760a6c5b6dd4283223445564bd67.png

 

 

Small drop in temperatures is due to the battle to hold onto the high. Yet the high does seem to be winning! This is happening! Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.d4da8a2bfe30aa0e3c317b89a90d1665.png

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 21-22.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.f9eed373d68f96b9cdf0165cf92883b2.png

 

Lovely, lovely high pressure. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.727a1ed39e4b861e3fbc48151befe89f.png

 

SUMMARY

 

Gaskajsnad!ijasnd@! Hold the frickin' phone! The Thursday rain has gone and high pressure wins again.

 

WE'RE IN THIS! IT'S LIKE WEDNESDAY IN THE PLAYOFFS in 2023!

 

Amazing scenes once again, yet there remains doubt about what truly will happen on Friday.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

Can't dare to dream just yet here, still badly burnt from Wednesday scorchio prediction. 

 

I want to believe but I've been hurt too many times.

 

Welcome to the rollercoaster that is Glasto weather forecasting!

 

#Believe

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3 hours ago, Jacko45 said:

Don't want to be the party pooper, but this mornings positive is buried in days of bad forecasts.

 

So try not to get too hung up on it, it may well be an outlier, nice as it is.

That’s….not how this works. By definition, the latest forecast is the most likely to be accurate. Doesn’t matter what was forecast 3 days ago!

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8 minutes ago, Physical_graffiti said:

That’s….not how this works. By definition, the latest forecast is the most likely to be accurate. Doesn’t matter what was forecast 3 days ago!

Incorrect. The only forecast that counts is the one we want. Whenever it is. 

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1 hour ago, briddj said:

Right. Strap in, let's hope the 06Z backs up the 12Z. Let's go!

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Scorchio at 9am with temps of 21-22. Completely dry.

 

image.thumb.png.d458875602f25fbca8692a081fdf175e.png

 

During the day, some very light showers around and highs of 24-25.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of a barmy 16-17.

 

image.thumb.png.156504cbcec4e3d468e418c71d98eaa1.png

 

Very similar pressure picture, and it all relies on what happens with possible low which could develop in Spain. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.8c16167373d61d9b91c4ea9c9b148df8.png

 

THURSDAY

 

GET IN! UPGRADE KLAXON!

 

Dry other than showers show light they would evaporate before hitting the ground. Highs of 25-26.

 

Temps overnight into Friday up to 17-18.

 

image.thumb.png.aa39b24cde9175512e5f87224f02d4b8.png

 

Pressure not quite as good in this run, so we're just waiting on the lows north and south to be repelled. Rain is shitting northern France due to this. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.da108654b21603d6d8e19d2851b4bddb.png

 

FRIDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 15.

 

 

image.thumb.png.ef5eb1f2a3c5babd344d3380a1327e05.png

 

Possible pocket developing again in northern France, which is causing that torrential rain for them. But will it get to Glasto? Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.42972b7d7bb027720e8a383354f387d3.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.06fd760a6c5b6dd4283223445564bd67.png

 

 

Small drop in temperatures is due to the battle to hold onto the high. Yet the high does seem to be winning! This is happening! Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.d4da8a2bfe30aa0e3c317b89a90d1665.png

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of 21-22.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 12-13.

 

image.thumb.png.f9eed373d68f96b9cdf0165cf92883b2.png

 

Lovely, lovely high pressure. Latest on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.727a1ed39e4b861e3fbc48151befe89f.png

 

SUMMARY

 

Gaskajsnad!ijasnd@! Hold the frickin' phone! The Thursday rain has gone and high pressure wins again.

 

WE'RE IN THIS! IT'S LIKE WEDNESDAY IN THE PLAYOFFS in 2023!

 

Amazing scenes once again, yet there remains doubt about what truly will happen on Friday.

 

 

 

 

It’s a praise for Wednesday 😜

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