The Weather Thread 2024

[parsonjack]

14 minutes ago, Aragorn said:

The latest ensembles are interesting. Pressure rise this week bringing drier conditions before low pushes in towards the end of the week. Then pressure rise again as we go into festival week. 

 

 

Showers Thurs through Sat would be of little consequence IF we then get the high building from Sunday.  All to play for.

[Ayrshire Chris]

5 minutes ago, parsonjack said:

Showers Thurs through Sat would be of little consequence IF we then get the high building from Sunday.  All to play for.

That ties in with the bbc forecast that shows a bit of drizzle next weekend followed by drier and warmer weather towards the gates opening🙏🤞

[Trunks1993]

Please no rollercoaster this year 🙏 

[Nobody Interesting]

Never trust the BBC - three times this year already they have forecast well ahead warm and sunny weather and then when it gets there it is wet and cold.

They get over excited.

[TheDayman]

I'm going out to waterproof my tent.... again.

[Jacko45]

17 minutes ago, Nobody Interesting said:

Never trust the BBC - three times this year already they have forecast well ahead warm and sunny weather and then when it gets there it is wet and cold.

They get over excited.

 

Yep I'm sure I read BBC dropped using the Met Office bits and bobs in a cost saving exercise now it's pretty inaccurate.

[Jacko45]

This forecast is perfection for the drying the site needs before the footfall becomes enormous.

 

 

 

Beyond that it's reading  @briddj @Sheffield Steve  and hoping.

[gherkin8r]

Its scorchio lads, it was always going to be scorchio, just lash the sun cream on, lie back and take it.

[Physical_graffiti]

8 hours ago, balti-pie said:

Aha! Beak? 👀 

Don’t think cocaine in the wind is a good idea either 

[Sheffield Steve]

OK, it’s time to welcome back our old friends, the Japanese.  Their well regarded model, the JMA is in agreement with the GFS and ECM, and gives us a warm and dry start to festival week.  They are more in line with the ECM, and end up with a large area of high pressure over Scandinavia by midday on Wednesday.  This would give us warm/hot weather at least to set-up day but with an increasing chance of thundery showers encroaching from the south.

 

 

 

 

If they keep that high there for the rest of the festival, we’d be in for a scorcher, but always with the risk of thundery showers from the south.    More runs needed.

[Little Thief]

9 hours ago, balti-pie said:

Aha! Beak? 👀 

Yeah, shout out Beak! They’ve opened up the taproom so heading there today in an act of solidarity.

[Bike_Like_A_Mum]

I'm so excited for the first proper weather day! @briddjand @Sheffield Stevethanking you in advance for the weather vibes, it makes my build up! (I'll forget once the festival hits)

 

Let's go 🌞 🌧 🌦 🌞🌧🌦🌞

[Skip997]

Currently, Little fluffy clouds, sun and light breeze 

[4AssedMonkey]

1 minute ago, Skip997 said:

Currently, Little fluffy clouds, sun and light breeze 

 

Sounds perfect.

[4AssedMonkey]

13 hours ago, kemosabe said:

Anyone fancy buying some wellies/ a new rain jacket etc. just to keep pushing it the right way? No Suncream yet please...

 

I've been reproofing kit all morning.  Happy Fathers Day to me.

[Ayrshire Chris]

1 hour ago, Sheffield Steve said:

OK, it’s time to welcome back our old friends, the Japanese.  Their well regarded model, the JMA is in agreement with the GFS and ECM, and gives us a warm and dry start to festival week.  They are more in line with the ECM, and end up with a large area of high pressure over Scandinavia by midday on Wednesday.  This would give us warm/hot weather at least to set-up day but with an increasing chance of thundery showers encroaching from the south.

 

 

 

 

If they keep that high there for the rest of the festival, we’d be in for a scorcher, but always with the risk of thundery showers from the south.    

Edited June 16 by Ayrshire Chris

[Ayrshire Chris]

Just now, Ayrshire Chris said:

More runs needed.

This thread gives me the runs

 

[rlandy95]

Amazing weather in London today, blue skys and sun is shining - feels like so long since it's been like this. Everything feels like its falling into place 🤞

[Franky]

It’s building for 2010 all over again 🥳🥳🥳

 

The dream is alive. 

[bennyboi]

24 minutes ago, Skip997 said:

Currently, Little fluffy clouds, sun and light breeze 

it looked like it was going to rain briefly but the clouds moved on. 
 

good clouds. 

[4AssedMonkey]

Just been reviewing all the model runs. Loads of correlation.  Still "too early", but the consistency is a good sign.  For the festival 5 days we're looking at dry, lows around 13, highs around 23, little cloud, slight breeze.  In summary, perfection.

 

Please please please please.......

[briddj]

Ok, it's time. Time for the first full weather run through of 2024!

 

THROUGH TO GATES OPEN

 

There's the threat of a fair bit of rain on Saturday afternoon and evening, but it's then completely dry to gates open. Highs of 20-21 are great for any drying that might be necessary.

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Very pleasant at 17-18 and dry. Highs of 20-21 through the day.

 

 

High pressure is over the UK. Looking good.

 

THURSDAY

Completely dry, highs of 22.

 

 

FRIDAY

Completely dry, highs of 23.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

A very small amount of rain around, you wouldn't even notice it. Highs of 22.

 

 

Pressure is still in a good place, but not so commanding.

 

SUNDAY

 

Small amount of rain showing, but again this is really insignificant stuff. Highs of 21-22

 

 

There is a pocket of low pressure out in the Atlantic, which is causing the small amount of rain.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A pretty decent run, with perfect festival temperatures.

 

We do have to watch the weekend, however, we're a long way off any confidence and low pressure still lurking.

 

We go again at 6pm-ish!

 

[Crazyfool01]

This is @FuzzyDunlop wet / dry dream isnt it ? 

 

 

 

 

if he were going 

Edited June 16 by Crazyfool01

[AdrianH]

Similar theme today from the models. Warmer dry weather this week, switching to lower pressure by Thursday (with the potential for some substantial rain) before drying up again for the festival opening.

 

I think the Thursday-Saturday period is the danger area - we could get unlucky with the rain or see very little.

 

There'd be 3 days drying time either way so i cant see mud bath conditions.

 

[westholtschic]

Sat in Glastonbury town enjoying the warm weather. It’s all going to be ok lovely people.