The Weather Thread 2024

[Drew3232]

Just now, Morris48 said:

Still some caution for me, even with the more favourable model runs over the last 12 hrs. Models generally don’t handle features that  develop from the continent, very well (like the one across SE England at the weekend in the 06z). Wouldn’t be suprised to see some flip flopping over the next few days with that so get ready for a bit of a roller coaster of emotions.

 

Lol What you on about? It's too late now they're past the cutoff for any more changes.

[The Nal]

3 minutes ago, Morris48 said:

Wouldn’t be suprised to see some flip flopping over the next few days with that so get ready for a bit of a roller coaster of emotions.

 

[CaledonianGonzo]

6 minutes ago, Morris48 said:

Still some caution for me, even with the more favourable model runs over the last 12 hrs. Models generally don’t handle features that  develop from the continent, very well (like the one across SE England at the weekend in the 06z). Wouldn’t be suprised to see some flip flopping over the next few days with that so get ready for a bit of a roller coaster of emotions.

I think we can anticipate this, aye.

[Ayrshire Chris]

2 hours ago, Avalon_Fields said:

I couldn’t be more excited if Jimi Hendrix, Led Zeppelin and Bob Marley were headliners! 
 

(Old school dreamer!) 

And some of this😉😊

[briddj]

COME ON THEN, 12Z. LET'S BE HAVIN' YOU.

[Jacko45]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

COME ON THEN, 12Z. LET'S BE HAVIN' YOU.

 

Scared 

[briddj]

It's only loading the 06Z, so we're going to be stuck in suspense for a while.

 

EDIT: Working now

Edited June 22 by briddj

[gherkin8r]

1 hour ago, TheDayman said:

 

Unfortunately packing for us starts this evening as we've a ferry to catch Monday morning... need to prepare for all eventualities

I'm packing up camping gear and clothes today to load up the car tomorrow. Working Monday and have a ferry to get on Tuesday morning as well from Belfast to Liverpool. 

 

When you arriving on site? You going from Dublin or Rosslare? I did Dublin ferry in 2022 but was a really early start. 

Edited June 22 by gherkin8r

[briddj]

We're off to another stormer!

[Guest]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

We're off to another stormer!

 

Not the best use of the word in this thread 🙂

[ibilly99]

I'm all weathered out now but packed and ready to go tommorow.  I may be able to give site  updates as and when. Barring a huge  black swan event we are way off worst case scenario and for that I thank the Rain Gods please continue to shine down on us with your gracious sun.

 

Amen

[Arrowman]

6 minutes ago, briddj said:

We're off to another stormer!

Checking this whilst sat in a sunny beer garden. Please don't play with me briddj

[Alvoram]

Wednesday is wet wet wet... Hope it doesn't stay another day.

I just realised I got my boy bands mixed up for a second... Not something to be ashamed of though so I'm leaving it 😛

Edited June 22 by Alvoram

[cb4747]

11 minutes ago, briddj said:

We're off to another stormer!

Wait, is that good or bad? 

[Alvoram]

Just now, cb4747 said:

Wait, is that good or bad? 

So far it's a wet Wednesday and wet start to Thursday... Nothing crazily heavy, but pretty consistent from Weds afternoon onwards. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

Met office now reducing any rain chance to 5 -10 %, temps holding up as well. 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

This run is a bit of a downgrade 

[CaledonianGonzo]

Only the GFS though.

 

Actually, forecast for tomorrow has had a bit of a wobble on the UKMO - but still nothing serious.

[AdrianH]

Just when it looked like we finally had some clarity for the Wednesday, a spanner in the works from the GFS!

 

UKMO disagrees, has the low much further south. GFS op might be off on one again

[Sheffield Steve]

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

 

 

Edited June 22 by Sheffield Steve

[Euphoricape]

2 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

 

 

French Arpege model for me please

Edited June 22 by Euphoricape

[Sheffield Steve]

The Germans are having none of it either… this is the ICON 12z and no sign of rain for Wednesday…. Low pressure far to the south and southeast…

 

[CaledonianGonzo]

7 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

Yes, the GFS coming out now is at odds with all the other models.   This is the French Arpege model for Wednesday  and has no sign of rain….

 

 

 

Don't like look the like of what's about to hit County Mayo however

[CaledonianGonzo]

1 minute ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The Germans are having none of it either… this is the ICON 12z and no sign of rain for Wednesday…. Low pressure far to the south and southeast…

 

In short the GFS can GTF

[ibilly99]

You should fiddle the charts nobody would know ....