The Weather Thread 2024

[Alvoram]

2 hours ago, hodgey123 said:

I’m getting married in Bath on Saturday. The weather beforehand is great, but the weather on the day looks in the balance with a 30-50% chance of some rain at some stage. Where are the GFS maps that @briddj shared in here from and is there any way I can get them online for Bath? 

Congratulations, hope you enjoy your big day... 

Those charts were from here https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

You'll see a grid of numbers, ignore that for now, then underneath you'll see 4 drop down boxes, ignore the two on the right for now. 
 

In the top left drop down box, where it says "Choose Chart Type"
Choose Height 500hpa + SLP for the pressure charts.
Choose UK max Temp for, you guessed it, max temp.
Choose UK Precipitation for the rain. 

The box directly beneath that, which reads "Current," is where you choose between the most recent (current) run, or the previous one, done 6 hours before. Sometimes the most recent one is still 'in progress' (The GFS is run every 6 hours, with each run labelled 00z 06z 12z or 18z, where the number refers to the hour in 24 hour format. So a 06z is the 6am run.)

Once you've set both of those drop down boxes use the slider (Or arrows << | >> either side) to move between times in 3 hour increments. The time and date is indicated in the top right of the image, so "Valid Wed 17/07 21:00" means just what it says, that this slide is showing the current run's prediction for that time and date. 

If you set the two drop down boxes on the right in the same way, you can do comparisons between different runs, or different chart types on the same run. 

Hope this helps.

But try not to worry, it doesn't look like much will fall before the early afternoon Saturday, and still early days yet, it's all to play for, hopefully this gets delayed further to Sunday. Or held up North entirely by that North Atlantic low not dipping down so far. 🤞

Edited July 16 by Alvoram

[hodgey123]

9 hours ago, fred quimby said:

Hi looking a little patchy sadly. I live near there.

 

 

Just to say I hope your Glastonbury was a good one. 

Mrs Q and I raised a glass to your Mum on Thursday night.

Must be a roller coaster for you. Have an incredible wedding on Saturday whatever the weather 

 

Thank you, really appreciate that. It was one of my best yet.

[hodgey123]

8 hours ago, Alvoram said:

Congratulations, hope you enjoy your big day... 

Those charts were from here https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/gfs

You'll see a grid of numbers, ignore that for now, then underneath you'll see 4 drop down boxes, ignore the two on the right for now. 
 

In the top left drop down box, where it says "Choose Chart Type"
Choose Height 500hpa + SLP for the pressure charts.
Choose UK max Temp for, you guessed it, max temp.
Choose UK Precipitation for the rain. 

The box directly beneath that, which reads "Current," is where you choose between the most recent (current) run, or the previous one, done 6 hours before. Sometimes the most recent one is still 'in progress' (The GFS is run every 6 hours, with each run labelled 00z 06z 12z or 18z, where the number refers to the hour in 24 hour format. So a 06z is the 6am run.)

Once you've set both of those drop down boxes use the slider (Or arrows << | >> either side) to move between times in 3 hour increments. The time and date is indicated in the top right of the image, so "Valid Wed 17/07 21:00" means just what it says, that this slide is showing the current run's prediction for that time and date. 

If you set the two drop down boxes on the right in the same way, you can do comparisons between different runs, or different chart types on the same run. 

Hope this helps.

But try not to worry, it doesn't look like much will fall before the early afternoon Saturday, and still early days yet, it's all to play for, hopefully this gets delayed further to Sunday. Or held up North entirely by that North Atlantic low not dipping down so far. 🤞

 

Thanks a lot, extremely clear! Wish I hadn't asked now as the latest run shows rain plonked right over the venue virtually all day!

[Alvoram]

52 minutes ago, hodgey123 said:

 

Thanks a lot, extremely clear! Wish I hadn't asked now as the latest run shows rain plonked right over the venue virtually all day!

Latest run has the rain shifted North a touch and arriving in Bath a little later, not to mention it looks like much lighter rain in the area. Plus, look at those temperatures!!! I'm telling you... It's moving in the right direction... You've got this!!! 💪

🤞

(We all need to just will it to happen, like before the festival, to shift the weather for Hodgey's big day!!!)

[hodgey123]

36 minutes ago, Alvoram said:

Latest run has the rain shifted North a touch and arriving in Bath a little later, not to mention it looks like much lighter rain in the area. Plus, look at those temperatures!!! I'm telling you... It's moving in the right direction... You've got this!!! 💪

🤞

(We all need to just will it to happen, like before the festival, to shift the weather for Hodgey's big day!!!)

 

Fingers crossed! We only need it not to rain between 14:00 and 16:00, everything else we can deal with...

[FuzzyDunlop]

Weather has been "my kind of festival weather" for Weeks.

 

Im going to Beatherder tomorrow...  30°.

 

erm... no.

 

 

[gigpusher]

On 7/16/2024 at 9:59 PM, hodgey123 said:

I’m getting married in Bath on Saturday. The weather beforehand is great, but the weather on the day looks in the balance with a 30-50% chance of some rain at some stage. Where are the GFS maps that @briddj shared in here from and is there any way I can get them online for Bath? 

Congratulations. Hope you are doing ok.

[efcfanwirral]

I've got Y Not Festival at the end of the month and it looks like some absolutely perfect festival weather - High 21 or 22 and Low 14 each day and almost no rain. Really hoping it stays that way!

Edited July 19 by efcfanwirral

[Pinhead]

Have got Beautiful Days mid Aug - it always rains at Beautiful Days........   

[Alvoram]

On 7/17/2024 at 11:14 AM, hodgey123 said:

 

Fingers crossed! We only need it not to rain between 14:00 and 16:00, everything else we can deal with...

How'd it go Hodgey? hoping it went well and you got some dry hours for those photos!!!

Was forecast to rain here, right up to the very hours they were forecasting rain for, but it never came at all, overcast at times, but a nice day all things considered. 

And congratulations again.

[Skip997]

11 hours ago, Pinhead said:

it always rains at Beautiful Days........   

True 

 

It’s the weather gods punishment for far too many camping chairs and picnic blankets 

[hodgey123]

On 7/21/2024 at 10:59 PM, Alvoram said:

How'd it go Hodgey? hoping it went well and you got some dry hours for those photos!!!

Was forecast to rain here, right up to the very hours they were forecasting rain for, but it never came at all, overcast at times, but a nice day all things considered. 

And congratulations again.

 

It rained lightly on and off, but it didn't really impact the day much at all. The day before (19 July) was 30 degrees so I think everyone was slightly grateful it wasn't that hot on the day!

[charlierc]

Guess the weather being more normal for Glastonbury this year was a plus. Bad storm damaging stages at Leeds to the point where they can't be used and also compromising Creamfields sounds spectacularly crap.

[charlierc]

I know it's not strictly Glastonbury related but anyone else get woken up by a f**king massive thunderstorm last night?

[nikkic]

28 minutes ago, charlierc said:

I know it's not strictly Glastonbury related but anyone else get woken up by a f**king massive thunderstorm last night?

Yep.

And have just been for a run and got caught in another one.

Nothing like flashes of lightning to up your pace!

[charlierc]

27 minutes ago, nikkic said:

Yep.

And have just been for a run and got caught in another one.

Nothing like flashes of lightning to up your pace!

Oh I can bet. Full-on "RUN AWAY" stuff

[Nobody Interesting]

1 hour ago, charlierc said:

I know it's not strictly Glastonbury related but anyone else get woken up by a f**king massive thunderstorm last night?

 

They are not actually storms - it is a weather front, the things that used to just bring rain for a while but now because of warmer waters in the seas and oceans behave like storms and where we used to live lasted 5 hours the other day.

I have followed weather patterns for decades as my life is outside and quite weather reliant - this is all very new and different.

I suppose we will just have to get used to it and learn to row boats more often.

[Neil]

i discovered this year that i can give a 20 minute warning of rain coming to worthy farm - when the rain passes my home.

[charlierc]

1 hour ago, Nobody Interesting said:

 

They are not actually storms - it is a weather front, the things that used to just bring rain for a while but now because of warmer waters in the seas and oceans behave like storms and where we used to live lasted 5 hours the other day.

I have followed weather patterns for decades as my life is outside and quite weather reliant - this is all very new and different.

I suppose we will just have to get used to it and learn to row boats more often.

Still though, getting woken up at 3:30am by a load of rain, thunder and lightning is not the one. Whether it's a classic storm, changing weather fronts or part of the way the climate is going haywire, it was still a bit on the dramatic side.

[charlierc]

I know it's cliche to bring this up just because of the weather but my God the last week has been horrible with rain and heavy showers/outright storms. Hopefully the next 8 months won't be spent wondering about an excessive moisture build up in the ground for Worthy Farm goers, right?

[Ayrshire Chris]

8 minutes ago, charlierc said:

I know it's cliche to bring this up just because of the weather but my God the last week has been horrible with rain and heavy showers/outright storms. Hopefully the next 8 months won't be spent wondering about an excessive moisture build up in the ground for Worthy Farm goers, right?

Plenty time for the land to drain and the ground to bake hard for a perfect festival.

Let’s get the ticket day and line up obsessions out of the way before we start worrying about the weather! 

[charlierc]

48 minutes ago, Ayrshire Chris said:

Plenty time for the land to drain and the ground to bake hard for a perfect festival.

Let’s get the ticket day and line up obsessions out of the way before we start worrying about the weather! 

Oh unquestionably there's time - still about 9 months outstanding. More just pondering if we're already hoping we don't get a winter and spring just full of the soggy stuff. Again.

[incident]

1 hour ago, charlierc said:

I know it's cliche to bring this up just because of the weather but my God the last week has been horrible with rain and heavy showers/outright storms. Hopefully the next 8 months won't be spent wondering about an excessive moisture build up in the ground for Worthy Farm goers, right?

 

I mean the weather in winter and spring this year, up to about 3 weeks before the festival was pretty wet and horrid - including a months worth of rain in on the late May bank holiday weekend.

 

If that was all ok in the end, then I'm not sure we need to worry about what's happening 9 months out.

[philipsteak]

But windy

 

[Ayrshire Chris]

15 minutes ago, philipsteak said:

But windy

 

Yes, think the BBC have went a bit OTT with their wind prediction